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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Super Bowl Odds Shortest Since 2003

Rob Gronkowski joins Tom Brady in Tampa Bay. The star pair have had a large impact on the Bucs Super Bowl odds.

Thanks to the additions of Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ odds to win the Super Bowl (+1000) are the shortest they’ve been since the Bucs won the NFL championship 17 years ago.

Gronkowski, the fomer Patriots tight end, was traded Wednesday to Tampa Bay, where he’ll rejoin his friend and future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady. The Bucs, who haven’t made the playoffs since 2007, are now tied for fourth on the Super Bowl 55 oddsboard. 

If you are unfamiliar with placing futures bets, be sure to check out our handy how to bet on the NFL guide.

Tampa Bay Futures Odds
MarketOdds
Super Bowl 55+1000
NFC Championship+600
NFC South+140
Win Total9.5 (O: -120/ U: +100)

Odds as of April 23

How Tom Brady Impacted Tampa Bay’s Futures Odds

Following a season in which the Bucs’ Jameis Winston became the first quarterback to throw for 30-plus touchdowns and interceptions in the same season and Tampa Bay posted its third straight losing season with a 7-9 record, change was needed.

Ahead of free agency, Tampa Bay was a long shot to win Super Bowl 55, holding odds of +5000. However, it soon became apparent that TB12 would no longer be a Patriot and when he signed with the Buccaneers on March 18 on the opening day of free agency, their odds dropped to +2000 and eventually settled at +1600.

Be sure to check out our NFL futures page for the most up-to-date odds.

Tampa Bay Super Bowl 55 Odds
TimelineOdds
Pre - Tom Brady+5000
Post - Tom Brady+1600

Odds courtesy of  Bovada

Furthermore, we got a little insight into the value of Tom Brady as far as a team’s record is concerned. The Patriots had a win total line that was set at 10.5 prior to Brady’s decision to leave and was at nine wins after his departure. The same effect was seen in reverse for Tampa Bay as its 2020 win total was set at 7.5 and rose to nine after the Bucs signed the coveted QB.

Tampa Bay Wins Total
TimelineOdds
Pre - Tom Brady 7.5 
Post - Tom Brady9

Odds courtesy of BetOnline

Tampa Bay has been nothing short of a disaster since winning Super Bowl 37, appearing in just two playoffs since, winning the division both times, but not since 2007. Since that last playoff appearance, the Bucs have finished last in the NFC South in eight of the past 12 seasons and had a losing record in nine of those. Ahead of free agency, Tampa Bay had the longest odds to win the division at +1200 but is now at +200, second on the oddsboard behind the New Orleans Saints.

Tampa Bay NFC South Odds
TimelineOdds
Pre - Tom Brady +1200
Post - Tom Brady+200

Odds courtesy of BetOnline

Has Gronkowski Moved The Odds Further?

The offense already looked strong with Tom Brady under center and strong targets in three-time Pro Bowler Mike Evans and 2019 Pro Bowler Chris Godwin. Then in steps Rob Gronkowski, one of Brady’s most reliable and targeted receivers. Injuries plagued Gronk for much of his career, but when he was healthy, he wreaked havoc on opposing defenses. With the signing of Brady, the Bucs’ odds dropped to +1600 to win Super Bowl 55, and then after the Gronk news they fell once again to +1000, tied with the New Orleans Saints for fourth on the oddsboard.

Tampa Bay Super Bowl 55 Odds
TimelineOdds
Pre - Tom Brady +5000
Post - Tom Brady+1600
Post - Rob Gronkowski+1000

Odds courtesy of  Bovada

The future Hall of Fame receiver didn’t have as much of an impact as Brady on the win total, which is to be expected. Oddsmakers lifted the total just a half a win upward after the Gronkowski announcement, from nine to 9.5 with the OVER juiced at -120 and the UNDER at +100.

Two wins higher than the Bucs’ original line of 7.5 isn’t a bad offseason.

Tampa Bay Wins total
TimelineOdds
Pre - Tom Brady 7.5
Post - Tom Brady9
Post - Rob Gronkowski9.5

Odds courtesy of BetOnline

Finally, with the additions of Brady and Gronk, the Bucs went from +8000 to finish as the top seed in the NFC to now being tied with New Orleans and San Francisco for top odds at +600. Tampa Bay also moved closer to New Orleans in the NFC South odds, with the Saints coming in at EVEN money and the Bucs now +140.

Tampa Bay NFC South Odds
TimelineOdds
Pre - Tom Brady +1200
Post - Tom Brady+200
Post - Rob Gronkowski+140

Odds courtesy of BetOnline