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Best Bets For Every NFL Team For the 2018-19 Season

NFL Best Bets For Each Team - August 30

As we creep closer and closer to the opening kickoff of the NFL season, bettors are starting to get their funds ready to invest on some solid season-long bets for each team.

Here at OddsShark, our writers Stephen Campbell, Scott Hastings, Kris Abbott and Gilles Gallant have got you covered as they’ve taken a look at each team in the NFL and will project what is the best bet for each franchise in 2018-19, such as will the Patriots surpass 11 wins, will Saquon Barkley win Offensive Rookie of the Year or will the Packers win the NFC North.

Without further ado, here are the best bets to make for each NFL team.

All odds courtesy of Bovada

Philadelphia Eagles

OVER 10 wins -125

Quarterback drama aside, the Eagles are still a very deep squad and didn’t lose any of their key players in the offseason, which is typically what happens to a defending Super Bowl champion in the salary cap era. The Eagles were third in points per game and fourth in points allowed last season, making them the only team in the NFL to rank in the top five in both categories. Philly has the 13th-easiest schedule as eight of its games are against teams that didn’t make the playoffs and considering the Eagles have only lost once at home since Week 15 of the 2016-17 season, it’s hard to envision less than 11-5 for this squad.

Dallas Cowboys

UNDER 8.5 wins -130

This season has 8-8 written all over it. Offensive line injuries, lack of wide receiver depth and an inconsistent defense make taking the OVER on this prop a risky proposition. America’s Team has 13 of its 16 games against teams that either made the playoffs or finished with a winning record last season. The Cowboys’ opening six games are a murderers’ row of opponents in the Panthers, Giants, Seahawks, Lions, Texans and Jaguars so this prop could be decided before Thanksgiving.

New York Giants

Saquon Barkley to Win Rookie of the Year +155

Touches, touches and more touches. That’s what you’re banking on if you plan to back Barkley and the Giants as they didn’t take him No. 2 overall to manage his workload. Barkley was a stud in college and behind a revamped G-Men offensive line, the rookie could very well lead the NFL in rushing yards and touchdowns. New York is a great bounce-back candidate after going 3-13 SU last season and Barkley along with a healthy Odell Beckham Jr. could be the linchpins of the Giants offense for years to come. The only way he could lose is if one of the rookie quarterbacks leads his team to the playoffs and considering how the Browns, Cardinals, Bills and Jets look, that seems unlikely in 2018.

Washington Redskins

Not to Make the Playoffs -550

This is about as much of a lock as you can get and it’s mainly due to the competition in the NFC. The price tag is obviously hard on the wallet but there’s a reason for that and it’s because oddmakers think the same thing we do. There are only six slots for the playoffs and with the Eagles, Rams, Saints and Packers seeming to be the top four faves in the NFC, we’re then left with two. So, the question you need to ask yourself is “Can Washington make the playoffs over the Vikings, Falcons, Panthers or 49ers?” If you answered yes, then you must be from Washington.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

UNDER 6.5 wins (-160)

It’s hard to find seven wins for the Buccaneers this season. They face an uphill battle in the opening three games of the season at New Orleans and hosting Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, all without starting quarterback Jameis Winston. That could leave the Bucs with just 13 games to find seven wins and they also have road games against the Giants, Cowboys and Ravens. Additionally, Tampa Bay’s second-round pick Ronald Jones II has been simply a disappointment thus far in the preseason. Points are going to be hard to come by for the Bucs and so are wins.

New Orleans Saints 

Win the NFC South (+155)

The Saints won last year’s NFC South and had the fourth-best point differential in the NFC. New Orleans was 7-1 at home last season, falling only to New England in Week 2, and of its 2018 schedule, the toughest games come at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. They will be without starting running back Mark Ingram for the first four weeks of the season, but those games are home to Tampa Bay and Cleveland and on the road vs Atlanta and the New York Giants. With or without Ingram, that’s likely a 3-1 stretch regardless. Their defense will have matured another year and ageless wonder Drew Brees would love another crack at going deep in the playoffs and that all starts with a division win.

Carolina Panthers

UNDER 9 wins (-205)

The Panthers have followed an ebb and flow pattern over the past few seasons, starting with a 7-8-1 record in 2014, 15-1 in 2015, 6-10 in 2016 and coming off an 11-5 year in 2017. Additionally, Carolina has road games at Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and Detroit which are each very difficult games. Throw in their games against New Orleans and Atlanta and it leaves little wiggle room for any other stumbles along the way for a team that went 5-3 on the road last season, including a 17-3 loss to Chicago. 

