You may have noticed the past few seasons that the Seattle Seahawks are slow starters who seem to turn it on down the stretch. They appear to be following that same script again this season and bettors need to take notice. After starting a very ordinary 4-2-1 in their first seven games, they’re coming off two straight wins in prime-time games and are set to continue a trend that’s filled their backers’ pockets for SIX straight seasons.
Since Pete Carroll took over as head coach in 2010, Seattle is an NFL-best 28-12 ATS from Weeks 11 to 17. That’s a cover rate of 70%, but it’s in the past three seasons where they’ve been breaking the bank as they’ve gone an amazing 17-3 ATS (85%) from Weeks 11 to 17.
Here's a look at the best bets from Weeks 11 to 17 over the last three seasons:
Similar to last season where they went 6-1 ATS from Weeks 11 to 17, the Seahawks will close out their season this year with four of their remaining seven games at home and it won’t be a coincidence to see them repeat that success this season. With games vs the Bucs, Rams and 49ers, Seattle is likely to face some big spreads, but don’t let that scare you off. Looking at their final seven games in the 2013, 2014 and 2015 seasons, the Seahawks faced spreads of -7.5 or more points 11 times and posted a 10-1 ATS record.
Some non-numbers related evidence that points toward another second-half surge is health on both sides of the ball. Kam Chancellor is back, making game-changing plays on defense, Thomas Rawls is ready to return from a leg injury to provide stability to the running game that they’ve lacked all season, and most importantly, Russell Wilson appears to be back to his old self. After suffering a few different injuries this season, Wilson struggled from Weeks 6 to 8 where he threw zero touchdown passes, but he’s bounced back in his past two games, throwing for five and running for one. The 348 passing yards he put up on the Patriots is the second-most they’ve allowed all season.
Seattle will open up its Week 11 to 17 stretch on Sunday at home vs the Eagles. After originally Sportsbook at -4.5 the line has been bumped up to -6.5 and it’s worth noting that Philadelphia is a brutal 1-4 SU and ATS on the road this season.