NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
6 - 6
San Francisco
49ers
8 - 4
December 11, 2022, 4:25 PM EST
 | Levi's Stadium

Game Preview

Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
6 - 6
San Francisco
49ers
8 - 4
December 11, 2022, 4:25 PM EST
 | Levi's Stadium
  • Brock Purdy is expected to make his first NFL start under center on Sunday, when he leads the San Francisco 49ers (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS) into action against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6, 3-8-1) in a key NFL Week 14 matchup.

    The last player selected in the 2022 NFL Draft, Purdy is set to assume the role as the Niners’ starting quarterback after Jimmy Garoppolo suffered a season-ending injury in last weekend’s 33-17 win over Miami, which extended San Francisco’s win streak to five games. The Bucs travel to the West Coast after eking out a narrow 17-16 home win over New Orleans on Monday Night Football but have lost three straight on the road.

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    Buccaneers vs 49ers Betting Preview

    Buccaneers vs 49ers Sportsbook Odds

    The 49ers have faded to 3.5-point home favorites since Sportsbook as 6-point chalk. The total has also been on the decline since Sportsbook at 41, dipping to 37.

    Sunday’s matchup marks the first meeting between these teams since 2019 and the Bucs’ first trip to San Francisco in over six years. The Niners tallied a 31-17 victory when they visited Tampa Bay in Week 1 of the 2019 season and have claimed the win in five of the last eight head-to-head clashes.

    However, they have also lost two of three home dates to the Buccaneers, capped by a decisive 34-17 defeat back in October 2016. Recent meetings have tended to be one-sided, with each of their past six dates getting settled by double-digit margins. That has contributed to uneven results in totals betting, with the UNDER paying out in two straight but in just three of the past six.

    Get the best Bucs vs 49ers odds and lines available from our recommended sportsbooks for your favorite picks of the night.

    • Best Spread
      TB
      SF
    • Best Moneyline
      TB
      SF
    • Best Total
      Over
      Under

    Late Rallies Powering Bucs’ Surge

    The Buccaneers needed an epic rally in the dying minutes of the fourth quarter to escape with a 17-16 win over the Saints on Monday night. Trailing 14-3 with less than six minutes remaining, Tom Brady led the Bucs on a pair of speedy scoring drives, capped by a TD pass to Rachaad White with just three seconds remaining to seal the win.

    Brady flashed vintage form while leading the Bucs on their second game-winning rally in the final frame during the team’s current 3-1 SU run. However, this squad has still averaged a meager 16.3 points per game over their past seven outings. Slow starts remain a concern, with the team scoring three or fewer points in the first quarter five times over the past seven games. 

    A feeble ground game has produced just two scoring runs over the past five games, both by Leonard Fournette, and an average of just 74.2 total rushing yards over the past seven games. Those worries have been amplified by an ankle injury that forced Fournette to miss the Bucs’ 23-17 loss in Cleveland two weeks ago and limited him to just 49 yards on 10 carries Monday night.

    It’s Purdy Time in San Francisco

    The 49ers have been forced to scramble to bolster their depth under center after Jimmy Garoppolo saw his season end when he suffered a broken foot in last week’s win over the Dolphins. The loss of Jimmy G has opened the door for rookie Brock Purdy, who turned in a steady performance in relief last weekend, completing 25 of 37 pass attempts for 210 yards and two touchdowns against just one pick.

    But while the loss of a second starting quarterback to a season-ending injury would prove devastating to most NFL teams, it is important to note that it is a stout defense surrendering an NFL-low 15.8 points per game that has been crucial to this team’s success.

    That said, the Niners would also benefit from increased production from their ground game to support their newly minted starter, who is set to face a Bucs pass defense that has allowed just five scoring tosses over the past four games while recording 13 sacks.

    Niners rushers have failed to score while generating just 3.4 yards per carry over the past two games. Christian McCaffrey hasn’t produced a scoring run while rushing for just 42.7 yards per game over his past three outings.

    Buccaneers: Keys to Win

    Faced with the challenge of snapping a three-game slide on the road, during which they have averaged just 12.7 points per game, the Buccaneers must avoid surrendering an early lead. This team’s reliance on late rallies is unlikely to help them against the Niners’ stout defense. Accordingly, Brady must find ways of keeping the San Francisco defense off balance by making better use of the backfield duo of Fournette and White. Steady pressure by the defensive line on Purdy, who is not known for his mobility, could also be crucial on what may possibly be a rainy afternoon in Santa Clara.

