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Eagles Heavy Home Favorite In Must-Win Game Against Giants

Giants Eagles Week 14 Preview

Aaron Rodgers tossed four touchdowns, while Daniel Jones threw three interceptions in the Giants’ 31-13 loss to the Packers. New York’s losing streak now stands at eight games as it fell to 2-10 overall and 4-8 against the spread.

Philadelphia was a 10.5-point road favorite, but Miami didn’t seem to care as the Dolphins upset the Eagles 37-31 to drop Doug Pederson’s squad to 5-7 SU and 4-8 ATS.

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles
  • Date/Time: December 9, 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Lincoln Financial Field 
  • TV Coverage: ESPN
  • Opening Odds: Philadelphia -8 | O/U 46.5
  • Giants vs Eagles Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

The Eagles opened as 8-point home favorites, before a slight consensus uptick to Philadelphia -8.5 as they cling to playoff aspirations. New York’s moneyline opened at +345 and the point total at 46.5, but most books bumped it up to 47. The total has gone over in six of the last seven Giants-Eagles matchups with an average combined score of 52.43.

Note: The OVER/UNDER is 13-25 in games starting after 8 p.m. ET this season.

The Giants are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. Granted, most of the games were played while Eli Manning was still the starter, but New York is 2-9 straight up and 5-5-1 against the spread in its last 11 games as a road dog of 7 or more points. Daniel Jones failed to cover +16.5 at New England earlier this season. 

Philadelphia is 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS this season as a home favorite of 7 or more points and 9-1 SU (7-3 ATS) in the last 10 in that situation. The Eagles are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games after failing to cover in their two most recent home contests.

New York News & Notes

UPDATE: 12/8/19

Eli Manning to start in place of Daniel Jones (ankle).

---Original Preview---

The Giants have now lost eight straight by an average of 12.38 points per defeat.

As injuries to skill position players around him have started to mount, Daniel Jones’ stats have paid the price. The rookie quarterback has completed just 56.2 percent of his passes and averaged 195 pass yards over the past two games.

Running back Saquon Barkley hasn’t scored a rushing touchdown since October 20 and since spraining his ankle against the Buccaneers in late September, he has rushed for better than 4.0 yards per carry in a game only once.

New York’s statistical resume is even worse on the defensive side of the ball as one of the league’s worst secondaries continues to get torched. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 67.4 percent of their passes against the Giants, the sixth-highest rate in the league. New York has allowed 28.2 points per game this season and 28.0 points per game over its last three losses.

If you can find a glass half full within the Giants organization right now, betcha it’s half full of bourbon.

On the injury front, Jones tweaked his ankle in the loss to the Packers but is expected to play against the Eagles. Tight end Evan Engram hasn’t practiced since a Week 9 foot sprain and is questionable. Receiver Golden Tate and tight end Rhett Ellison both missed the Packers game due to concussions, while cornerback Corey Ballentine suffered his second concussion of the season last Sunday. They’re all tagged as questionable for this Monday night tilt.

Philadelphia News & Notes

The Eagles’ primary problem heading into Week 13 was its lack of offense, but the problem heading out of Miami was its leaky secondary.

Philadelphia averaged 13.3 points per game in Weeks 9 (win) and 11-12 (losses). Carson Wentz took full advantage of the Dolphins’ league-worst scoring defense and lit ‘em up for 31 points via 310 passing yards and three touchdowns. On the ground, Miles Sanders stepped up in Jordan Howard’s absence to rush 17 times for 83 yards. Philly converted 50 percent of its third downs and three of four trips to the red zone.

Coordinator Mike Groh – who may be fired this offseason – watched his offense dismantle a less talented defense. If he wants to improve his chances of returning for 2020, Groh will need Wentz and the offense to unload on the Giants’ bottom-tier defense, too.

It’s one thing to not cover -10.5 at Miami in early December, but it’s quite another to let Ryan Fitzpatrick torch you for 365 yards and three touchdowns. To put into context just how bad the Eagles defense was against the Dolphins, here are season-to-date splits compared to Week 14’s loss:

Stat CategorySeason-to-DateWeek 14 vs MIA
Yards Allowed Per Game332409
Yards Allowed Per Play5.56.5
Pass Yards Allowed Per Game241.7351
Opp. 3rd Down Conversion Rate36.641.7
Opp. Red Zone Conversion Rate61.1%100% (4-for-4)

On the injury front, Jordan Howard missed the Dolphins game due to a shoulder injury and is questionable for Monday night against the Giants. Cornerback Sidney Jones is also questionable with an undisclosed ailment.

Betting Pick: Lean Eagles -8

Update 12/9/19 - with the heavy rain and soggy conditions, I'm flipping my pick and taking Giants +9.

With Daniel Jones nursing a bad ankle and out, we are about to see Eli Manning for the first time since Week 2. The Eagles are fighting for their playoff lives, while the Giants are fighting for the No. 1 draft pick. With Philly's 31-point confidence boost that the offense isn’t a lost cause, Carson Wentz can drop 30-plus on this Giants defense, too.

Shark Bites
  • The Giants are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Eagles’ last 4 home games (avg. combined score: 31.5 points).
  • The Giants are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as road dogs.