NFL Predictions Dominate Week 9

You may have read our NFL Week 9 Scores Prediction article last week in passing, then wondered aloud how the formula actually worked.

If you bet every prediction from last week, you went 12-2 ATS in 14 games, an impressive start to the machine’s work in 2011. (OddsShark.com only focuses on its picks after Week 8 when a half season worth of stats, trends and line activity are in the books).

The only games where it missed was the Texans vs Browns (and that was close as the machine picked a 27-15 final, not quite enough to cover 12.5 points, so it picked the Browns ATS) and the Jets upsetting Buffalo.

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It nailed every other game against the spread. It was a modest 8-6 in picking over-unders.

Before we get to the Week 10 NFL picks, take a peek at the results from last week, with the predicted score on the left and the actual results on the right.

Predict Away        Predict Home                Line       Total      ATS        OU         Actual

San Francisco  31    Washington        16      +3.5       38           SF           OV          19-11 SF

Tampa Bay       19      New Orleans      34      -9            50           NO         OV          27-16 NO

Miami                12      Kansas City         14      -4            40.5        MIA       UN         31-3 MIA

Atlanta         22      Indianapolis        7        +8           44.5        ATL         UN         31-7 ATL

Cleveland    15      Houston               27      -12.5      41           CLE         OV          30-12 HOU

Seattle          13      Dallas                    20      -12.5      44.5        SEA        UN         23-13 DAL

New York Jets   27   Buffalo                 33      -1.5        44.5        BUF        OV          27-11 NYJ

Cincinnati            27  Tennessee          20      -1.5        42           CIN         OV          24-17 CIN

Denver       14   Oakland               21      -9.5        41.5        DEN       UN             38-24 DEN

Green Bay           37   San Diego            25      +5.5       50.5        GB          OV          45-38 GB

NY Giants            26   New England     31      -9            51           NYG       OV          24-20 NYG

St Louis            7      Arizona            16           -3            42           ARI         UN         19-13 ARZ

Baltimore            31   Pittsburgh      25           -3.5        42           BAL        OV          23-20 BAL

Chicago      26        Philadelphia       27      -9            47           CHI         OV          30-24 CHI

In Week 10 handicapping, the machine actually picks a pair of ties. Maybe the 29-29 prediction in the Jets Patriots game is appropriate since the odds are EV in that game.

The scores predictor is picking seven underdogs among the 15 games (it predicts a 26-19 final in the Eagles vs Cardinals game but there is still no line posted on that game).

It has five of those dogs not only covering but winning outright, which serves as an alert to NFL moneyline bettors to check out the dog lines on those games (Bengals, Titans, Bills, Broncos, Lions).

It predicts more OVERs again this week at a 9-6 mark.

Check out the Week 10 NFL predictions, then find the best line at shops such as Bovada and 5Dimes for the latest numbers and coolest bonuses.

Away            Score     Home                   Score     Spread  total      Cover?  OU?

Oakland          21           San Diego            24           -7            47.5        OAK       U

Pittsburgh      24           Cincinnati            27           3              41.5        CIN         O

Washington   15           Miami                   15           -4            37.5        WAS      U

Tennessee     21           Carolina                20           -3.5        46           TEN        U

New Orleans 34           Atlanta                27           EV           49.5        NO         O

Buffalo          29           Dallas                    24           -5.5        48           BUF        O

Jacksonville   11           Indianapolis        2              3              37.5        JAC         U

Denver         16           Kansas City         14           -3            41.5        DEN       U

Houston          30           Tampa Bay          16           3              45.5        HOU      O

St. Louis         5              Cleveland            12           -1.5        37           CLE         U

Arizona         19           Philadelphia       26           NA          NA          NA          NA

Baltimore       30           Seattle           12           7              41           BAL        O

Detroit            35           Chicago               27           -1.5        45           DET        O

NY Giants      24           San Francisco     33           -3            42.5        SF           O

New England  29        NY Jets                29           EV           47.5        PUSH     O

Minnesota     22           Green Bay           38           -14.5      50.5        GB          O