Not everyone likes to rip an NFL bet right off the hop. Some bettors like to get a feel for the game first before throwing their money down. Of course, there are also the forgetful folks who show up late to the action and instead opt for a live bet or two. 

We designed our NFL live betting report for all kinds of savvy gridiron gamblers. The first table examines how NFL teams fare after scoring the first touchdown of the game — that’s what the first column represents — and then the rest of the chart explores how teams fare when leading after the first quarter, after halftime, etc. The number in parenthesis is the scoring differential after each phase.

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Our second table further down the page analyzes the opposite — it explores how NFL teams fare after falling behind at the same checkpoints. The results on that end are quite surprising, so we’re excited to show you where to find all the juicy come-from-behind betting value. 

For more great football betting content, head over to our NFL page to check out the latest Super Bowl oddsNFL MVP odds and much more. While you’re here, visiting our NFL prop bets page is also a good idea. And if you’re a bit lost on how all this betting nonsense works, our How To Bet on the NFL page is here to save the day. 

NFL Teams When Leading (Through Week 5)
Team After Scoring First After 1st Quarter After 2nd Quarter After 3rd Quarter
Arizona 0-0 (0.0) 0-0 (0.0) 0-2 (3.0) 2-0 (5.5)
Atlanta 2-0 (3.5) 1-0 (10.0) 0-1 (13.0) 1-1 (5.5)
Baltimore 3-2 (4.2) 3-2 (6.2) 1-1 (9.0) 3-0 (9.0)
Buffalo 3-1 (22.0) 2-0 (7.0) 3-0 (10.67) 3-1 (11.0)
Carolina 1-2 (-1.67) 1-0 (7.0) 1-2 (6.33) 0-1 (2.0)
Chicago 1-2 (-6.33) 1-1 (3.5) 0-0 (0.0) 2-3 (4.8)
Cincinnati 2-0 (13.5) 2-0 (6.0) 1-1 (3.0) 1-2 (6.0)
Cleveland 2-2 (2.75) 1-2 (8.33) 1-1 (10.0) 2-2 (3.0)
Dallas 2-0 (7.5) 4-0 (5.75) 2-0 (2.5) 1-0 (3.0)
Denver 1-1 (-1.0) 0-2 (3.5) 1-0 (3.0) 1-0 (2.0)
Detroit 1-2 (0.67) 1-2 (8.67) 1-0 (10.0) 0-1 (10.0)
Green Bay 2-1 (0.0) 1-1 (5.5) 2-1 (10.33) 1-1 (3.5)
Houston 1-0-1 (3.5) 0-0 (0.0) 1-1-1 (5.67) 0-2-1 (6.67)
Indianapolis 1-0 (3.0) 1-0-1 (2.0) 0-0 (0.0) 0-1 (7.0)
Jacksonville 2-1 (14.67) 1-2 (8.0) 2-0 (9.5) 2-1 (9.33)
Kansas City 2-0 (16.5) 2-0 (12.5) 1-1 (3.5) 3-0 (10.33)
LA Chargers 2-1 (4.0) 1-1 (5.0) 3-0 (11.33) 1-0 (3.0)
LA Rams 2-0 (6.0) 2-0 (8.5) 1-1 (9.0) 1-1 (3.5)
Las Vegas 0-2 (-3.5) 0-2 (7.0) 1-2 (7.67) 1-2 (3.0)
Miami 1-0 (13.0) 1-0 (3.0) 1-1 (8.0) 0-2 (3.0)
Minnesota 3-0 (8.67) 3-0 (6.0) 3-0 (8.0) 0-0 (0.0)
NY Giants 1-1 (0.5) 2-0 (3.5) 1-0 (4.0) 2-1 (4.0)
NY Jets 2-0 (13.5) 2-0 (4.0) 2-0 (4.0) 0-0 (0.0)
New England 2-0 (16.0) 2-1 (3.0) 2-1 (7.67) 2-1 (6.0)
New Orleans 1-0 (1.0) 1-1 (3.5) 1-1 (3.0) 1-1 (9.0)
Philadelphia 3-0 (12.0) 2-0 (7.0) 4-0 (17.75) 2-0 (5.0)
Pittsburgh 1-0 (3.0) 1-0 (7.0) 1-1 (6.0) 0-1 (7.0)
San Francisco 3-2 (9.4) 3-1 (6.0) 3-1 (8.0) 0-0 (0.0)
Seattle 2-1 (-1.0) 2-1 (6.33) 1-1 (2.0) 1-1 (6.5)
Tampa Bay 3-0 (10.67) 1-0 (3.0) 2-0 (9.5) 3-1 (5.25)
Tennessee 3-1 (3.0) 3-1 (7.25) 1-1 (8.0) 0-0 (0.0)
Washington 1-1 (-4.5) 1-0 (4.0) 2-0 (5.0) 0-1 (8.0)

The key to interpreting these tables is about finding value based on trends. The “When Leading” data is really all about finding teams you can fade at various checkpoints during the game. The Vikings’ data, for example, isn’t very helpful, as Minnesota is undefeated when leading after each checkpoint.