Atlanta Falcons 

To make the Playoffs (-140)

After going to the Super Bowl in 2016, the Falcons had a “bad” season in 2017 in which they still finished 10-6 and made the playoffs. Matt Ryan didn’t look like himself as the offense broke 30 points just four times. Also, running back Devonta Freeman missed two games and failed to break 1,000 yards for the first time since 2014, yet they still made the playoffs. Atlanta does have some tough non-conference road games on the schedule in Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and Green Bay. However, the road game against the Eagles is the season opener and Philadelphia has yet to announce who the starting quarterback will be so the Falcons may benefit from an out-of-sync Eagles offense. Assuming the Atlanta offense returns to form, appearing in the playoffs should come as no surprise.

Green Bay Packers

To win the NFC North (+140)

The Packers won four consecutive NFC North titles from 2011 to 2014, but the Minnesota Vikings enter the 2018 season possessing the bragging rights after claiming the banner two out of the last three years. With Kirk Cousins under center and the defense ranking as one of the best units in the NFL, Minnesota is going to be a juggernaut in 2018, but the Packers could easily post a better record with a healthy Aaron Rodgers. Simply put, the +140 value on Green Bay to win the North is too good to pass up for a team this talented.

Minnesota Vikings

OVER 10 wins (-135)

Even if the Vikes do miss out on winning the division, they should easily eclipse their projected 10 OVER/UNDER win total. Minnesota’s 13-win performance in 2017 was quickly forgotten thanks to the drubbing in the NFC championship game at the hands of the eventual Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles, but this team is built to win a lot of games. Expect the Cousins-led Vikings to soar above the 10 number with ease.

Chicago Bears

UNDER 6.5 wins (+110)

With new head coach Matt Nagy in the fold and sophomore quarterback Mitchell Trubisky possessing a year of NFL experience, the Bears are an extremely trendy preseason pick by many to surprise in 2018. After a great offseason, it’s easy to understand why people are excited about Chicago, yet six games against divisional opponents in the brutal NFC North is going to make life tough on the Bears. They’re improving, but they look like they’re a few years away from seriously contending.

Detroit Lions

To finish third in the NFC North (+200)

If Rodgers didn’t go down with a broken collarbone early in the year, the Lions would have had to face him twice instead of the uninspiring Brett Hundley and very likely wouldn’t have finished second in the North at 9-7. With a healthy Rodgers in Green Bay and the Vikings looking like a powerhouse, a third-place showing in the division could loom for the Lions. Detroit rewarded franchise quarterback Matthew Stafford with a big contract extension in the offseason, but the rest of the team will need to step up big time in order to surpass the Packers or Vikings in the standings. A third-place effort from the Lions at +200 looks right.

Arizona Cardinals

Larry Fitzgerald OVER 5.5 regular-season receiving TDs (-105)

Larry Fitzgerald has a new offense to learn this season but one thing that hasn’t changed is that he is still the No. 1 option for quarterback Sam Bradford … or Josh Rosen … but that’s another article and another prop bet altogether. Back to Larry Fitz. He’s been OVER 5.5 receiving TDs in 12 of his 14 NFL seasons and he’s expecting to keep that trend going under Steve Wilks and Mike McCoy. Fitzgerald has been north of 100 receptions in each of his last three seasons and he hasn’t caught fewer than 5.5 TDs since 2014 when he missed two regular-season games.

Los Angeles Rams

Ndamukong Suh UNDER 5.5 sacks (-115)

Ndamukong Suh was released by the Miami Dolphins in March and signed as a free agent on the other coast in April. Suh drew the ire of some Dolphins fans for not bringing the same QB-seeking behavior he displayed in Detroit. After seasons of 8.0, 5.5 and 8.5 sacks to finish his Lions career, Suh has 6.0 sacks for Miami in 2015, 5.0 in 2016 and 4.5 in 2017. The question surrounding Suh in LA is will he get the same attention from O-lines that he got in Miami or will things open up a little for him?

San Francisco 49ers

Jimmy Garoppolo UNDER 12.5 interceptions (-115)

Jimmy Garoppolo enters his first full year at the helm of an NFL team after 3.5 years backing up Tom Brady in New England. Jimmy G did throw five interceptions in six games last season, but we’re giving him a pass as he was learning a new offense. Back in New England where he knew the system, he threw zero interceptions in 94 attempts.

Seattle Seahawks

Russell Wilson UNDER 26.5 passing TDs (-115)

There’s a couple of important components to a passing touchdown: a throw and a catch. Eight of Russell Wilson’s 34 touchdowns last year were caught by Pro Bowler Doug Baldwin, a receiver who is battling a wonky knee as the season begins. It’s not just Baldwin’s end-zone receptions that are in jeopardy, his team-leading 117 targets and 75 receptions on the way into scoring position are hanging in the balance. Baldwin announced he will “manage” the injury during the season – that’s never good news. It should also be noted that Wilson has only gone OVER 26.5 TDs twice in his career.

