The Week 12 NFL matchup between the Texans and the Titans could be a boom for totals and spread bettors this weekend if the trends don't lie.
If you're a totals bettor the trends will tell you to take the UNDER this weekend when Tennessee visits Houston. No matter what divisional foe the Titans have clashed with recently, the final score has almost always fallen UNDER the total. Tennessee has posted an UNDER in five straight games versus AFC South opponents, and they're 8-2 UNDER in their last 10 in the division. The total has also gone UNDER the last two times Tennessee has visited Houston.
For spread bettors the trends are pointing to the Titans to cover on the road. Tennessee sports an 8-2 record SU and a 7-3 mark ATS in their last 10 against Houston, and in their last seven games on the road in November they're a profitable 6-1 ATS. Also notable is the Texans' lame 1-7 record SU and 2-6 record ATS in their last eight games within the division.
There are also some interesting trends for both totals and spread bettors for this weekend's Tampa Bay at Baltimore game.
Starting with the spread, you might want to think about putting some money on the Bucs as a 9-point road underdog at Sportsbook.ag. Most people expect teams that play in warmer climates, like Tampa Bay, to lose when they have to brave the cold on the road later in the season. Traveling to colder regions hasn't bothered the Bucs, though, as they're 6-1 ATS in their last seven on the road in November.
Tampa Bay has been killing it on the road all season with a 4-1 record SU and a perfect 5-0 record ATS. The Buccaneers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven on the road overall. Baltimore has won seven in a row at home, but they were only 4-3 ATS in those games so don't be won over by their perfect winning record at home.
Totals bettors should look at the UNDER in this matchup. With both the Ravens and the Bucs sporting top defenses for years now this matchup has delivered four straight UNDER results. On the season both the Bucs and Ravens enter Week 12 at 5-5 on the OVER/UNDER.
One last game with some notable trends this weekend is San Diego at Indianapolis. The Chargers have a history of going on big winning streaks in the second half of the season, and if it continues this week it could mean an upset loss for the Colts. San Diego has won four straight ATS on the road in November, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 on the road in the month. The Chargers also own a 5-1 ATS record in their last six versus the Colts, and in their last 12 games at Indianapolis they are a near perfect 11-1 ATS.
More Week 12 NFL Trends:
New England vs Detroit
OVER is 8-1 past 9 Patriot games as favorite
Lions lost 19 in a row SU as underdog (only 5-15 ATS past 20 as dog of 8 or less points)
New Orleans vs Dallas
Saints 6-1 ATS past 7 games vs Dallas
OVER is 11-2 past 13 Saints games as fave or 4 or less points
Cowboys 11-0 SU, 8-3 ATS past 11 Nov home games
Cincinnati vs NY Jets
Jets 8-1 SU past 9 games vs Bengals
Bengals 2-11 ATS past 13 vs AFC East teams
Green Bay vs Atlanta
5 of past 6 meetings played OVER total
Packers played all 5 2010 road games UNDER total
Falcons 17-2 SU past 19 games as favorite
Packers 14-4-1 ATS past 19 games as underdog
Carolina vs Cleveland
Panthers 3-0 SU & ATS career vs Browns
UNDER is 9-3 past 12 Browns games as favorite
Jacksonville vs NY Giants
Home team won all 4 prior JAC-NYG meetings
Giants 2-8 ATS past 10 games vs AFC South
Pittsburgh vs Buffalo - best Steelers line Wednesday was -6, -110 at $BETUS-LINK$
Steelers 8-0 ATS, 7-1 SU past 8 vs Bills
OVER 8-2 past 10 Pitt games as fave or 8+ points
Bills 4-12-2 ATS past 18 home games
Tennessee vs Houston
Titans 6-2 ATS past 8 vs city they left as Oilers
Texans 1-7 ATS past 8 Nov home games
Minnesota vs Washington
Vikings lost 9 straight road games SU
Redskins 1-7-1 ATS past 9 games as favorite
Kansas City vs Seattle
Chiefs 6-1 ATS past 7 games as underdog
Chiefs 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS past 8 vs NFC West
OVER is 7-1 past 8 Seattle games in November
Miami vs Oakland
Dolphins 15-5 ATS vs AFC West teams since 2002
Raiders 1-12 ATS past 13 games as favorite
Philadelphia vs Chicago
Last 2 meetings here were both 24-20 results
Eagles 11-1 SU past 12 games as favorite
UNDER is 13-2 past 15 Bear games as underdog
Tampa Bay vs Baltimore
Past 4 meetings all played UNDER (past 2 were shutouts)
Bucs 5-1 ATS past 6 as dog of 8+ points
Bucs 7-0 ATS past 7 road games
St. Louis vs Denver
Rams 2-18 SU past 20 road games
Rams 6-2 ATS past 8 games as underdog
Broncos played 6 straight OVERs when favored
San Diego vs Indianapolis - best Chargers line Wednesday was +3, -110 at Bovada
Chargers 11-1 ATS past 12 trips to Indy
Chargers 10-3 SU at Indy since 1981
Chargers 8-2-1 ATS past 11 games as underdog
Colts 18-2 SU past 20 home games
San Francisco vs Arizona
49ers 5-1 ATS past 6 trips to Arizona
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