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Odds on NFL Teams to Make or Miss the Playoffs

NFL Playoff Odds October 21 2020 Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury discussing a play on the sideline

We’re six weeks into the 2020 NFL regular season and playoff races in both the AFC and NFC conferences are taking shape. According to the latest “odds to make NFL playoffs” props, the Kansas City Chiefs and Seattle Seahawks are the top two likeliest teams to make the postseason.

The Chiefs have -6600 odds to be in the 2020 NFL playoffs according to online sportsbook Bovada while also being the favorite to win Super Bowl 55.

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The best NFL betting sites are offering odds on all 32 teams to make the postseason, with the Chiefs and Seahawks (-3300) having the shortest odds to make the NFL playoffs. The teams that have the longest odds to make the playoffs are the winless New York Jets, who are 0-6 and have +1600 odds, and the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are 1-5 and are also at +1600.

Bettors should know the 2020 season features a major change in playoff format with seven teams now qualifying from each conference for a chance to make and win the Super Bowl.

Here are every NFL team’s odds to make or miss the playoffs for the 2020 season and below it are some teams to keep an eye on:

Odds To Make or Miss 2020 NFL Playoffs

2020 NFL Odds To Make Playoffs
TeamMake PlayoffsMiss Playoffs2020 Record
Arizona CardinalsEVEN-1304-2
Atlanta Falcons+1100-50001-5
Baltimore Ravens-2900+9005-1
Buffalo Bills-200+1504-2
Carolina Panthers+275-4003-3
Chicago Bears-230+1705-1
Cincinnati Bengals+1400-100001-4-1
Cleveland Browns-190+1454-2
Dallas Cowboys-135+1052-4
Denver Broncos+625-13002-3
Detroit Lions+385-6252-3
Green Bay Packers-950+5254-1
Houston Texans+750-19001-5
Indianapolis Colts-145+1104-2
Jacksonville Jaguars+1600-150001-5
Kansas City Chiefs-6600+12005-1
Las Vegas Raiders+110-1453-1
Los Angeles Chargers+625-13001-4
Los Angeles Rams-230+1704-2
Miami Dolphins+315-4653-3
Minnesota Vikings+550-10001-5
New England PatriotsEVEN-1302-3
New Orleans Saints-350+2453-2
New York Giants+850-25001-5
New York Jets+1600-150000-6
Philadelphia Eagles+150-2001-4-1
Pittsburgh Steelers-1300+6255-0
San Francisco 49ers+150-2003-3
Seattle Seahawks-3300+9505-0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers-320+2304-2
Tennessee Titans-950+5255-0

All odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Arizona Cardinals

This is a value play for the Arizona Cardinals because while nobody will take them to win the NFC West, they are in a great position to make the NFL playoffs. If the playoffs were to begin today, the Cardinals would be the No. 6 seed, just ahead of the Rams due to a tiebreaker.

Offensively, the Cardinals seem to still be a work-in-progress as QB Kyler Murray figures out when to pick his spots for a 15-yard scamper or simply toss it to WR DeAndre Hopkins.

But the main reason the Cardinals are a good pick after starting the season 4-2 is the winnable games they have coming up. They’ve got games vs the Dolphins, Bills, Giants and 49ers and an eight-win team is likely getting into the NFC playoffs. Now is the time to pull the trigger on the Cardinals.

Arizona Cardinals - 2020 Season
Make PlayoffsMiss Playoffs2019 Record

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

New England Patriots

Maybe Tom Brady was a bit overrated in his final two seasons in New England but one thing is clear: the quarterback play for the Patriots has not been great this season. Yes, Cam Newton is a huge step up from the likes of Brian Hoyer or Jarrett Stidham but his accuracy issues have been slowly resurfacing. He hasn’t had a completion rate better than 70 percent since Week 1 vs the Dolphins.

Head coach Bill Belichick may be the master of maximizing talent but the Patriots have now played two games in a row in which they were in a position to win and couldn’t execute in the fourth quarter. That being said, Belichick is an expert at game-to-game adjustments and it may be too early to write off the Patriots considering they’ve made the playoffs in all but two seasons since 2001. 

The odds for the Patriots to NOT make the playoffs at -130 have to be seriously considered because of the poor quarterback play, an inefficient offense, their remaining schedule and simply the overall competition in the AFC. The Patriots may get some easy wins over the Jets but the rest of the AFC East isn’t a pushover as it was in years past and they’ve also got some tough games vs the 49ers, Ravens and Rams. 

This prop will likely come down to New England’s last three games as they face the Bills, Dolphins and Jets to close the season.  

New England Patriots - 2020 Season
Make PlayoffsMiss Playoffs2019 Record

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

How to Read NFL Playoff Odds

When you check out your favorite NFL sportsbook, playoffs odds would look something like this:

Miami Dolphins - 2020 Season
Make PlayoffsMiss Playoffs

In this case, Miami’s NFL odds to make the playoffs are slim at +315 (24.1 percent implied probability). But, you can still make a prop bet – more on that later – on them to not make it to the postseason. It sounds counterproductive to bet against a team’s divisional failures; however, in this case, it makes the most sense. For instance, if you were to lay $100 down on the Dolphins at +315, you’d get a payout of $415 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $315.

Our Odds Calculator will tell you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

What are Prop Bets?

Props are bets made on the occurrence or non-occurrence of certain events. These may not necessarily correlate to the outcome of a particular game. Instead of betting on a team to cover the spread or win outright, you would wager on whether they’re going to make the playoffs or not.

As the season progresses, oddsmakers will adjust the betting lines to reflect wins, losses, coaching changes and trades. If you see odds you like, it’s best to take them early because before you know it, the playoffs will be upon us and it’ll be too late.