New England Patriots

OVER 11 wins (-150)

The Pats have won 11 or more games in 13 of the last 15 seasons. Think about that for a second. Do you really want to bet against that sustained level of success? The AFC East may have regressed in the offseason (is that possible?) so I think five wins in six games in this division is very doable. Their hardest games this year are against the Packers, Vikings and Steelers and two of those games are in Foxborough. Twelve wins should be an easy benchmark for the favorites to win the Super Bowl.

Miami Dolphins

Minkah Fitzpatrick to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+1200)

Since they don’t have a “when will Ryan Tannehill get hurt” prop, we’ll need to find something else and nothing stands out more than Minkah Fitzpatrick to win Defensive Rookie of the Year at +1200. The rookie out of Alabama has been labeled as one of the best safeties to come out of Nick Saban’s program and his talent is in the same vein as Landon Collins and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix. Unless Bradley Chubb goes off for double-digit sacks, this should be Fitzpatrick’s award to lose.

Buffalo Bills

UNDER 6 wins (-175)

After finally getting the monkey off their backs and reaching the postseason with nine wins last year, it’s going to hurt Bills Mafia more to watch Buffalo fall back to earth. The Bills quarterback situation has shown no positive signs thus far in the preseason with Josh Allen and Nathan Peterman both looking inept at times. It also can’t help that their best player LeSean McCoy may have some legal troubles hanging over his head which means he could be facing suspension. Ten of their 16 games are against teams that finished last season with a winning record or made the playoffs, which makes the Bills a prime candidate to finish as the worst team in the NFL.

New York Jets

OVER 6 wins (-110)

The Jets finally have their quarterback of the future in Sam Darnold and in his brief showings of the preseason, he may be the most competent quarterback to come out of this rookie class. The Jets haven’t had a franchise quarterback with this kind of talent since Joe Namath so they can actually be in position to win games through the air. The Jets have the eighth-easiest schedule for the upcoming season and get to face the Colts, Browns and Bears, who combined for an ugly 9-39 SU record last season. Will they storm out of the gates and go 6-0? Not likely but considering they won five games with awful QB play last season, seven wins seems doable with this squad.

Houston Texans

OVER 8.5 wins (-145)

Quite simply, the Texans’ 2017 season was a disaster from an injury standpoint. Houston started the season 3-4 with narrow losses to New England, Kansas City and Seattle before quarterback Deshaun Watson tore his ACL while preparing for his Week 8 matchup with Indianapolis. The Texans also lost Pro Bowl defensive end J.J. Watt to a season-ending leg injury in Week 5. Heading into 2018 as a healthy unit bodes well for a successful season especially since Houston has the easiest strength of schedule in the league. Notable difficult road games include: at Philadelphia, at New England and at Denver. At a preseason glance, it’s difficult to find eight games that the Texans would lose for them to not get the OVER 8.5.

Jacksonville Jaguars

To make the Playoffs (-155)

The Jaguars have a tie for 25th place in the league for the easiest strength of schedule for the 2018 season. Jacksonville was one game away from making the Super Bowl last year and with a winnable schedule looming it’s hard to find a reason it won’t earn a berth in this year’s playoffs. The Jags return many of their defensive players to a unit that allowed the fewest yards per game and finished second in sacks. On the offensive side of the ball, Jacksonville upgraded its offensive line that led the NFL in rushing attempts and rushing yards per game with Leonard Fournette getting the carries. The Jags were dealt a blow in Week 3 of the preseason, though, losing their No. 1 wide receiver Marqise Lee for the season with a knee injury. Expect Jacksonville to be in the mix once again this season as we near the playoffs.

Indianapolis Colts

UNDER 6.5 wins (-140)

Although the Colts get Pro Bowl quarterback Andrew Luck back after he missed the entire 2017 season with a shoulder injury, it’s still going to be an uphill battle in 2018. Indianapolis allowed the most sacks in the NFL last season, the reason Luck was on the IR from the season prior, and already in the preseason has given up eight sacks, including four on Luck. On the defensive side of the ball, the Colts cut Johnathan Hankins and lost Jon Bostic to free agency from a unit that ranked 30th in the NFL in 2017 – yikes. The one bright side for the Colts defense is Malik Hooker, who made his return this preseason after missing the majority of his rookie year due to a knee injury suffered in Week 7. Indianapolis has a lot of issues it needs to work out and finding seven wins this year will be tough to do.

