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Brees Favored To Lead The NFL In Passing

If there has been one constant in the NFL, it’s that Drew Brees will be throwing the ball a lot. The New Orleans Saints signal-caller has paced the league in passing yards in five of the past six seasons. The lone outlier was when he finished second during the 2013 campaign.

Makes plenty of sense then that Brees is the +300 favorite to lead the NFL in passing yards in 2017.

Brees has made numerous pass catchers look more superior than they actually were during his tenure in New Orleans but he has a bit of a challenge ahead in 2017. The Saints traded away Brandin Cooks in the offseason after he paced the team in receiving yards in each of the past two seasons. The receiving corps still has youngster Michael Thomas and steady Willie Snead, so I wouldn’t expect much of a drop-off, if any, from Brees.

The best value belongs to reigning MVP Matt Ryan. The Atlanta Falcons quarterback has finished in the top five in passing yards each of the past four seasons and closed out last year second overall. Although the Falcons shelled out big bucks for Mohamed Sanu prior to last season, he proved that he wasn’t a major upgrade as a No. 2 receiver. However, Ryan was able to spread the ball around more and more with Julio Jones dominating.

Generally speaking, this category has been dominated by the same names for years. In 2016, four of the top five passers in terms of yardage were at least 31 years old, with Kirk Cousins the lone sub-30-year-old in the mix. You would imagine that at some point, the new generation of QBs would be able to pass these old gunslingers.

The young gun who stands out to me with the potential to lead the league is Jameis Winston. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback was just 22 last season but finished 12th in passer yards. The Bucs also went out and signed DeSean Jackson to complement Mike Evans in the passing game, which means Winston will now have two potential 1,000-yard pass catchers to throw to.

Who Will Lead the NFL in Passing Yards?

Odds as of September 5 at Bovada

  • Drew Brees (NO) +300
  • Tom Brady (NE) +550
  • Aaron Rodgers (GB) +700
  • Derek Carr (OAK) +800
  • Matt Ryan (ATL) +1000
  • Andrew Luck (IND) +1200
  • Kirk Cousins (WSH) +1400
  • Matthew Stafford (DET) +1600
  • Jameis Winston (TB) +1600
  • Philip Rivers (LAC) +1600
  • Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) +1600
  • Eli Manning (NYG) +2500
  • Russell Wilson (SEA) +4000
  • Joe Flacco (BAL) +4000
  • Andy Dalton (CIN) +4000
  • Carson Wentz (PHI) +4000
  • Marcus Mariota (TEN) +4000
  • Carson Palmer (ARZ) +6600
  • Blake Bortles (JAX) +6600
  • Dak Prescott (DAL) +6600
  • Sam Bradford (MIN) +6600
  • Cam Newton (CAR) +6600
  • Alex Smith (KC) +10000
  • Tyrod Taylor (BUF) +10000
  • Jared Goff (LAR) +10000
  • Brian Hoyer (SF) +10000
  • Mike Glennon (CHI) +10000
  • Trevor Siemian (DEN) +10000
  • Cody Kessler (CLE) +10000
  • Josh McCown (NYJ) +10000
  • Deshaun Watson (HOU) +20000
  • Mitchell Trubisky (CHI) +20000

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