Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (HOU -6, O/U 54)
Deshaun Watson and the Bill O’Brien-less Texans will host the Jacksonville Jaguars in an AFC South matchup Sunday. Gardner Minshew leads the Jags into Houston hoping to end their three-game skid, while the winless Texans hope a change of leadership will vault them to a victory in Week 5.
The sportsbooks are confident Houston will do so, listing the Texans as current 6-point favorites. When looking at this game for betting purposes, however, our model found a more distinctive edge on the total of 54 points.
We’re expecting a high-scoring matchup from these division foes, with our NFL model projecting a final score of 30.4-27.2 in favor of Houston. That gives us a solid edge on the OVER in this matchup, and our model suggests a $92 wager on OVER 54 for an average $100 bettor.
Prediction Machine’s NFL model was 129-75 ATS (63.2%) for +26.85 units and 117-98 (54.4%) on O/Us for +21.04 units in the 2019-20 season, producing a total profit of $4,789. Head over to predictionmachine.com/pricing and sign up to receive every NFL prediction.
Why will the total go OVER in Jaguars at Texans?
How to bet the spread in Jaguars at Texans:
Prediction Machine’s NFL model projects a final score of 30.4-27.2 in favor of the Texans. With a projected margin of victory of 3.2 points and the Texans currently listed as 6-point favorites, we have a solid edge on the Jaguars against the spread in this one. Our model suggests a $51 wager on JACKSONVILLE +6 for $100 average bettors.