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Buccaneers visit San Diego Gunning for Fourth Straight Upset Win

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers look to continue their unlikely drive toward the NFL playoffs with a fourth straight victory on Sunday when they take on the San Diego Chargers at Qualcomm Stadium. The Chargers' 21-13 win in Houston last weekend lifts them to 4-2 straight up in their past six, and 5-2 against the spread in seven.

Shark Bites
  • The Buccaneers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the Chargers.
  • The Chargers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after losing the previous game in a matchup.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the Chargers' last five games at home.

The 6-5 Buccaneers moved to within a half-game of an NFC wild-card spot with last weekend's impressive 14-5 win over Seattle as 5-point home underdogs, and have surrendered just 10.6 ppg during their current win streak. Tampa Bay has won outright in three straight as an underdog and is 4-1 SU as a road underdog this season.

The 5-6 Chargers have alternated between wins and losses in their past five games, and have recorded consecutive SU wins just once since November 2014. San Diego has also been a particularly shaky bet when pegged as a home favorite, going 3-5 SU in eight, and 4-9 ATS in its past 13.

These two teams meet in San Diego for the first time since 2004, after splitting their last two clashes, SU and ATS, both in Tampa Bay. The Chargers have dominated historically, going 7-2 SU in their past nine against the Buccaneers, while the point total has finished OVER in the past seven.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Tampa Bay Buccaneers listed as 5.5-point underdogs at shops such as Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line for the betting matchup was at 47 over at 5Dimes.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pointed to a potential 29-21 result in favor of the Chargers early in the week. That outcome may change during the week, if injuries alter the models, so check the

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits San Diego's No. 4-ranked offense, averaging 28.45 PPG, against a Buccaneers defense that ranks No. 19 this week at 24 PPG. The Chargers aerial game is averaging 271.82 yards per game, more than the Buccaneers secondary allows through the air, 253.82 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers feature the league's No. 14-rated road run defense, allowing 106.2 yards per game. The San Diego Chargers, meanwhile, ranks No. 17 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last gridiron battle, Mike Evans did much of the damage, producing 104 receiving yards as Tampa Bay beat the Seahawks 14-5 at Raymond James Stadium.

Last time out, Philip Rivers threw for 3 scores and 242 yards in leading his team past Houston at NRG Stadium.

Betting Trends

Next Betting Matchups

Tampa Bay home to New Orleans, Sunday, December 11th
San Diego at Carolina, Sunday, December 11th