Point spread favors Broncos in battle with Bills

Denver BroncosBuffalo Bills
Dec 24, 1:00 PM | Turf of Ralph Wilson Stadium

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Odds

8-6TEAM RECORD5-9



Denver awoke from its dream run under Tim Tebow to get smashed by the Patriots last week, but they have a chance to resume their dream season at Buffalo in the Week 16 NFL betting schedule.

The Bills are plummeting and face a team they are just 1-5 SU against in the past six meetings dating to 1997. And the Bills opened as home underdogs here, a situation they have lost 6 straight SU in and have only covered a single point spread.

Denver is similarly lame as chalk, going 1-5-1 ATS in their past 7 trips as a favorite. As a road team in December, the OVER is 7-1 in Denver's past 8 games.



View Denver vs Buffalo Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Buffalo opened as 3-point underdogs , while the NFL total was set at 42.5 for over under betting.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 22-rated Bills and the No. 26-rated Broncos in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 20-19 win for the Broncos on Saturday.



How They Match Up:
The game also pits Buffalo's No. 17-ranked offense, averaging 22.2 PPG, against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 24 this week at 24.5 PPG. The Bills aerial game is averaging 229.7 yards per game, less than the Broncos secondary allows through the air, 238.4 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Broncos feature the league's No. 13-rated road run defense, allowing 113 yards per game. Buffalo, meanwhile, ranks No. 11 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Denver, they were a 41-23 loser as they battled the Patriots at home. The Broncos failed to cover in the match as a 7-point underdog, while 64 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. In their last gridiron battle, Demaryius Thomas did much of the damage, producing 116 receiving yards but Denver managed to defeat the Broncos 41-23 at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.

Buffalo lost its last outing, a 30-23 result against the Dolphins on December 18. The Bills failed to cover in that game as a 1-point underdog, while the 53 combined points took the game OVER the total. In Buffalo's last outing, Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 316 yards in a losing cause against the Dolphins, 30-23 at Ralph Wilson Stadium.


Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in December are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Buffalo Bills Trends:
When playing in December are 3-7
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 5-5


A few Broncos at Bills trends to consider:
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 12 games at home


Next up:
Denver home to Kansas City, Sunday, January 1
Buffalo at New England, Sunday, January 1

Back to Top