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Odds on who will be Thanksgiving’s Top NFL Performers

Thanksgiving is a time for turkey, naps, arguing with family members and NFL football. With three games on the slate for Turkey Day, here are the odds and my analysis on who the top performers will be and who’s better off spending the day in a turkey coma on the couch.

QUARTERBACKS – PASSING YARDS

Washington’s Kirk Cousins opened as the favorite at +250 at online sportsbook Bovada and there’s a reason for that. Captain Kirk gets to face the Giants secondary that has allowed an average of 263 passing yards per game this season (bottom three in the league). The Redskins quarterback diced up the Saints secondary last week for 322 yards and is averaging 279 yards passing per game this season.

Don’t overlook Philip Rivers, though. The Chargers quarterback is listed at +375 and can get hot quickly. The Cowboys’ Swiss cheese defense has allowed over 30 points at home three times this season and will be without linebacker Sean Lee for a fourth straight game.

Eli Manning at +600 may be best to avoid unless you like wasting money. Manning has topped 300 yards once this season and could be on the job hunt with Ben McAdoo in the offseason.

Who will record the most Passing Yards on Thanksgiving?
  • Kirk Cousins +250
  • Matthew Stafford +275
  • Philip Rivers +375
  • Case Keenum +600
  • Dak Prescott +600
  • Eli Manning +600

RUNNING BACKS - RUSHING YARDS

Alfred Morris opened as the +250 favorite and will try to do his best Ezekiel Elliott impression against the Chargers. Morris could be in for a big day as Los Angeles is dead last in the NFL in rushing yards allowed at just under 139 per game. He did manage 91 yards on 17 carries against the stout Eagles defense but it’s his counterpart on the Chargers who may be the most productive toting the rock on Thanksgiving.

Melvin Gordon is listed at +275 and is due for a breakout game this season. The Cowboys have been outscored 64-16 in the last two games and if the Chargers get a lead, they’ll take a page out of the NFL head coach handbook and repeatedly run the ball to kill the clock.

I’m not sold on Ameer Abdullah and it seems like Bovada isn’t either at +1200. The Vikings defense has only allowed 71 rushing yards per game to opposing backs this season. No thanks! 

Who will record the most Rushing Yards on Thanksgiving?
  • Alfred Morris +250
  • Melvin Gordon +275
  • Samaje Perine +300
  • Jerick McKinnon +700
  • Latavius Murray +700
  • Orleans Darkwa +750
  • Ameer Abdullah +1200

WIDE RECEIVERS – RECEIVING YARDS

The Vikings-Lions matchup has the top two odds-on favorites to lead the day in receiving yards. Adam Thielen (+500) and Golden Tate (+700) both could have big days but Thielen makes the strongest case to secure the top spot. He’s second in the NFL in receiving yards and has secured 387 receiving yards in his last four games. Tate wouldn’t be as desirable as he only managed 27 receiving yards versus the Vikings in Week 4 and will be shadowed by Pro Bowl cornerback Xavier Rhodes.

The dark-horse candidate would have to be Thielen’s teammate, Stefon Diggs. Diggs owns the best statistical game among everyone listed (173 yards in Week 3 vs Tampa) and through the first four weeks was the leading receiver in the NFL with 391 yards.

If this was a touchdown prop, I’d be all over the tight ends. But since it’s receiving yards, I can’t endorse any of them. Let them stick to blocking and let the divas do their work!

Who will record the most RecEIving Yards on Thanksgiving?
  • Adam Thielen +500
  • Golden Tate +700
  • Dez Bryant +800
  • Sterling Shepard +900
  • Jamison Crowder +900
  • Keenan Allen +900
  • Evan Engram +1000
  • Stefon Diggs +1200
  • Marvin Jones Jr. +1400
  • Terrance Williams +2000
  • Vernon Davis +2000
  • Kyle Rudolph +2200
  • Kenny Golladay +2200
  • TJ Jones +2200
  • Travis Benjamin +2500
  • Tyrell Williams +2500
  • Cole Beasley +2500
  • Ryan Grant +2500
  • Eric Ebron +3300
  • Roger Lewis +3300
  • Tavarres King +3300

Odds as of November 22 at Bovada

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