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Patriots Spygate 2.0: Betting Odds For Potential Sanctions

Patriots Cheating Scandal Betting Odds December 17 2019 Bill Belichick

Bending the rules in sports is commonplace, since any team or player should be trying to find an edge to win without breaking the rules. But the New England Patriots continue to bend them too far and sanctions could be coming for the reigning Super Bowl champions as a result of their latest Spygate scandal.

The loss of another first-round pick, fines or even suspensions are just some of the betting options for consequences the Patriots could face from the NFL for this repeat infraction, according to online sportsbook Bovada.

The Background

For background, the Cheatriots, I mean, Patriots were caught spying on another NFL team by videotaping the play calls and substitution patterns of the Cincinnati Bengals during their home game vs the Browns in Week 14. The Pats’ advance scout said it was for a docu-series called “Do Your Job” but when confronted by Bengals personnel, his reasoning was dubious and made it look even worse.

At this point, we’re running out of “Gates” to use for New England Patriots cheating scandals going into 2020, considering we have to go all the way back to 2007 to list off each of their infractions.

-In 2007, in the original Spygate scandal, the Patriots were caught videotaping sideline signal calls by the New York Jets. They lost a first-round pick, the team was fined $250,000 and Bill Belichick was fined $500,000.

-In the 2014 AFC championship game, the Patriots were accused of deflating game balls vs the Colts. They lost another first-round pick, QB Tom Brady got suspended four games for his involvement due to his lack of cooperation with the investigation and the team was fined $1 million.

Separating what the Patriots actually got caught doing, there have also been long-standing rumors and allegations from rival coaches of them videotaping sideline signals.

The most infamous example is the allegation of New England advance scouts taping a walk-through practice of the Rams before Super Bowl 36 in 2001 – the Pats went on to win that Super Bowl to kick-start their dynasty – and then there are the countless accusations about opponents’ headsets malfunctioning at Gillette Stadium.

Where there’s smoke, there’s fire, and as a repeat offender with a track record of pushing the limits of what’s allowed, you have to think the NFL is going to come down hard on the Pats this time around.

Potential Punishments

While most Patriots haters may go to extremes and think they should be banned from the NFL or barred from this year’s playoffs, the reality is that in this league, fines and lost draft picks are the penalties of choice to hurt teams. The Patriots were docked first-round picks in both 2007 and 2015 for the above infractions and with New England’s history, it seems bookmakers expect more of those types of sanctions to be handed down, with fines at odds of -6600 and the loss of draft picks at -250.

I do think that there’s value in betting on head coach Bill Belichick (+400) or owner Robert Kraft (+600) to be suspended for these acts because of the repeated actions by the Patriots. When the New Orleans Saints dealt with the Bountygate fallout, head coach Sean Payton was suspended for an entire season and then-owner Tom Benson was fined.

Given Kraft’s recent visit to a massage parlor that embarrassed the NFL, it doesn’t seem far-fetched that the league would come down on the Patriots to curb this debauchery and rule-breaking.

What Sanctions Will the Patriots Face For Alleged Filming Of Bengals Sideline?
Loss Of Draft Picks-250
Reduction In Value of Draft Pick+175
Head Coach Suspended+400
Team President Suspended+500
Team Owner Suspended+600
No Sanctions+1200

Odds as of December 17 at BetOnline