If you were hoping for the numerous injuries and quarterback controversies to lead to some real movement of the NFL point spreads early this week, you'll be disappointed.
It was another slow week for lines moves with only two games seeing more than a half-point change since the lines hit late Sunday night. There were also only six games that saw a half-point swing, while the other eight games remained unchanged.
Can you guess which two games have seen more than a point shift on the odds so far? You might think Philadelphia at Jacksonville after Andy Reid flipped-flopped back to Michael Vick, but you'd be wrong. That game began the week with Philly at -3 and it's still there.
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If you guessed Detroit at Minnesota, you're wrong again. The Vikings' pitiful start and Percy Harvin's injury haven't caused bettors to jump all over the improving Lions. In fact, the line has actually moved in the direction of Minnesota with the Vikings going from a 10-point favorite to a 10.5-point chalk at Sportsbook.
Even though the Lions scored more points last week against Philadelphia (32) than the Vikings have all season (19) bettors still aren't respecting Detroit. If you take Minnesota ATS facing such a big spread, you might be sorry. Oddsmakers even made the Vikes underdogs to make the playoffs (+200) over at Sportsbook. So which games were the big movers and shakers early on this week? They would be Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay, and Buffalo at New England. The Steelers and Buccaneers are both 2-0 SU and ATS this season. When the line for their Week 3 matchup was set the Steelers were a 1-point road favorite. Check it out now and you'll find Pittsburgh as a 2.5-point favorite at Sportsbook. Even the Steelers' quarterback predicament couldn't keep bettors from dumping cash on Pittsburgh, and can you blame them?
The Steelers have beaten Atlanta and Tennessee, while the Bucs' wins have come against bottom-feeders Cleveland and Carolina. No matter if Charlie Batch or Byron Leftwich gets the start at QB, the Steelers' defense and Rashard Mendenhall still make the Steelers the bettor's favorite in this one. Finally, there's Buffalo at New England in what oddsmakers are expecting to be a blowout.
The Sportsbook line for the game had the Pats as a 13-point favorite, but that has since climbed up to 14 points at Sportsbook. If you're planning on betting on the Patriots in this game you'd better get your money in now before the spread grows even bigger. Bettors are clearly backing the Pats with regularity, and unless someone goes down in practice there's no way that's going to change.
You may not want to follow the crowd and be a sheep with your money, though. The Patriots have won their last four against the Bills, but never by more than 10 points. The last time the Pats faced the Bills as a big favorite (13.5 points) they barely won 25-24. Sportsbook