The Green Bay Packers host the Chicago Bears Thursday night at Lambeau Field and if this game goes down like previous Bears-Packers meetings, it will reward UNDER bettors and Green Bay backers.
Eight of the last nine meetings between these bitter NFC North foes have played UNDER the total. And in those nine games, the Packers are 7-2 ATS.
Coming off of a loss at home to San Francisco, the Packers get another tough early-season test this week with the Chicago Bears coming in fresh off of a big win over Indianapolis. Green Bay is a 6-point home favorite at Sportsbook.
View Chicago vs Green Bay Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
The visitors opened as 4-point underdogs in this one at Sportsbook, while the total was hovering around 50 at most shops, including Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Packers rated this week at No. 22 and the Bears sitting at No. 5. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 48-20 result in favor of the Bears this week.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Green Bay's No. 18-ranked offense (22 PPG) against a Bears defense that ranks No. 13 at 21 PPG. The Packers passing attack has averaged 279 yards per game, less than the Bears give up through the air (293 YPG on average).
Chicago won its last outing, a 41-21 result against the Colts on September 9. The Bears covered in that game as a 10-point favorite, while the 62 combined points took the game OVER the total. Jay Cutler throttled the Colts defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 333 yards and 2 scores as Chicago handed Indianapolis a 41-21 defeat.
Last time out for Green Bay, they were a 30-22 loser as they battled the 49ers at home. The Packers failed to cover in the match as a 6-point favorite, while 52 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Aaron Rodgers handled the 49ers defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 303 yards and 2 scores, but Green Bay still lost to San Francisco 30-22.
Chicago Bears Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 5-5
Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing within the division are 9-1
A few Bears at Packers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games
Green Bay is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
Next up:
Chicago home to St. Louis, Sunday, September 23
Green Bay at Seattle, Monday, September 24