    49ers: Keys to Win

    The 49ers demonstrated poise after losing starting pivot Trey Lance to injury back in Week 2 and must now circle the wagons around their youthful passer in his first NFL start. In addition to yet another dominating defensive performance after allowing just 11.4 points per game during their current 5-0 run, the Niners must make more effective use of their backfield against a Bucs squad that has surrendered an average of 146.3 rushing yards during their current three-game road losing streak.

    NFL Computer Pick: 49ers -3.5

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    Shark Bites
    • Tampa Bay is 1-8-1 ATS in its past 10 games.
    • San Francisco is 9-1 SU in its last 10 home games.
    • San Francisco is 9-2 SU in 11 home dates vs Tampa Bay.

Odds

Sunday, December 11 Sun Dec 11


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+6
-110
+195
o41
-110
-6
-110
-215
u41
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+3.5
-116
+170
o38.5
-112
-3.5
-104
-195
u38.5
-108

Edge Finder

18.18
Total Score
23.50
266.09
Passing Yards
233.83
73.00
Rushing Yards
124.08
29:10
Time on Field
32:04
66.82
Number of Plays
62.75
5.07
Yards Per Play
5.70
18.18
Total Score
23.50
3.18
First Quarter
4.42
5.36
Second Quarter
8.58
3.45
Third Quarter
3.83
6.18
Fourth Quarter
6.67
266.09
Passing Yards
233.83
42.82
Pass Attempts
32.17
28.27
Pass Completions
21.00
1.55
Sacks
1.92
11.27
Sack Yards
11.25
9.41
Yards Per Pass
11.13
73.00
Rushing Yards
124.08
22.45
Rush Attempts
28.67
3.25
Yards Per Rush
4.33
0.27
Interceptions
0.58
0.82
Fumbles
1.17
0.55
Fumbles Lost
0.58
0.82
Total Turnovers
1.17
5.82
Penalties
5.83
47.55
Penalty Yards
45.75
29:10
Time on Field
32:04
66.82
Number of Plays
62.75
5.07
Yards Per Play
5.70
5.00
Punts
3.58
48.73
Punt Average
44.22
68.18
Return Yards
65.75

Head To Head

TB
Stat Type SF
4-6
Record
6-4
4-6
ATS
6-4
4-6
O/U
4-6
18.70
Score
20.10
110.20
Rush Yds
141.60
34.30
Pass Attempts
27.80
61.52
Completion %
53.96
225.90
Passing Yds
151.40
336.1
Total Yds
293
2.10
Turnovers
1.60
TB
Stat Type SF
2-1
Record
1-2
2-1
ATS
1-2
1-2
O/U
1-2
26.00
Score
19.00
159.33
Rush Yds
135.33
34.67
Pass Attempts
31.00
67.31
Completion %
55.91
247.33
Passing Yds
155.00
406.67
Total Yds
290.33
1.67
Turnovers
2.33
Sep 8/19 (1 of 10)
TB
Stat Type SF
Home
Away
17
Score
31
-1
ATS
+1
51 o
O/U
51 u
121
Rush Yds
98
36
Pass Attempts
27
55.56
Completion %
66.67
174
Passing Yds
158
295
Total Yds
256
4
Turnovers
2
Nov 25/18 (2 of 10)
TB
Stat Type SF
Home
Away
27
Score
9
-1.5
ATS
+1.5
54.5 o
O/U
54.5 u
108
Rush Yds
148
38
Pass Attempts
32
76.32
Completion %
56.25
304
Passing Yds
194
412
Total Yds
342
0
Turnovers
2
Oct 23/16 (3 of 10)
TB
Stat Type SF
Away
Home
34
Score
17
+1
ATS
-1
45.5 o
O/U
45.5 u
249
Rush Yds
160
30
Pass Attempts
34
70.00
Completion %
47.06
264
Passing Yds
113
513
Total Yds
273
1
Turnovers
3
Dec 15/13 (4 of 10)
TB
Stat Type SF
Home
Away
14
Score
33
+5
ATS
-5
41 o
O/U
41 u
39
Rush Yds
187
34
Pass Attempts
29
52.94
Completion %
65.52
144
Passing Yds
189
183
Total Yds
376
2
Turnovers
0
Oct 9/11 (5 of 10)
TB
Stat Type SF
Away
Home
3
Score
48
+2.5
ATS
-2.5
41 o
O/U
41 u
86
Rush Yds
213
35
Pass Attempts
22
51.43
Completion %
63.64
186
Passing Yds
205
272
Total Yds
418
3
Turnovers
1
Nov 21/10 (6 of 10)
TB
Stat Type SF
Away
Home
21
Score
0
+3.5
ATS
-3.5
41.5 o
O/U
41.5 u
162
Rush Yds
71
22
Pass Attempts
31
63.64
Completion %
51.61
137
Passing Yds
118
299
Total Yds
189
0
Turnovers
2
Dec 23/07 (7 of 10)
TB
Stat Type SF
Away
Home
19
Score
21
-6.5
ATS
+6.5
36.5 o
O/U
36.5 u
67
Rush Yds
97
52
Pass Attempts
24
57.69
Completion %
45.83
367
Passing Yds
116
434
Total Yds
213
2
Turnovers
2
Oct 30/05 (8 of 10)
TB
Stat Type SF
Away
Home
10
Score
15
-10
ATS
+10
36 o
O/U
36 u
43
Rush Yds
158
34
Pass Attempts
19
61.76
Completion %
42.11
232
Passing Yds
50
275
Total Yds
208
3
Turnovers
0
Nov 21/04 (9 of 10)
TB
Stat Type SF
Home
Away
35
Score
3
-8
ATS
+8
42 o
O/U
42 u
159
Rush Yds
72
21
Pass Attempts
31
71.43
Completion %
48.39
193
Passing Yds
125
352
Total Yds
197
2
Turnovers
2
Oct 19/03 (10 of 10)
TB
Stat Type SF
Away
Home
7
Score
24
-4.5
ATS
+4.5
39.5 o
O/U
39.5 u
68
Rush Yds
212
41
Pass Attempts
29
60.98
Completion %
51.72
258
Passing Yds
246
326
Total Yds
458
4
Turnovers
2

