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Odds to Win the NFC North: Packers Still Faves With Vikings Looming

NFC North Betting Odds December 11, 2019

The NFL’s NFC North division may not be as stacked top to bottom as the NFC West but the competition to win the division crown is stiff and oddsmakers have the Green Bay Packers as huge odds-on favorites to emerge victorious.

The Packers are an impressive 10-3 SU through 13 games and already have victories in hand over both the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears, who trail them on the oddsboard.

The Vikings are 9-4 SU as the next team on the list that could seriously challenge Green Bay, with their odds at +205 to storm back and win. The Chicago Bears, at 7-6 SU, are at +10000 and would need a miracle at this juncture to win the division.

How Do the Packers Mess This Up

While the Packers are in the driver’s seat, there is still a way for them to lose the NFC North despite their edge in the standings. They currently lead the Vikings by one game and have the Bears, Vikings and Lions to conclude 2019.

The interesting thing about the Packers this season is that they don’t do anything especially well. They rank 13th in points scored per game (23.8) while sitting 12th in points allowed (20.5) and if you look at any of the isolated stats like passing yards and rushing yards for or against, they typically rank middle of the pack (pardon the pun). Where they have the edge vs most teams is at quarterback with Aaron Rodgers.

Rodgers doesn’t have the gaudy stats of his MVP seasons but he’s limiting mistakes, with only two interceptions and three fumbles in 2019. The Packers as a whole have the second-fewest turnovers in the NFL with nine. Barring injury or a complete and utter collapse by losing two of their last three games (especially to the Vikings in Week 16), the Packers should win this division and are the deserved favorite.

Why The Vikings Can’t Be Dismissed

The Minnesota Vikings, with games remaining against the Chargers, Packers and Bears, are still in a great spot to win the division if they win out. In that scenario, the Packers would win two of their remaining three games but lose in Week 16 to the Vikings. Both teams would then be 11-5 SU with Minnesota holding the tiebreaker based on conference record.

While that doesn’t feel like the likely outcome, if the Vikings take care of business vs the Chargers, their remaining two games are at home. The Vikings are 6-0 SU in Minneapolis with an average win margin of 13.8 points per game and QB Kirk Cousins has been marginally better at home than on the road.

He’s got a 10-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio at home while completing 80.1 percent of his passes. The Bears are not the threat they used to be defensively and the Packers have had some struggles on the road over the last few seasons so, at +205, Minnesota may be worth a sprinkle if you think the Vikings will win their remaining three games of the season.

Odds to Win the 2019 NFC North
TeamOdds
Green Bay Packers-200
Minnesota Vikings+205
Chicago Bears+10000

Odds as of December 11 at Bovada


How to Understand NFC North Odds

When you take a trip to any NFL sportsbook to make a futures bet – more on that later – you’ll notice the odds laid out the same way they are in the above table. Teams with a minus sign (-) preceding their odds are favorites. The rest are underdogs, which you can see because of the plus sign (+). However, when divisions are tight or there are no clear frontrunners, the team with the lowest odds is considered the fave.

At -190, you may like Green Bay and decide to throw $100 on them. If they did win the NFC North, you’d get a payout of $152.63 – your original $100 is returned along with your prize of $52.63. On the other hand, you could believe that that Vikings are going to turn it around and go on a tear for the remaining weeks of play. That same $100 on them would give you a payout of $260 – you get your $100 back coupled with your winnings of $160.

To see how much you’d win based on the amount bet and the odds offered, check out our Odds Calculator.

When oddsmakers set the lines they look at everything from past performances to roster moves to schedule. If a team is a +3500 underdog, it’s probably because they deserve to be. Don’t bet blindly on dogs without doing your research.

What is a Futures Bet for Football?

This is a bet you’d make weeks or even months in advance on which team you think has the best odds of winning the NFC North. Future betting lines are available early and if you see odds you like, it’s best to jump on them. The odds will shift as the season progresses, players succumb to injuries, trades happen, and teams climb or fall in the standings.