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Super Bowl 52: Eagles Bettors Should be Happy that Gene Steratore is Working

Gene Steratore NFL Super Bowl LII

While there is no shortage of material to cap for the Super Bowl, one part of the game — and any NFL game, for that matter — that can sometimes get overlooked is the officiating. In fact, one might even say that you would be remiss to not be at least on nodding terms with the zebras who are working the game you’re going to bet.

Gene Steratore was assigned the Super Bowl last week and brings 15 years of officiating experience into the game (12 years as referee) and it will be his first appearance in a Super Bowl.

During the regular season, Steratore worked 15 games, with favorites going 12-3 straight up and 8-5-2 against the spread. OVERs had a slight edge in totals, going 8-6-1 in those contests. He worked two Pats games (Week 7 vs the Falcons, Week 13 at Buffalo) and one Eagles game (Week 9 vs the Broncos) with the two Super Bowl 52 participants winning and covering the spread.

As far as his playoff career is concerned, this will be his 10th game as referee. So far, underdogs have made out quite well, going 4-5 SU and 6-3 ATS.

Perhaps more interestingly, though, is the Eagles’ success with Steratore working their games. The Eagles have played 13 games since 2007 with Steratore and have gone 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS. A more recent sample size reveals a five-game SU winning streak (4-1 ATS) and a mark of 9-1 SU since December 7, 2008.

Eagles With Steratore
DateAwayScoreHomeScoreSU ResultPHI SpreadATS ResultTotalOU
Nov 5, 2017DEN23PHI51W-7.0W41.0O
Jan 3, 2016PHI35NYG30W+3.5W50.5O
Sep 27, 2015PHI24NYJ17W+3.0W47.0U
Nov 10, 2014CAR21PHI45W-7.0W48.5O
Dec 29, 2013PHI24DAL22W-7.0L52.5U
Oct 28, 2012ATL30PHI17L-2.5L43.0O
Oct 30, 2011DAL7PHI34W-3.0W49.0U
Sep 11, 2011PHI31STL13W-3.5W44.0P
Nov 29, 2009WAS24PHI27W-10.0L40.5O
Dec 7, 2008PHI20NYG14W+6.5W40.5U
Oct 5, 2008WAS23PHI17L-6.5L42.0U
Nov 25, 2007PHI28NE31L+24.0W51.5O
Sep 23, 2007DET21PHI56W-5.0W44.0O

There are a lot of W’s in that chart. So of note here is that the Eagles have a SU winning percentage of 76.9 when Steratore is working compared to 55.4 percent overall over that span. When it comes to the betting window, Philly has posted a 51.4 percent ATS clip together in that time frame but with Steratore specifically, that climbs all the way up to 69.2 percent.

Our complete referee data goes back to 2012 and the Eagles’ 5-1 SU record in Steratore games is tied for the best among NFL referees (with at least five games worked) with Clete Blakeman. As far as the spread goes, Philly’s 4-2 ATS record ranks fourth behind Ed Hochuli’s 6-1 ATS, Blakeman’s 5-1 ATS and Walt Coleman’s 5-2 ATS records.

As far as the Pats are concerned, there isn’t too much that pops off the page. The Pats have a SU winning percentage of 79.0 since the start of 2007 (regular season only) and an ATS winning percentage of 60.9. In Steratore’s games, the SU percentage dips a little to 73.3 (11-4 SU) while the ATS percentage drops to 57.1 (8-6 ATS with one push).

Patriots With Steratore
DateAwayScoreHomeScoreSU ResultNE SpreadATS ResultTotalOU
Dec 3, 2017NE23BUF3W-7.5W49.0U
Oct 22, 2017ATL7NE23W-2.5W55.5U
Dec 24, 2016NYJ3NE41W-17.0W45.0U
Nov 13, 2016SEA31NE24L-7.5L49.5O
Nov 23, 2015BUF13NE20W-7.0P47.5U
Nov 24, 2013DEN31NE34W+2.0W54.0O
Oct 6, 2013NE6CIN13L-1.0L45.5U
Oct 7, 2012DEN21NE31W-6.0W50.5O
Nov 13, 2011NE37NYJ16W+1.0W47.0O
Nov 21, 2010IND28NE31W-4.5L50.0O
Dec 6, 2009NE21MIA22L-5.0L46.5U
Oct 18, 2009TEN0NE59W-9.0W38.5O
Dec 28, 2008NE13BUF0W-5.5W34.5U
Nov 13, 2008NYJ34NE31L-3.0L40.5O
Nov 25, 2007PHI28NE31W-24.0L51.5O

As you can tell, Steratore has worked one game where these two teams met but that was way back in 2007. New England won that game (as it did every other regular-season game that year) by a score of 31-28 but failed to cover as a 24-point fave, the highest number Tom Brady and company saw all that season.

The Eagles’ numbers with Steratore working the game is quite an interesting angle, as is the fact that the man hails from the great state of Pennsylvania, though closer to Pittsburgh than Philly. Now, I’m not one to sport a tinfoil hat and I certainly don’t think the world is run by lizard people (or whatever the hell that one is) but these two things together will make me think a little harder about my wager in Super Bowl 52.

You folks? I mean, you can take it or leave it, I’m just putting it out there for you. But at the very least, know who your referees are every Sunday, especially Super Bowl Sunday.