The first Monday Nighter could be a sportsbook’s worst nightmare – a game that trends suggest will go OVER the total and be covered by the favorite.
But after a Week 1 full of upsets, perhaps the oddsmakers are not too worried about the Patriots vs Dolphins Monday Night Football odds.
New England is 7-3 ATS in their past 10 Monday Nighter road games. And they killed the Dolphins 41-14 here last October on MNF. In fact, they have scored 41 or more points in three of their past four visits to Miami. (The best Patriots line early Monday was -7, -110 at BetOnline).
The OVER is also 7-1 the past 8 Week 1 games when the Pats are on the road. Both of those scenarios seem to point to a Patriots cover and OVER bet. [ Patriots vs Dolphins Matchup Trends ]
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For Miami, they are a woeful 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven openers and 0-7 ATS in their past seven September home games. Looking at the Dolphins on Monday Nights, the OVER has prevailed 9 of the past 11 MNF games at home.
Handicapping models run by the OddsShark.com computer geeks are predicting a 35-19 win for the Pats, more than enough to cover the 7-point spread. That would easily force the game OVER the total (which you can get at 45.5 at 5Dimes today). And nearly 70% of the visitors to OddsShark.com are pegging the Patriots to cover here.
Monday Night Football Odds – Dolphins vs Patriots Props courtesy of [custom:bodog-link] (visit them for hundreds of player props Monday).
(NE vs MIA) - Team to score first in the game
New England Patriots -170
Miami Dolphins +140
(NE vs MIA) - The first score of the game will be?
Field Goal or Safety +150
(NE vs MIA) - Will there be a score in the first 7 min 30 seconds of the 1st quarter?
(NE vs MIA) - Total Team Points - New England Patriots
Over Points 27
(NE vs MIA) - Total Team Points - Miami Dolphins
Over Points 19½
(NE vs MIA) - Total 1st Half Team Points - New England Patriots
Over 1st Half Points 14
(NE vs MIA) - Total 1st Half Team Points - Miami Dolphins
Over 1st Half Points 9½
(NE vs MIA) - Longest Touchdown in the Game
Over Yards 46
(NE vs MIA) - Total QB Sacks in the game
Over Sacks 4
(NE vs MIA) - Will either team score 3 unanswered times in the game?
(NE vs MIA) - Will there be a Special Teams or Defensive Touchdown scored in the game?
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