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Jets Have Been a Shockingly Great Bet vs the Patriots

There’s not many instances of a Patriots’ divisional opponent having any sort of bragging rights over the AFC East kings, but we’ve found one for Week 17. The New York Jets are somehow 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine matchups vs the Patriots and will be looking to add another cover to that record in their season finale as the biggest underdog of the week in New England.

Shark Bites
  • The Patriots are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 17.
  • The total has gone OVER in 13 of the Patriots’ last 17 home games in December.
  • The Jets are averaging a league-low 8.7 points per game over their last three games.

It certainly has been a profitable few seasons of backing the Jets in this matchup, but there will be absolutely no messing around for the Patriots on Sunday as they can lock up the top seed in the conference with a win. Covering the spread, of course, is a different story, especially at a monster number like -15.5. That big number shouldn’t scare you off, however, as the Patriots have been money in this spot, covering the spread in seven straight home games as a favorite of 14 points or more. This includes a 41-3 smackdown of the Jets last season.

After exceeding expectations for the majority of the season, the Jets have really taken their foot off the gas the past few weeks. They’ve lost three straight games by a combined score of 68-26 and rank 30th in net yards per play over that span. They enter this game at 8-6-1 ATS, but keep in mind most of that success has come at home as they’re just 2-4-1 ATS on the road.

The total is hovering in the 45-point range, which is a number the Patriots have topped in four of their last five games. With the Jets averaging just 15.1 points per game on the road, the Patriots should be expected to do the lion’s share of the work if the total is to go OVER. They currently rank third in the NFL with 29.9 points per game at home.

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Betting fans of the New England Patriots have seen them go 12-3 and 10-5 ATS so far this season, while the New York Jets are at 5-10 and 8-6-1 ATS. In OVER/UNDER totals betting, the Jets are 8-7, while the Patriots are 7-8. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New England vs New York injuries news.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Patriots at No. 2 and the Jets at No. 23 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits New England's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 28.8 PPG, against a Jets defense that ranks No. 23 this week at 23.73 PPG. The Patriots aerial game is averaging 282.27 yards per game, more than the Jets secondary allows through the air, 238 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Jets feature the league's No. 23-rated road run defense, allowing 124 yards per game. The Patriots, meanwhile, rank No. 10 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Bilal Powell tore up the turf for 145 rushing yards in the latest Jets game, a 14-7 loss to the Chargers at MetLife Stadium.

Buffalo was unable to contain Dion Lewis in its last action Sunday and the result was a 37-16 Week 16 loss against the Patriots.

Betting Trends
  • New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 9 games
  • New York is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
  • New England is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
  • New England is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New England's last 11 games
  • New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home