Tennessee Titans 

Derrick Henry OVER 7.5 TD’s - Rushing + Receiving (-125)

Last season was Derrick Henry’s best in his short two-year career. He rushed 176 times for 744 yards and five touchdowns while adding 11 catches for 136 yards and another touchdown. However, he was splitting time with DeMarco Murray last year, only starting two games. The chains should come off for Henry in 2018 as Murray was cut in the offseason, although the Titans did sign Dion Lewis, who will be used for many of the passing-down situations. Henry should get an uptick of 50 or more touches this season needing to find the end zone just two more times than he did in 2017.

Pittsburgh Steelers

OVER 10.5 wins (-105)

The Pittsburgh Steelers have been the model of consistency in the AFC North since the turn of the millennium, and the Steel Curtain are heavy -230 favorites to win the division in 2018. That price is far too steep, so consider the Steelers’ OVER 10.5 number. Pittsburgh has notched at least 10 wins in each of the last four seasons and is returning largely the same roster from last year’s club that won 13 games.

Baltimore Ravens

Not to make the playoffs (-165)

The Ravens have missed the playoffs in four of the last five years, and they’ll have an uphill battle to get back to the promised land in 2018. Baltimore’s decision to select Lamar Jackson with the last pick in the first round of this year’s NFL draft has led many to believe he’ll supplant Joe Flacco as the starting quarterback soon, but the rookie struggled mightily in the preseason. Another underwhelming season could be on tap for the black and purple.

Cincinnati Bengals

Andy Dalton - OVER 22.5 touchdowns (+105)

Andy Dalton has been a solid, yet unspectacular signal-caller since entering the league in 2011. He hasn’t been able to take the Bengals to the next level (or win a single playoff game, for that matter), and he’s perennially underrated as a result. But Dalton’s 25-touchdown, 12-interception performance in 2017 is solid considering how porous Cincy’s offensive line was, and the front office revamped the O-line for the upcoming campaign. Barring injury, expect Dalton to have significantly more time to sling it, so take the OVER 22.5 touchdown prop and run.

Cleveland Browns

UNDER 5.5 Wins (+115)

Everyone and their dog seems to be hammering the OVER 5.5 wins for the new-look Browns this year, but don’t be fooled: these are still the Browns we’re talking about. Cleveland will undoubtedly be a significantly improved team after last year’s 0-16 debacle, yet expecting them to reach the six-win mark right away is a stretch. The four- to five-win ballpark seems right for Hue Jackson and the Brownies.

Denver Broncos

Emmanuel Sanders OVER 4.5 receiving TDs (-115)

2017 was the first season since 2012 that Emmanuel Sanders didn’t catch OVER 4.5 touchdowns, and he might have if he didn’t miss four games with an ankle injury. Sanders is entering his ninth NFL season and in the preseason he has looked like he did in 2016 and prior when his ankle was healthy. Look for he and Case Keenum to hook up on short and intermediate slot routes that are money for receivers in the red zone. Keenum threw for 22 TDs last year in Minnesota; he’s got at least five for Emmanuel Sanders.

Kansas City Chiefs

Kareem Hunt OVER 1150 rushing yards (-115)

Hunt won the rushing title last season as a rookie and was named to the Pro Bowl on the strength of 1,327 yards out of the backfield. There are two schools of thought at the OddsShark editorial palatial estate on how the Chiefs will operate under Patrick Mahomes with his propensity for throwing the football. Will it take away too many of Hunt’s touches to reach 1,150, OR, will it keep defenses back and allow the threat of the pass to open up Hunt for even more offense? The votes are in, we’re backing Kareem Hunt.

Los Angeles Chargers

Win the AFC West (+150)

Philip Rivers opens his 13th season at the helm of the Chargers offense and while some pundits have them in the conversation for the AFC championship game, we’re going to temper the expectations and pick them to win the AFC West. LA won six of its last seven games in 2017 and is on a five-game home winning streak. If you’re really conservative, you can wait until after the Week 1 game vs the Chiefs to lock this in. But, beware, the oddsmakers move faster than you do and the value may come down. The Bolts have one of the “easier” schedules in the AFC and the extra win or two could be enough to put them over the top.

Oakland Raiders

UNDER 8 wins (-125)

Was 2016 an anomaly or was last season a hiccup? That’s the question with the Raiders. After finishing with 12 wins and hosting a playoff game in 2016, the Raiders fell flat last season. The silver and black are without WR Michael Crabtree (Baltimore), who was a favorite target for Derek Carr, especially in the red zone. Jordy Nelson parted ways with Green Bay after his production was cut in half last year and Martavis Bryant is still looking to regain his rookie form. Marshawn Lynch is another year older and is no longer the gamebreaker he was. Forgetting the offense for a second, the problem with the Raiders is that their defense is awful and former defensive player of the year Khalil Mack is holding out. While the hiring of Jon Gruden went over well with fans, it doesn’t look like it will go OVER in the win column.

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