How the Green Bay Packers respond to their upset loss in KC will be interesting for bettors as they host rival Chicago in Week 16 NFL odds action.
The Bears have lost 4 straight without QB Jay Cutler and opened as 2-TD underdogs here. The Packers excel as chalk and the Bears have struggled as underdogs lately but does Green Bay have the motivation to romp here?
The best play lately when these NFC North rivals clash has been the UNDER - the past 8 meetings all went UNDER the total. Green Bay is 9-1 SU in its past 10 games within the division.
Green Bay was favored by 11.5 points at Sportsbook this weekend while the total sat at 42 over at Sportsbook.
View Chicago vs Green Bay Odds and Stats.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Packers, currently No. 10 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Bears, who rate No. 17 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 38-26 victory for the Packers.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Green Bay's No. 1-ranked offense (34.3 PPG) against a Bears defense that ranks No. 11 at 20.9 PPG. The Packers passing attack has averaged 298.1 yards per game, more than the Bears give up through the air (254.4 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Bears feature the league's No. 9-rated road run defense, allowing 107.5 yards per game. Green Bay, meanwhile, ranks No. 25 in rushing offense at home.
The Bears were a 38-14 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Seahawks. They failed to cover the 3.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (52) made winners of OVER bettors.
The Packers were a 19-14 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Chiefs. They failed to cover the 11.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (33) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Packers suffered a Week 15 loss against Kansas City in their last game, falling 19-14 at Arrowhead Stadium.
Chicago Bears Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 6-4
Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing within the division are 9-1
A few Bears at Packers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games at home
Next up:
Chicago at Minnesota, Sunday, January 1
Green Bay home to Detroit, Sunday, January 1
