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Should The Golden State Warriors Really Be Underdogs ... Like, Ever?

I try to be humble. I really do. But I’d hate to let humility get in the way of facts.  

I’m blazing. I’m melting. I’m the stove you left on by accident. I’m the campfire you forgot to dump that extra bucket of water on. I’m the mid-July sun in the middle of the Mojave. 

I’m now 12-4 against the spread in my last 16 NBA picks and 3-0-2 in my last five NHL picks. Hope you’ve been enjoying the tips on OddsShark Live every weekday at noon on Periscope. 

Here’s a look at my playoff record in total: 

Now 24-19-3 in the NHL. I’m up $491 (based on $100/gm bets)
Now 24-20 ATS in the NBA. 

The question now is: How do we keep the hot streak alive? 

It’s a topic that is overlooked in sports betting sometimes. One reason is that losing streaks seem to be more common – or they evoke more emotion with the pain of it all. Another is that bettors simply don’t view it as a challenge they need to think about. When you’re hot, you’re hot. 

But you do. Staying in the right mindset is vital to keeping the run going and it’s something I addressed last year in this video when I started the CFL season at 12-0 against the spread. I finished with a profitable CFL season, including taking the Argos at +700 and then again straight up in the Grey Cup as touchdown underdogs.  

Take a second to view the video and let’s stay hot, sharks.  

Warriors at Rockets -2, 224.5 

The Warriors are now 25-3 straight up (17-11 against the spread) over the last two postseasons. Sometimes the simplest numbers are the best ones and that’s pretty damn impressive. 

The one thing I feel the Warriors can’t do in this series is turn the ball over and they took care of that in Game 1. They only had nine turnovers to Houston’s 16. I loved Draymond Green’s stat line also: +19, nine rebounds, nine assists, two blocks and two steals. When he’s playing in his role like that, the Warriors’ other stars can do so much. 

I said before the series I love the Warriors’ advantage at the three-point line. I also love their undervalued defense when they need it – which shows in the fact six of their last eight games have gone UNDER. 

Pick: Warriors +2  

Jets at Golden Knights -135, 5.5 

I said these were all things in Game 1 the Knights could fix and they were: Slow start. Fleury wasn’t at his best. Not great in the neutral zone or transition. 

The Knights were so much better at all those things in Game 2 and now they are -110 to win the series. Crazy to think they were +20000 to win the Stanley Cup when the season began. 

Connor Hellebuyck looks solid in nets for the Jets too and oddsmakers have made the correct adjustment to 6 goals. 

First conference finals game in Las Vegas. Look at first-period props. 

Pick: Vegas -1/2 goal +155 first period

Follow me on Twitter @JonnyOddsShark

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