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NFL Week 11 OddsShark Computer Picks

One of the marquee matchups this week is an international one between the Oakland Raiders and Houston Texans in Mexico City on Monday night. The OddsShark Super Computer is going with the silver and black both straight up and against the spread as it’s predicting the Raiders to win by 15 points.

Oakland opened as a 3.5-point favorite but that number was bet up to 5.5 at the time this article was written. The Raiders are tied with the Patriots and Chiefs for the best record in the AFC and they’re starting to look like legitimate contenders.

The Raiders still have some work to do on defense but the Texans have looked terrible on the offensive side of the football. They are currently the second-least efficient team on offense and it’s very unlikely they outscore the Raiders – who have been absolutely lethal with the football.

The Weekly “the Browns are Projected to Lose” segment

Our computer is expecting it to be just another week in the NFL as it’s projecting the Browns to once again lose and fail to cover. A loss to the Steelers this week would drop their overall record to 0-11 and a failure to cover would put their ATS record at a pathetic 2-9 – by far the worst in the NFL.

I agree wholeheartedly with this prediction as I think the Browns will go winless until their last game of the season when they play the Steelers for the final time of 2016. This would most likely knock the Steelers out of a playoff spot and would ruin my bet of the Browns to finish the season 0-16 – that’s not cynical, is it?

Are Home Teams due for a good week?

Contrary to what happened last week when underdogs went 10-4 against the spread, the computer likes the favorites to go 11-3 against the spread in Week 11 and 12-2 straight up. The computer also likes home teams again this week as it’s projecting a 10-4 ATS record for home teams and an 11-3 SU record for them.

With just two underdogs expected to win straight up, it’s not looking to be a good week for moneyline dog value. The two teams expected to grab unexpected wins are the Rams and Titans. LA will face the Miami Dolphins at home with Jared Goff at the starting quarterback helm for the first time in his career – approach with caution.

’Member the Titans?

The Colts have beaten the Titans in 10 straight games but the computer thinks Tennessee’s bleeding stops this week as it’s predicting the underdog Titans to come away with a straight-up 29-24 win in Indy on Sunday. If the Titans were to win this week, it would be just their second win in 17 games vs their division rivals from Indiana.

Tennessee looked like an offensive juggernaut against the Packers last Sunday but in all fairness so did Indy the week before. The Colts have the 31st most efficient team defense in the league and are the worst team at defending the run. DeMarco Murray could be in for a career day against the soft front seven possessed by Indianapolis and that will most likely be more than enough for the Titans to extend their lead over the Colts in the AFC South standings.

Here’s the complete list of computer picks for Week 11:

Week 11 NFL Computer Picks
ThuNew Orleans SaintsCarolina Panthers22.131.6
SunPittsburgh SteelersCleveland Browns30.817.5
SunChicago Bears  New York Giants18.825.5
SunJacksonville JaguarsDetroit Lions18.428.6
SunBuffalo BillsCincinnati Bengals18.930.8
SunBaltimore RavensDallas Cowboys1333.1
SunArizona CardinalsMinnesota Vikings19.323.7
SunTampa Bay BuccaneersKansas City Chiefs16.930.6
SunTennessee TitansIndianapolis Colts2923.8
SunMiami DolphinsLA Rams1822.9
SunNew England PatriotsSan Francisco 49ers34.916.9
SunPhiladelphia EaglesSeattle Seahawks18.228.4
SunGreen Bay PackersWashington Redskins17.134.2
MonHouston Texans Oakland Raiders14.929.7