Coming off a 9-4-0 ATS week, for the first time in a while, favorites have to be feeling pretty good. But unlike last week which saw 12 of the 13 favorites playing at home, many favorites will have to take their show on the road this week. Will favorites keep rolling this week, or will underdogs get their bites back?
In Week 8, the three biggest favorites all lost ATS, including two that lost outright. This week, three teams open at -8.0 at home; Minnesota over Arizona, Atlanta over Tampa Bay, and Green Bay over Dallas.
It is surprising to see Minnesota as such a big favorite considering their struggles to this point at 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS. Minnesota did win and cover the last time they were a big favorite though, back in Week 3 against Detroit at -13.0. Still, bettors may side with Minnesota, as Arizona has struggled on the road this season at 1-3 both SU and ATS including three straight double-digit losses.
Green Bay is coming fresh off their upset over the New York Jets as 6.5-point underdogs. Considering Dallas looked hopeless before Tony Romo got hurt and looked even worse last week in a loss to Jacksonville, it will be hard for bettors to find a reason to bet them, even at +8.0.
Bettors may side with Tampa Bay at +8.0 as the week moves forward; Atlanta may be the better team in most people’s opinion, but Tampa Bay also has a 5-2 SU record, including a 4-3 ATS record. Getting eight points on a competitive division rival looks like a pretty good deal.
One of the week’s somewhat surprising lines is the New York Jets -4.0 on the road against the Detroit Lions. While Detroit is coming off a win and New York is coming off a loss, the Jets have been one of the best teams in the NFL this season while Detroit has been near the bottom of the league. Before last week’s loss, New York had won five straight games both SU and ATS.
New Orleans is this week’s biggest road favorite at -7.0 heading into Carolina. Despite the fact that New Orleans just beat Pittsburgh at home, bettors may side with Carolina and the points this week at home. The last time these two teams met in New Orleans in Week 4, Carolina lost by only two points despite being 12.5-point underdogs. New Orleans is 2-6 ATS this season.
Other Sportsbook lines this week include home favorites Baltimore -5.5 over Miami, Oakland -3.0 over Kansas City and road favorites Chicago -3.0 over Buffalo, New England -5.5 over Cleveland, NY Giants -4.5 over Seattle, and Pittsburgh -4.5 over Cincinnati.