NFL Week 12 OddsShark Computer Picks

The AFC West has been the most competitive division in football this year and that trend most likely won’t be changing this weekend when the Kansas City Chiefs travel to Mile High Stadium to take on the Denver Broncos with both teams looking to improve to 8-3. The OddsShark Super Computer expects a tight contest but is giving the slight edge to the Broncos in this week’s Sunday nighter.

This game opened with the lowest total on the board and with a projected score of 22.3-22, KC and Denver should go well OVER the Sportsbook total of 39.5. Despite Andy Reid’s Chiefs posting six consecutive UNDERs and Gary Kubiak’s defense being one of the most efficient in the NFL, this total seems a little too low.

I’m Thankful for Football

Turkey Day in the USA means tripleheader NFL action and, probably, a whole lot of day-drinking. If you are to make it through the entire 12 hours of football, make sure to pace yourself and you may want to save the hard stuff for the nightcap between the Steelers and Colts if you have money on it. Scott Tolzien will be making his fourth career start in lieu of the concussed Andrew Luck but amazingly, the computer likes the man with a career 67.1 quarterback rating to lead Indy to a 25.5-22.3 win over the Steelers.

In more unsurprising news, the computer likes the Dallas Cowboys to continue their winning streak with a 33.9-19.7 victory over the division rival Redskins. A win and cover on Thanksgiving would be the Cowboys’ 10th consecutive win and cover and they would become the first team to achieve that feat since the 1990s.

I’m All out of Browns Jokes

If you came here for me to tell you that this is the week the Browns would finally get their act together and chalk one up in the win column, you came to the wrong place. Cleveland will play another round of quarterback roulette this weekend while hosting the New York Giants and the computer is anticipating another lopsided scoreline that does not favor the Browns.

A loss this week would bring the Browns to 0-12 and would be the last one Cleveland has to endure before taking its much-needed bye week. The rumors have started to swirl that Robert Griffin III is back at practice and that might mean something – if the Browns could finish better than 5-11 this season.

Cleveland hasn’t covered in five straight weeks and it looks like backers are going to come away empty-handed once again in Week 12 – Giants win 29.2-14.3.   

Over the Moon

If you play the game where you take a drink every time a point is scored in the NFL, you may want to hold off this week. The computer is predicting that 12 of the 16 games in Week 12 will go OVER their set total and that’s a trend the 84-74-3 year-to-date OVER/UNDER record agrees with.

Before last week, which saw 11 of 14 games go UNDER, the O/U record for the year was 81-63-3. If you’ve been riding the OVER this season, it’s been good on your pocketbook.

Week 12 NFL Computer Picks
Day Away Home aScore hScore
Thu Minnesota Vikings Detroit Lions 17.4 25.4
Thu Washington Redskins Dallas Cowboys 19.7 33.9
Thu Pittsburgh Steelers   Indianapolis Colts 22.3 25.5
Sun Tennessee Titans Chicago Bears 25.6 23.9
Sun Arizona Cardinals Atlanta Falcons 18.3 29.3
Sun New York Giants Cleveland Browns 29.2 14.3
Sun Los Angeles Rams New Orleans Saints 16.5 30.3
Sun Jacksonville Jaguars Buffalo Bills 16.5 30.5
Sun Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens 19.3 27.5
Sun San Diego Chargers Houston Texans 24.9 21.4
Sun San Francisco 49ers Miami Dolphins 10.8 35.2
Sun Seattle Seahawks Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23.9 27.4
Sun New England Patriots New York Jets 28.5 19.3
Sun Carolina Panthers Oakland Raiders 22 26.4
Sun Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos 22 22.3
Mon Green Bay Packers Philadelphia Eagles 17 30.6