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Buccaneers-Falcons Betting Preview

Atlanta Falcons Julio Jones

The Atlanta Falcons have looked like a different team this season under new head coach Dan Quinn and will be attempting to keep the good times rolling at home against division rival Tampa Bay Sunday. The Falcons have been finding all the right ways to win at the right times, riding dominant performances from Devonta Freeman who now has nine rushing touchdowns and 621 yards in the 2015 campaign.

Shark Bites
  • The Falcons are 5-12 SU in their last 17 games after a win.
  • The Buccaneers are 0-11 SU in their last 11 games after an ATS win.
  • Falcons receivers have the second most drops in the NFL this year (21).

The Bucs have showed a few signs of improvement over last year’s disastrous 2-14 regular season but have been getting mixed performances by rookie QB Jameis Winston. The Florida State product looked good in Week 7, accumulating 297 passing yards and two touchdowns in a tight 31-30 loss to the Washington Redskins.

The Falcons went 2-0 vs the Bucs last season by a combined score of 85-31.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Odds at sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Atlanta Falcons pegged as -7-point favorites in this betting matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by books like TopBet at 49.

Odds Shark score prediction models pick a 26-21 result in favor of the Falcons on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Atlanta battles the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, currently with a 2-4 mark (3-3 ATS). The over under records, important for totals betting, are 2-4-1 for the Falcons and 4-2 for the Buccaneers. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Atlanta vs Tampa Bay injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Atlanta Falcons rated this week at No. 11 and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers sitting at No. 31.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Atlanta Falcons No. 4-ranked offense (27.57 PPG) against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that ranks No. 32 at 29.83 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 273.57 yards per game, more than the Buccaneers give up through the air (219.5 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers own the league's No. 17-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 113.33 yards per game when on the road. Atlanta, on the other hand, rates No. 4 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, Tampa Bay got a 136-yard performance from Doug Martin, but Washington prevailed 31-30.


Tennessee was unable to contain Devonta Freeman in its last action Sunday and the result was a 10-7 Week 7 loss against the Falcons.

Betting Trends
  • Tampa Bay is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games
  • Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
  • Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
  • Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Tampa Bay home to New York, Sunday, November 8th
Atlanta at San Francisco, Sunday, November 8th