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NFL Week 1 Trends

The NFL trend dummy is back with a few select trends from Week 1 that may help you put some much-needed cash in your pocket to start the season. We've scoped out some interesting trends for three Week 1 games that could be the difference between you making a winning bet and dumping half your bankroll right away. The first game to make our list was the Week 1 tilt between the Dolphins and Bills in Buffalo. The odds for this contest currently have the visiting Dolphins as a 3-point road favorite. The trends say otherwise. The last time the Dolphins and Bills met in Buffalo last season the Fish were also a 3-point favorite. The end result was a 31-14 win for the Bills.


That rout by the Bills isn't the only reason you may want to put some underdog cash on Buffalo. In their last 12 trips to Buffalo the Dolphins sport a lackluster 4-8 record SU and an even worse 3-9 mark ATS. Buffalo has been a bettor's dream in Week 1 the last five seasons with a perfect 5-0 record ATS, while the Dolphins are a pathetic 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven season openers. Do yourself and your bankroll a favor and bet the Bills as the underdog. [ Not every sportsbook offers great NFL underdog odds - this one does - Bovada ] The second game on our trend-spotting quest is Cleveland at Tampa Bay. The Browns and Buccaneers combined to win only eight games last season and neither greatly improved in the offseason, so don't expect a battle of the titans this weekend. The odds for this game currently have the Bucs as a 3-point home favorite. Trying to pick a winner here is like trying to choose from the lesser of two evils, but the trends and an injury update should help. Get the most betting options and fastest payouts of any sportsbook. Click here! Cleveland actually finished off last season on a high note, with four straight wins SU and seven wins in a row ATS. However, they haven't had that kind of success on the road lately with a 2-9 SU record and 5-6 ATS mark in their last 11 away from home. They've also been slow starters and have lost their last five season openers ATS. The Bucs have also been unkind to bettors to start the season in recent years and they sport a 2-7 record ATS in their last nine season openers. Tampa Bay also has only one win in their last 10 homes games and a 1-9 ATS record. Tampa Bay at least gets starting QB Josh Freeman back this week after he missed almost the entire preseason with a broken thumb. Going by the Bucs' horrible recent home record and Freeman's lack of playing time the Browns also look like a decent underdog play this weekend.

Game 3 in our Week 1 trend roundup is Carolina at the Giants. This is the regular season opener for the new Meadowlands, but I wouldn't expect too many fireworks on the field. The Panthers' offense was non-existent during the preseason - they scored a league-low 33 points and did not record a single offensive touchdown in four games. The Panthers' offensive ineptitude in the preseason isn't the only reason we're recommending taking the UNDER on the posted total of 41. There's also the fact that Carolina is 10-2-1 to the UNDER in their last 13 season openers.