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The Pick 6: Super Bowl Edition

Pitchers and catchers are just about ready to report to training camp for the 2018 MLB season and that means one thing: the football grind is nearly over for another season.

It’s a bittersweet time of year for NFL bettors. On the one hand, we have just one game left to handicap and that means no multiple-game teasers or parlays. On the other hand, we have an unlimited number of props to delve into and I’ve done exactly that for my FINAL Pick 6 of the season.

Enjoy the picks and good luck on Sunday.

1. The Nevada handle record of $138.4 million to be broken this year (-200)

Want to increase your bankroll by 50 percent? Make this bet. Money has absolutely poured in on the Eagles since the gates opened after the NFC championship and almost every Las Vegas bookmaker I’ve listened to has promised that they’ll break this record with Patriots money expected to flood in on Sunday.

Bettor be warned, though, you won’t get your money back until a couple of days after the Super Bowl when the final tally comes in, so if you’re playing on a fixed budget and can’t afford to re-up by Sunday, you probably won’t want to empty your bankroll.

For everyone else? Swing away Merrill, this is a home run.

2. National Anthem: OVER 2 Minutes and Pink not to be airborne parlay (-108)

This is more easy money and a great way to double your live-betting budget for the big game. While known for her acrobatics, Pink is a Philly native and this is the NATIONAL ANTHEM we’re talking about. There’s a stronger chance that the aging pop star takes a knee during her performance than there is of her flying around the stadium like a hopped-up Lady Gaga.

Pink will dress conservatively – for the cleavage handicappers among us – and she will stand and sing. That said, there’s a good chance that she milks this thing and a lot of people agree. Steam has come in on the OVER ever since this line opened and I wouldn’t be shocked if Bovada shifted the total before Sunday.

Either wait until that happens or hammer this parlay at almost EVEN odds. You can thank me later. I accept both Venmo and PayPal.

3. First Score of the Game Eagles FG (+400)

My only real Super Bowl “punt” is going to be on the first score of the game to be an Eagles field goal. There’s a very good chance that Philly gets the first crack at things – with the Patriots’ tendency to defer the football – so I’ll roll the dice that the Eagles can get Jake Elliott within 60 yards of the goalposts on drive No. 1.

It’s also been widely publicized that the Patriots haven’t scored a first-quarter point in any of their seven Super Bowl appearances in the Brady/Belichick era and while I don’t like to handicap solely on trends, that’s an interesting one that can’t be ignored.

4. Side: Patriots -4.5 (-105)

-4.5 for the Patriots is crazy talk. New England not only has the better quarterback and better head coach, they have the advantage of having gone to 7 SUPER BOWLS SINCE 2001. I’m beginning to think the Pats win in a blowout and if this line drops any more with Eagles money still coming in, I’ll take it again with a smile on my face and dollar signs in my eyes.

Need a stat to calm your nerves? How about this one: the last seven teams to win the Super Bowl have also covered the spread.

5. Total: UNDER 48 (-110)

Even if this results in a blowout for the Pats, this thing is staying UNDER. The Eagles are not the offensive juggernaut they’ve been billed as since their explosion against the Vikings and I think they’re going to have big-time problems with a Patriots defense that’s been one of the best in the NFL since Week 5 of the regular season.

I’ve gone on record with my prediction of 20-14 Patriots and I’m sticking to it.

6. Gatorade Bath: Lime/Green/Yellow +225

I love this bet for so many reasons. The first being that I’m close to certain the Patriots win this and that there will be no Gatorade bath to speak of. Belichick did not receive that sweet and sticky victory shower last year when the Pats finished off their miraculous comeback against the Falcons and I’m literally willing to bet that’s the case again in Minneapolis.

I wanted a “No Gatorade Bath” option but no book seems to be offering that. That said, if there is no bath, we’ll get our money back. We still get the excitement of the bet (that’s what this is all about), but if Belichick does get a surprise soaking, or if the Eagles win and Pederson takes the plunge, there’s a good chance this bet will hit – lime/green/yellow is chalk for a reason.

Well, that’s it, my final Pick 6 pick of the season. Maybe if I hit it, someone will dump a beer on my head at the OddsShark Super Bowl party.


bet on super bowl lii here!

This column is powered by stats and trends provided by the NFL Betting Primer.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of Super Bowl 52, check out our podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check us out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

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