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Raiders Have Had Major Issues Covering Away From Home

The Oakland Raiders’ decision to bring back head coach Jon Gruden to a 10-year, $100-million contract in the offseason raised plenty of eyebrows across the NFL, and if the Raiders’ Week 1 showing is any indication, Oakland has a lot of work to do on both sides of the ball going forward. The Raiders travel to Mile High Stadium to face off with the Denver Broncos in Week 2. Sportsbooks opened the Broncos as 6-point home favorites with a total of 45.

  • The Raiders are 1-5 SU in their last six games on the road against the Broncos.
  • The Raiders are 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games on the road.
  • The Broncos are 3-10 SU and 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games.

Raiders vs Broncos Game Center

Will Gruden run the Spider 2 Y banana play?

​​​​​​​The Raiders marched into Los Angeles as 6-point underdogs and got the doors blown off them in a 33-13 trouncing at the hands of the obviously superior Rams. Oakland, which took a 13-10 lead into halftime, was held scoreless in the second half as L.A. started to find its rhythm.

Running back Todd Gurley had just five touches in the first two quarters but had 18 in the second half, carrying 16 times for 89 yards and catching two passes for 20 yards. Oakland’s decision to trade star linebacker Khalil Mack to the Chicago Bears last week was met with plenty of criticism, and the absence of the 2016 Defensive Player of the Year was evident.

Beware the Raiders on the road

Oakland’s inability to get the job done against the Rams last week wasn’t much of a surprise. Dating back to last season, the Raiders have been fade material away from home, as the squad is 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven road games. The Raiders are also 2-5 SU and ATS in their last seven games vs divisional opponents.

If last week is any indication, these are not last year’s Broncos

Denver had a year to forget in 2017 and finished well outside the playoff picture at 5-11 SU, but the Broncos looked like a completely different team in a 27-24 Week 1 triumph over the Seattle Seahawks. The Broncos overcame three interceptions by free-agent acquisition Case Keenum to finish the game with 470 yards of offense, the fifth-most in the league. The defense held the Seahawks to 306 yards, the ninth-fewest in the NFL.

Broncos are lights-out at home in September

Rookie running backs Royce Freeman and Phillip Lindsay each carried the ball 15 times for 71 yards – the first time since at least 1950 that a team has had two debuting rookies rush for at least 70 yards in a game. That helped Denver continue a tradition of success in Colorado to start the year, as the Broncos are now 12-0 SU in their last 12 home games in September. The OVER is a perfect 7-0 in the Broncos’ past seven September tilts overall.

Why I’m picking the Broncos to win

The Raiders have made a number of head-scratching moves since Gruden came back to California, and if Week 1 is any indication, they haven’t exactly put the team in a position to win right now. I don’t think Oakland is going to play as poorly all year long as it did in the second half against the Rams but the Raiders are simply too volatile to trust right now, especially with the offense looking out of sorts in the season opener. Take the Broncos as home faves.