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Odds to Win the NFC North: Packers are Overwhelming Faves

Aaron Jones celebrates after scoring a touchdown for the Green Bay Packers.

At the start of the 2020 NFL season, the NFC North was projected to be one of the most wide-open divisions in football. But at the quarter point of the campaign, it’s looking like the North is a one-horse race.

According to the latest odds at Bovada, the Green Bay Packers are the heavy -400 favorites to claim the division this season. The Chicago Bears (+450), Minnesota Vikings (+1200) and Detroit Lions (+2000) are well behind the green and gold through four weeks.

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Odds to Win the NFC North

2020 NFC North Odds
TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Green Bay Packers-400+150
Chicago Bears+450+400
Minnesota Vikings+1200+170
Detroit Lions+2000+650

Odds as of October 7 at Bovada

Can Anyone Catch the Packers?

Despite winning 12 games and making a run to the NFC championship game a year ago, the Packers weren’t expected to be true Super Bowl contenders in 2020. As the Pack enter their bye week, they sure look the part of a team that could go all the way.

Green Bay is off to its best start in recent memory at 4-0. Aaron Rodgers has been fantastic, as the 36-year-old has 1,214 passing yards and 13 touchdowns with a 92.8 quarterback rating. Rodgers, who has yet to turn the ball over, ranks second in the NFL MVP odds behind only Russell Wilson.

The Packers are flourishing in the second year under head coach Matt LaFleur. You won’t find much value in betting them to win the NFC North, but they’re valued that high for a reason.

Bears Hoping Foles Can Turn Things Around

The Bears are off to a 3-1 start and are the only team that looks like it can keep pace with the Packers right now, but Chicago’s schedule has been fairly easy so far.

The biggest story for the Bears in 2020 is the displacement of Mitchell Trubisky at QB. Nick Foles replaced the former No. 2 pick in Week 3 and led the Bears to a comeback victory over the Atlanta Falcons, throwing three touchdowns in the process. With Foles under center, Chicago looked flat on offense in Week 4 in a 19-11 setback to the Indianapolis Colts.

Matt Nagy’s decision to switch to Foles could dictate whether the Bears sink or swim this year. The schedule is about to get a lot tougher going forward, with matchups against Tampa Bay, the L.A. Rams, New Orleans and Tennessee in the coming weeks. 

Vikings, Lions in Tough to Recover From Poor Starts

Sporting identical 1-3 records, the road to the playoffs looks less likely by the week for the Vikings and Lions. Minnesota has undoubtedly been the bigger disappointment, as questionable play-calling, ugly defense and poor quarterback play by Kirk Cousins has the Vikings on the verge of seeing their season slip away.

However, the seat under Detroit head coach Matt Patricia is getting hotter by the day, and if the Lions miss out on the playoffs this season, don’t be surprised if the ex-Patriots defensive coordinator gets axed.

Both of these squads have shown nothing to indicate them worthy of a futures bet in division odds, so it’s best to disregard them when it comes to wagering on NFC North futures.


How to Understand NFC North Odds

When you take a trip to any NFL sportsbook to make a futures bet – more on that later – you’ll notice the odds laid out the same way they are in the above table. Teams with a minus sign (-) preceding their odds are favorites. The rest are underdogs, which you can see because of the plus sign (+). However, when divisions are tight or there are no clear front-runners, the team with the lowest odds is considered the fave.

At +125, you may like Green Bay and decide to throw $100 on them. If they did win the NFC North, you’d get a payout of $225 – your original $100 is returned along with your prize of $125. On the other hand, you could believe that the Vikings are going to rise to the top. That same $100 on them would give you a payout of $300 – you get your $100 back coupled with your winnings of $200.

To see how much you’d win based on the amount bet and the odds offered, check out our Odds Calculator.

When oddsmakers set the lines they look at everything from past performances to roster moves to schedule. If a team is a +3500 underdog, it’s probably because they deserve to be. Don’t bet blindly on dogs without doing your research.

What is a Futures Bet for Football?

This is a bet you’d make weeks or even months in advance on which team you think has the best odds of winning the NFC North. Future betting lines are available early and if you see odds you like, it’s best to jump on them. The odds will shift as the season progresses, players succumb to injuries, trades happen, and teams climb or fall in the standings.