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Patriots Shooting for Sixth Super Bowl Win vs Underdog Eagles

After 266 games, we are finally set for Super Bowl 52 with the New England Patriots ready to square off with the Philadelphia Eagles. The game will feature a familiar storyline as the Patriots continue on their path of unprecedented greatness, while the Eagles are attempting to once again prove the doubters wrong and win their third straight game as an underdog. Playoffs included, the Patriots and Eagles are both 12-6 ATS, which ties them for first as the best bets this season.

Shark Bites
  • Tom Brady in seven Super Bowls: 15 TDs, 5 INTs, 95.3 QB rating.
  • The Eagles are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 5 points or more.
  • The Patriots are 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 games after an ATS loss.

The Eagles can be found as a 4.5-point underdog at most sportsbooks and bettors will be interested to know that they’re 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games as a dog. The Patriots are 10-2 ATS over their last 12 games and they’ve been especially good when favored by 7 points or less, as they’ve covered 13 straight spreads in that spot. A larger sample size has seen them go 20-7-3 ATS in their last 30 games in that range.

With the Eagles coming through as an underdog twice in the playoffs, their backers will be happy to know that underdogs have been a big-money bet in the Super Bowl, going 13-4 ATS in the last 17 games. Prior to the Patriots’ Super Bowl victory last season, the underdog had won outright in five consecutive Super Bowls.

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The Eagles defense will get a lot of love in the buildup to this game, and rightfully so. They’ve allowed an average of just 8.25 points over their last four games. All of those games took place at home, however, where they were a much different team defensively. On the road, they allowed 23.5 points per game. This is 11.1 more points than they allowed at home, which is the biggest disparity in the NFL in two seasons.

the Eagles have allowed 23.5 points per game on the road vs 12.4 points per game at home, which is the biggest disparity in the NFL in two seasons.

The Patriots defense is often overlooked, but they’re undoubtedly one of the league’s best, specifically when they’re on the road. New England has allowed the second-fewest points per game on the road at 16.1.

Taking a look at the OVER/UNDER total which is hovering in the 48-point range, the UNDER has been the way to go in Patriots games, as it’s hit in 10 of their last 14, including six of eight outside of New England. Given how stingy the Philadelphia defense has been lately, it shouldn’t come as a shock to hear that the Eagles have gone UNDER in three of their last four games. Of course, recent Super Bowl history inconveniently works against all these UNDER trends, as the total has gone OVER in four of the last five games.

Historically, the Eagles have had the edge in this matchup, as they’re 8-2 ATS vs New England going all the way back to 1980. This includes their matchup in Super Bowl 39, which the Patriots won 24-21, failing to cover the 7-point spread.

For additional Super Bowl 52 betting options, check out our Ultimate Props Page. Or, if you’re new to betting and would like to learn more, our How to Bet on the Super Bowl page will get you on the right track.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to back the visiting Philadelphia Eagles in this one found them as 6-point underdogs earlier in the week, while the total was settling in the neighborhood of 47.5 at shops such as Bovada.

A 29-17 result in favor of the Patriots was the prediction by the OddsShark handicapping pick engine earlier this week. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Philadelphia Eagles vs New England Patriots Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New England Patriots sit at 15-3 (12-6 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Philadelphia Eagles are currently 15-3 (12-6 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? New England is 8-10 OU, and Philadelphia is 9-9 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New England vs Philadelphia injuries news.

The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 4-rated Eagles taking on the No. 1-rated Patriots in this betting contest.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the New England Patriots' No. 2-ranked offense (28.72 PPG) against a Philadelphia Eagles defense that ranks No. 2 at 17.33 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 280.67 yards per game, more than the Eagles give up through the air (227.5 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Eagles feature the league's No. 2-rated road run defense, allowing 88.88 yards per game. The Patriots, meanwhile, rank No. 14 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out, Nick Foles threw for 3 scores and 352 yards in leading his team past Minnesota at Lincoln Financial Field.

Tom Brady threw a pair of TD passes in New England's last match, defeating Jacksonville 24-20 in conference playoff action on Sunday.