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NFL Trends: Week 10

New England has won 17 of 18 against Buffalo, but they have struggled at home in November.

Which trend do you like best? Do any of them matter? Trends can cut both ways and it’s usually some other handicapping angle – like the fact the Pats are coming off a bye or the fact the Bills never win in the division – that is more significant.

Week 10 trends might be more about the end of trends. The Colts just broke a 10-game road losing skid and they are favored in Jacksonville. The Lions ended a 13-game losing skid at Minnesota a year ago and they are small dogs heading to the Metrodome this week.

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The Falcons and Saints meet in New Orleans in a battle of teams that almost never lose in the month of November. The Cowboys never cover the spread against division foes and the Eagles always seem to.

As always, bye week consideration must be taken into account. Teams coming byes include St. Louis and San Francisco (who meet in SF), New England and the New York Jets. Teams heading into bye weeks in Week 11 include Tennessee, Minnesota, NY Giants and Seattle.

Check out the latest trends and angles and watch NFL line moves here at Odds Shark.

Indianapolis    17.4        Jacksonville        8.7          +3           IND        42.5    U            

The total has gone OVER in 8 of past 11 meetings at Jacksonville
Colts snapped 10-game road SU losing streak in last game
Colts played 9 straight UNDERs within AFC South
UNDER is 7-1 past 8 Jags games within AFC South

NY Giants        32.6        Cincinnati            21.3        +4              NYG       48.5    O            

Five of 6 meetings since 1980 played OVER total
Giants 8-1 SU & ATS past 9 road games
Bengals 1-7-1 ATS past 9 home games

Detroit              23.5        Minnesota          23.8        -2.5        DET        47       O            

UNDER is 7-2 past 9 Vikes-Lions meetings
Lions ended 13-game losing skid at Minny in 2011
OVER is 9-1 past 10 times Lions were favorites
Lions 0-5-1 ATS past 6 vs NFC North foes
Vikings 1-11 SU past 12 within NFC North

Tennessee       9.6          Miami                   26.2        -4.5        MIA       44       U            

UNDER is 9-1 since 1980 when Titans visit Miami
OVER is 6-1 past 7 Titans games as underdog
Miami 2-11 SU past 13 vs AFC South teams
OVER is 7-2 past 9 Titans games vs AFC East

San Diego        27           Tampa Bay          28.7        -2.5        SD           48       O            

Chargers 6-1 SU & ATS past 7 vs Bucs
Past 6 SD-TB meetings played OVER the total
OVER is 7-1-1 past 9 Chargers games as underdog
Bucs 2-6 SU & ATS past 8 at home

Buffalo             18.4        New England     38.4        -9.5        NE          51       O            

Bills 1-17 SU past 18 vs Patriots
Bills 3-8-1 ATS past 12 road games
Bills 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS past 7 vs AFC East foes
OVER is 14-1 past 15 Pats games vs AFC East
Patriots 3-11 ATS past 14 November home games

Denver             30.6        Carolina                19.2        3              DEN       48.5    O            

Only 4th meeting alltime, other 3 UNDER total
Panthers 6-14 ATS past 20 home games
Broncos won and covered 4 in a row as favorite

Atlanta             34.9        New Orleans      23.9        +1           ATL         53.5    O            

Falcons 2-10 SU past 12 vs Saints
Past 4 Saints-Falcons meetings here played OVER total
Falcons 7-3 ATS past 10 road games
Saints 14-3 ATS past 17 home games
Saints won 12 straight November games SU
Falcons 9-1 SU past 10 November games

Oakland           17           Baltimore            27.1        -7.5        BAL        46       U            

Raiders 1-9 SU, 2-8 ATS past 10 vs Ravens
Raiders 0-5 ATS at Baltimore since 1985
Raiders 12-4 ATS past 16 as underdog
Ravens 3-8 ATS past 11 games as favorite

NY Jets              16.5        Seattle                  22.3        -5.5        SEA        38.5    O            

Jets 9-2 ATS past 11 games after a bye week
Jets 8-2 SU past 10 vs Seattle
Seattle 12-2 ATS past 14 home games
Jets UNDER is 13-3 past 16 games after a bye week

St. Louis           13.1        San Francisco     30           -11          SF           38      O            

49ers OVER is 11-1 past 12 games after a bye week
Rams 2-9 SU past 11 trips to SF
Rams 1-12 SU, 3-10 ATS past 13 road games
49ers 6-1-1 ATS past 8 as double-digit fave

Dallas                16.3        Philadelphia       14           -1            DAL        45       U            

UNDER is 7-1 past 8 Dallas road games
Cowboys 1-9 ATS past 10 vs NFC East foes
Eagles 10-2 ATS past 12 vs NFC East foes
Eagles played 8 straight UNDERs with division

Houston           35.3        Chicago                37.3          PK           CHI         43       O            

Texans 2-0 SU & ATS career vs Bears
Texans 7-2 ATS past 9 road games
Texans 6-0 ATS past 6 November games
Bears 7-1 ATS past 8 November games

Kansas City     9.4          Pittsburgh           26.1        -11.5      PIT          43      U    

Steelers 1-6 ATS past 7 vs AFC West teams
Steelers played 6 straight home UNDERs
UNDER is 6-2 past 8 KC Monday Nighters