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NFL Week 1 OddsShark Computer Picks

A great Sunday night game to start the season sees the Brady-less Patriots go up against Carson Palmer and the Arizona Cardinals. The OddsShark Super Computer has the Cardinals winning 27-15, a score that would easily cover the spread for Arizona.

Jimmy Garoppolo may have a tough time dealing with the aggressiveness of the Cardinals defense if the offensive line in front of him looks anything like it did last year. ’Zona has won its last seven games in September and is being touted as one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl.

Last season, the Cardinals scored 30.6 points per game and the Patriots scored 29.1. The Arizona defense is stout and the loss of Brady is worth somewhere in the range of 6-10 points – I think the computer has this pick right on.

Biggest Predicted Blowout

Our computer is putting a lot of faith in the Eagles in Week 1 as it has predicted them to absolutely shellac the Browns with a scoreline of 30.7-9.9. The Chargers were a close second in potential blowout predictions as the computer has them losing to the Chiefs 30.3-10.2.

The trends agree with the computer on the Browns-Eagles pick as Cleveland is 0-11 straight up and 2-9 against the spread in its last 11 games on Week 1. Additionally, the Browns are 0-9 in their last nine games as underdogs. The spread in this game is well under a touchdown right now so if you believe the numbers, the Eagles are a great spread bet.

Home Sweet Home

The computer is really hot on home teams this week as it has just two of them, the New York Jets and the Jacksonville Jaguars, losing at home. In fact, the computer thinks the only road team that will score over 20 points is the Packers, who coincidentally enough play the Jaguars in Week 1.

Six of the home teams that the computer thinks will win on the spread this weekend are underdogs so there could be some serious money to be made if you put your faith in those teams favored to lose.

Flying Under the Radar

If you’re a fan of high-scoring games and offensive shootouts, the computer has some bad news for you. Of the 16 games on the docket this weekend, the computer has predicted that not one game will go OVER the set total. Over the last 100 picks, the computer has a 52-43-5 record on opening line OVER/UNDERs so there is something to this.

Week 1 NFL Computer Picks
ThuCarolina PanthersDenver Broncos15.623
SunGreen Bay PackersJacksonville Jaguars23.315.6
SunBuffalo BillsBaltimore Ravens16.423.3
SunCleveland BrownsPhiladelphia Eagles9.930.7
SunTampa Bay BuccaneersAtlanta Falcons15.327.7
SunChicago BearsHouston Texans12.327.4
SunCincinnati BengalsNew York Jets19.919.1
SunSan Diego ChargersKansas City Chiefs10.230.3
SunOakland RaidersNew Orleans Saints1528.7
SunMinnesota VikingsTennessee Titans 17.918.4
SunMiami DolphinsSeattle Seahawks14.625
SunDetroit LionsIndianapolis Colts15.626.5
SunNew York Giants Dallas Cowboys18.424.9
SunNew England PatriotsArizona Cardinals 1527
MonPittsburgh SteelersWashington Redskins1624.2
MonLos Angeles RamsSan Francisco 49ers19.423