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NFL Conference Championships Super Computer Picks

The 2017 NFL playoffs continue to yield positive results for the OddsShark Super Computer and after a profitable divisional round, it’s now 7-1 against the spread and 6-2 straight up. Both of the SU losses came last Sunday but both games were insanely close and if it weren’t for a clutch kicker and a bad holding call, the computer could easily be 8-0 ATS and SU.

With these things in mind, let’s take a look at the computer’s predictions for the AFC and NFC championship games that will feature Packers vs Falcons in the late-afternoon game and Steelers vs Patriots in the prime-time game.

Flying High on Hotlanta

The Falcons blew out the Seahawks last week and the computer likes them to do the same to the Packers in the final game at the Georgia Dome, predicting a 35.6-18.4 beatdown in favor of the Dirty Birds. That’s a pretty bold call from the heartless machine considering almost 60 percent of the public is betting on the Packers with the points.

The trends fly directly in the face of this prediction as the Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road playoff games, the Falcons are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games as favorites and the visiting team is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these teams.

I actually disagree with the computer on this pick as I’m on record saying that I – like the public – will be backing Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers has been nearly flawless the last few weeks and I just can’t see him losing this game by more than four points. This is the first time the computer and I have disagreed on a pick I’ve made on video during these playoffs so you’ll have to choose between man and machine on this one.

Click here for my analysis of the NFC Championship Game.

Patriots Continue their Bid for Vengeance

Two years after Deflategate, the Patriots are once again in position to win a Super Bowl. Tom Brady has been an unstoppable force since returning from his suspension and the computer likes handsome Tom and the Pats to easily advance past the killer B’s with a 28.4-15.9 win at Foxborough.

Unlike in the NFC game, the trends actually agree with the computer here as the Steelers are 2-7 in their last nine games against the Patriots and are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 against New England. Additionally, the Patriots have been dominating almost everyone on their home field this year and are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 at home.

Pittsburgh has struggled to a 3-10 record in its last 13 playoff games as an underdog but the Steelers’ nine-game win streak, during which they’ve covered the spread seven times, has got to be more than enough to put some fear into the hearts of Pats touters.

Another stat that is trouble for New England is Brady’s 1:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in conference championship games. The Pats were sloppy in their divisional round game against the Texans and if that trend continues, they could be in serious trouble against a much better Steelers team.

Click here for Joe Osborne’s analysis of the AFC Championship Game.

NFL Conference Championship Picks
DayAwayHomeaScorehScore
SunGreen Bay PackersAtlanta Falcons18.435.6
SunPittsburgh SteelersNew England Patriots15.928.4

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