I don’t know about you, but I feel like it’s been a strange week. This likely has something to do with daylight savings time, which was convenient on Sunday morning as it gave me some extra time to recover following a late night of UFC watching and beer “tasting.” But now, I don’t like that it gets darker earlier, so I’ll be taking my displeasure out on that greaseball bookie who probably lusts after the darkness like a perverted vampire.
So, on to the business at hand. If you’ve been a weekly consumer of the NFL Betting Primer, you know I’m all about net yards per play, or more importantly, net yards per play over a team’s last three games.
Looking at the top seven teams below, they’re a combined 17-4 ATS, while the bottom six are 3-17-1 ATS. If that isn’t proof of how valuable this stat is, I don’t know what else is.
Here’s a look at the best and worst teams in that spot coming into Week 10:
|BEST TEAMS||WORST TEAMS|
|Jacksonville (2-1 ATS)||NY Giants (1-2 ATS)|
|New Orleans (2-1 ATS)||San Francisco (0-3 ATS)|
|Seattle (1-2 ATS)||Green Bay (0-3 ATS)|
|Philadelphia (3-0 ATS)||Indianapolis (2-1 ATS)|
|Minnesota (3-0 ATS)||Cincinnati (0-3 ATS)|
|Pittsburgh (3-0 ATS)||Tampa Bay (0-2-1 ATS)|
|Dallas (3-0 ATS)||Denver (0-3 ATS)|
And one quick trend to keep tabs on this week and for the remainder of the season: Teams coming off TNF games are now 10-4-2 ATS with a 12-4 O/U record. This is relevant for the Bills and Jets this week.
ENJOY THE ACTION AND KEEP CHASING THAT PAPER!
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