Team Records

TB
Record SF
6-6
All
8-4
4-3
Home
5-1
2-3
Away
3-3
3-8-1
ATS
7-5
1-5-1
ATS Home
4-2
2-3
ATS Away
3-3
2-10
O/U
5-7
2-5
O/U Home
2-4
0-5
O/U Away
3-3
TB
Record SF
6-2
All
6-2
4-1
Home
3-0
2-1
Away
3-2
3-4-1
ATS
6-2
1-3-1
ATS Home
3-0
2-1
ATS Away
3-2
0-8
O/U
3-5
0-5
O/U Home
0-3
0-3
O/U Away
3-2
TB
Record SF
3-1
All
4-0
2-0
Home
2-0
1-1
Away
2-0
1-3
ATS
4-0
0-2
ATS Home
2-0
1-1
ATS Away
2-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
TB
Record SF
4-6
All
7-3
4-3
Home
4-1
0-3
Away
3-2
1-8-1
ATS
6-4
1-5-1
ATS Home
3-2
0-3
ATS Away
3-2
2-8
O/U
5-5
2-5
O/U Home
2-3
0-3
O/U Away
3-2

Gametime Weather

3:25pm Cloudy
12ºC / 53ºF
62% Humidity
11% Precipitation
86% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 8
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries
NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Dec 5, 2022NO17-16W-3.5/40.5L/U76274350662322982
Nov 27, 2022CLE17-23L-3/42L/U96229325189178367-1
Nov 13, 2022SEA21-16W-2.5/45W/U161258419392442831
Nov 6, 2022LAR16-13W-3/42.5P/U51272323681382060
Oct 27, 2022BAL22-27L-2/46.5L/O443053492312224531
Oct 23, 2022CAR3-21L-13/38.5L/U462763221731703430
Oct 16, 2022PIT18-20L-9.5/46.5L/U75229304771932700
Oct 9, 2022ATL21-15W-10/46L/U693514201511102610
Oct 2, 2022KC31-41L-2/47.5L/O33733761892284171
Sep 25, 2022GB12-14L-1.5/42L/U34251285672483150
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Dec 4, 2022MIA33-17W-5/46W/O12123035133275308-3
Nov 27, 2022NO13-0W-8.5/43.5W/U9622131763197260-2
Nov 21, 2022ARI38-10W-9.5/43W/O15922838767247314-2
Nov 13, 2022LAC22-16W-8/45.5L/U157230387511872380
Oct 30, 2022LAR31-14W+1/42W/O111257368561672230
Oct 23, 2022KC23-44L+1/49L/O1013434441124175291
Oct 16, 2022ATL14-28L-3.5/45.5L/U502963461681212893
Oct 9, 2022CAR37-15W-6/39.5W/O153244397642443080
Oct 3, 2022LAR24-9W-2/42W/U8823932757200257-2
Sep 25, 2022DEN10-11L-1.5/44.5L/U881792671011602613
View Game Logs