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NFL Odds: Week 9 Betting Trends

Just how good are these Cincinnati Bengals? Coach Marvin Lewis' group that appeared on HBO's Hard Knocks is certainly living up to the billing the show presented prior to the season, as the AFC North leaders step on to the field Thursday night to kick off Week 9 on a bit of a tear.

Meanwhile their hosts - the Miami Dolphins - have been slumping.

At 5Dimes, Cincinnati is laying -3 points to the Fins, a line that seems somewhat like a gift. While the Bengals have won four in a row and receive a bye next week, Miami has followed three season-opening victories with four straight losses. (See Week 9 NFL trends on every game at bottom of this article).

At the books, however, the tale is told differently, and it's the boys out of South Beach who seem like the value play. Miami has won 10 of its last 12 meetings with the Bengals, who have failed to cover in 9 of those 12 games, dating back to 1980.

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On Sunday, the league's lone remaining undefeated team, the Kansas City Chiefs, are laying a field goal (-3) in Buffalo to the Bills. The Chiefs, and their fifth-ranked defense overall, are in a terrible ATS rut against Buffalo, having failed to cover 8 of the last 9 meetings. In addition, the Bills are a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS when hosting Kansas City, dating back to 1986.

On one positive note for Coach Andy Reid's Chiefs, they have won and covered three straight as the road chalk. Also make note, 8 of the last 11 meetings have played under.

In a pivotal NFC South clash, the surprising second-place Carolina Panthers are up to -9 against the third-place Atlanta Falcons. While the big black cats have covered 5 of 6 in NFC South play, the Dirty Birds have covered 7 of 9 in this series.

The defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens find themselves spiraling in the AFC North, sitting 2.5 games back of the Bengals, and just half a game in front of this week's opponent: Cleveland. The Ravens, who are laying 2.5 to their host, are on an astounding 10-1 ATS run following a bye week. Conversely, the Browns have lost 5 of 6 to the books before a bye week.

Teams coming off a bye week: Chicago Bears, Tennessee Titans, Indianapolis Colts, San Diego Chargers, Baltimore Ravens, Houston Texans

Teams heading into a bye week: Cleveland Browns, Kansas City Chiefs, New England Patriots, New York Jets

Thursday - Cincinnati     at Miami             

Miami is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati

Bengals 3-9 ATS vs Miami since 1980       

Kansas City         -4.5        at Buffalo            41.5       

Chiefs 1-8 ATS past nine games vs Bills

Eight of past 11 meetings played UNDER the total

Bills 6-0 SU & ATS at home vs Chiefs since 1986

Chiefs won and covered three straight as road chalk

Atlanta 46           at Carolina          -7

Falcons 7-2 SU past nine games vs Panthers

Panthers 5-1 ATS past six games within the division        

Minnesota          47           at Dallas               -10         

Vikings 7-1 SU and ATS past eight games vs Dallas

Cowboys won and covered three straight as home chalk

New Orleans     -3.5        at NY Jets            44          

Jets OVER is 9-2 past 11 seasons before a bye week

Jets 6-2 ATS past 8 seasons prior to bye week

Saints 6-1 ATS vs Jets since 1986

Tennessee          -3            at St. Louis          43

Four of the past five meetings played OVER the total

Titans 1-8 ATS past nine games as road favorites

OVER is 6-1 past seven Rams home games          

Rams 6-2-1 ATS past nine games as home underdog

San Diego                            at Washington

Chargers 1-4 ATS past 5 seasons after a bye week

Chargers 5-1-1 ATS past seven road games

Redskins just 2-9 SU at home in November since 2006

Philadelphia      -2.5        at Oakland         

Eagles 1-5 ATS vs Oakland since 1986

Raiders played six straight UNDERS as home dog              

Tampa Bay          41.5        at Seattle            -16         

Seven of eight meetings since 1986 played UNDER the total

Seahawks 19-6 ATS past 25 games as home favorite

Seahawks 10-3-1 ATS past 14 games as double-digit home chalk

Bucs 6-1 ATS past seven games as double-digit road underdogs

Baltimore            -2.5        at Cleveland      40

Ravens 10-1 ATS past 11 seasons after a bye week

Browns 1-5 ATS past 6 seasons before a bye week

Ravens played five straight UNDERs as road favorite

Pittsburgh           42.5        at New England                -6.5       

Steelers 3-8 ATS past 11 games vs Patriots

Patriots 4-12 ATS at home in November since 2006

Indianapolis       at Houston        

Colts OVER is 9-2 past 11 post-bye week games

Texans UNDER is 8-1 past 9 seasons after a bye week

Texans 8-2 ATS past 10 at home vs Colts

Past five meetings all played UNDER the total

UNDER is 13-1 past 14 Colts games vs division foes

Monday Night  

Chicago                49 at Green Bay               -8           

Bears 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS past five games at Lambeau

Chicago 7-3-1 ATS past 11 MNF

Packers 4-1 ATS past 5 MNF home games

Packers 8-0 ATS past eight as home favorite

Packers 12-1 ATS past 13 division games

Bears 1-6-1 ATS past eight games within NFC North