We are now down to the final four teams competing for the Super Bowl in the 2022-23 NFL season. Each team deserves to be at this stage, but only one will be crowned the champion and three of them will go home eliminated.
With odds for “stage of elimination” out at sportsbooks, we dive into the best value in this latest NFL playoff market below. We’ve got a pick for every team’s elimination, as well as a breakdown for some of our more confident selections.
If you’re looking to brush up on your NFL betting knowledge and strategies for the playoffs, check out our NFL Betting Hub or pay a visit to our How to Bet on the Super Bowl page in preparation for the final game.
Our Super Bowl futures article should also help you place a bet on the champion while there’s still some value on the board.
NFL Playoff Stage Of Elimination Odds
San Francisco 49ers
Stage | Odds |
---|---|
Lose in Conference Championship Round | -140 |
Lose in Super Bowl | +300 |
Win Super Bowl | +325 |
Odds as of January 25
Best Value Bet: 49ers Win Super Bowl (+325)
If you believe in Brock Purdy (and why wouldn’t you at this point?), you have to believe this 49ers team can win the whole thing. Since winning the title is the best value on the board, we’ll take it and run.
Cincinnati Bengals
Stage | Odds |
---|---|
Lose in Championship Round | +115 |
Lose in Super Bowl | +185 |
Win Super Bowl | +250 |
Odds as of January 25
Best Value Bet: Bengals Lose in Super Bowl (+250)
We liked these Bengals to lose in the big game odds a few weeks ago when they were up at +1000, but there’s still some value here. First off, the Bengals proved last year they have exactly what it takes to lose in this game, and the 2023 roster is very similar.
With some late line movement, the Bengals are now favored in their AFC championship game against the Chiefs, but if they win that contest, the NFC squads pose bigger threats. With two weeks to prepare for the suspect Cincinnati offensive line, the Eagles/49ers pass rushers should be able to feast like the Rams did in the Super Bowl last year.
Kansas City chiefs
Stage | Odds |
---|---|
Lose in Championship Round | -135 |
Lose in Super Bowl | +325 |
Win Super Bowl | +300 |
Odds as of January 25
Best Value Bet: Chiefs Win Super Bowl (+300)
The way I see it, the Chiefs are either going to lose this week, hampered by Patrick Mahomes’ injured ankle, or the ankle isn’t going to be a problem and they’ll win this week and roll on to another title. Given the duality of those options, we’ll take the value odds at +300.
Philadelphia Eagles
Stage | Odds |
---|---|
Lose in Championship Round | +120 |
Lose in Super Bowl | +175 |
Win Super Bowl | +240 |
Odds as of January 25
Best Value Bet: Eagles Lose in Championship Round (+120)
The Eagles are talented, but they haven’t had to play real competition in a few weeks. The last time the Eagles played a team that wasn’t the Giants or Saints, they lost to the Cowboys — a team that just lost to the 49ers squad Philly now meets.