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Opening Lines: Packers huge chalk

There are plenty of surprises around the NFL heading into Week 6, including the fact that the Detroit Lions, San Francisco 49ers, and Buffalo Bills have combined for only two losses this season. But one team’s success hasn’t come as a surprise, and that’s the defending champion Green Bay Packers.

This week, the 5-0 SU Packers host the 0-4 SU St. Louis Rams in one of the biggest mismatches on paper of the early season. TopBet currently lists Green Bay as a 15-point favorite at home.

Not only is St. Louis 0-4 SU, but they are 0-4 ATS as well. Green Bay has been a reliable betting option at 4-1 ATS, making this huge chalk worth consideration.

Green Bay isn’t the only double-digit favorite on the board this week. The Pittsburgh Steelers are a 13-point home favorite at Bovada over the Jacksonville Jaguars this Sunday.

The total went OVER in 10 of last week’s 13 games. This week’s highest total is set at 55 at 5Dimes when the Dallas Cowboys visit the New England Patriots.

In Week 5, underdogs held a slight edge of 7-6 ATS and home teams were 8-8 SU.

Key matchups with Week 5 Odds courtesy of BetOnline:

Eagles +1 at Washington – Now 1-4 SU and ATS, Philadelphia’ s season is in serious jeopardy. At 3-1 SU and ATS, Washington can add another nail to the Eagles’ coffin with a win this week.

Colts +7 at Cincinnati – Indianapolis blew a 17-0 lead last week against Kansas City to remain winless on the season.  With a 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS record, Cincinnati has been another big surprise in the 2011 season.

Texans +7 at Baltimore – After losing at home to Oakland last week and losing Mario Williams for the season, Houston will try to get their season back on track at Baltimore. The Ravens are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last four meetings with Houston.

Cowboys +7.5 at New England – At just 1-3 SU and ATS, Dallas is in dire need of a win; and on the road against New England is a tough place to get one. The total has gone OVER in 15 of Dallas’ last 17 games and 14 of New England’s last 16.