The Houston Texans, on the other hand, are a great team to fade. The books might not be high on Houston to begin with, but it’s worth noting the Texans are 0-2-1 through five weeks when leading after the third quarter. This tells us to fade the Texans heavily in the fourth quarter, even if they have a marginal lead. There’s plenty of money to be made using that in-game NFL betting strategy. 

The chart does work both ways, though. The New York Jets, a perpetual underdog, are actually undefeated this season (2-0) when scoring the first touchdown of the game. It’d be wise to exercise some caution, as betting the Jets SU after they score first vs the Bills, for example, isn’t a top-notch strategy. But if the Jets are lined up against a mediocre team and score first, you should at least consider doubling down with a live bet in their favor.

NFL Teams When Losing (Through Week 5)
Team After Not Scoring First After 1st Quarter After 2nd Quarter After 3rd Quarter
Arizona 2-3 (-3.6) 1-3 (-9.5) 2-1 (-7.33) 0-3 (-7.0)
Atlanta 0-3 (-3.67) 0-2 (-5.5) 2-2 (-9.25) 1-1 (-5.5)
Baltimore 0-0 (0.0) 0-0 (0.0) 2-1 (-3.33) 0-1 (-10.0)
Buffalo 1-0 (3.0) 1-0 (-11.0) 1-0 (-7.0) 0-0 (0.0)
Carolina 0-2 (-12.0) 0-2 (-6.5) 0-2 (-8.5) 0-2 (-5.0)
Chicago 1-2 (-2.0) 0-2 (-2.5) 2-4 (-7.67) 0-0 (0.0)
Cincinnati 0-3 (-2.67) 0-3 (-7.0) 1-2 (-3.0) 1-1 (-3.0)
Cleveland 0-1 (-3.0) 0-1 (-10.0) 1-2 (-7.33) 0-1 (-3.0)
Dallas 2-1 (2.0) 0-1 (-3.0) 0-1 (-6.0) 2-1 (-5.33)
Denver 1-1 (0.0) 1-1 (-5.5) 0-1 (-7.0) 1-1 (-3.0)
Detroit 0-2 (-16.0) 0-2 (-5.5) 0-4 (-9.5) 1-3 (-7.75)
Green Bay 1-1 (0.5) 2-1 (-4.67) 0-1 (-10.0) 2-1 (-3.0)
Houston 0-3 (-6.67) 1-2-1 (-4.0) 0-1 (-13.0) 0-1 (-1.0)
Indianapolis 0-2-1 (-10.33) 1-2 (-8.0) 1-1-1 (-8.33) 0-1-1 (-8.5)
Jacksonville 0-2 (-6.5) 0-1 (-4.0) 0-3 (-10.0) 0-0 (0.0)
Kansas City 2-1 (0.33) 2-1 (-3.67) 1-0 (-3.0) 0-0 (0.0)
LA Chargers 1-1 (-13.0) 1-0 (-11.0) 0-1 (-9.0) 2-1 (-7.33)
LA Rams 0-3 (-16.0) 0-3 (-5.67) 1-1 (-3.5) 0-2 (-5.0)
Las Vegas 1-2 (0.67) 1-1 (-4.0) 0-2 (-12.0) 0-2 (-9.0)
Miami 2-2 (-7.25) 1-2 (-5.33) 1-0 (-14.0) 2-0 (-3.5)
Minnesota 1-1 (-6.5) 1-1 (-7.0) 1-1 (-5.5) 4-0 (-6.75)
NY Giants 3-0 (3.0) 2-1 (-5.67) 3-0 (-5.0) 0-0 (0.0)
NY Jets 1-2 (-9.67) 1-2 (-6.0) 0-2 (-3.5) 3-2 (-6.2)
New England 0-3 (-9.0) 0-2 (-5.0) 0-1 (-14.0) 0-2 (-6.5)
New Orleans 1-3 (-3.5) 1-2 (-7.0) 1-1 (-9.5) 1-1 (-3.5)
Philadelphia 2-0 (5.5) 2-0 (-10.5) 1-0 (-3.0) 0-0 (0.0)
Pittsburgh 0-4 (-13.5) 0-4 (-5.0) 0-3 (-8.67) 1-2 (-5.0)
San Francisco 0-0 (0.0) 0-0 (0.0) 0-1 (-3.0) 3-2 (-3.6)
Seattle 0-2 (-12.0) 0-1 (-6.0) 0-2 (-9.5) 0-2 (-10.5)
Tampa Bay 0-2 (-6.0) 1-2 (-6.0) 0-1 (-7.0) 0-1 (-3.0)
Tennessee 0-1 (-34.0) 0-0 (0.0) 0-1 (-10.0) 2-2 (-10.0)
Washington 1-3 (-6.0) 0-3 (-6.33) 0-3 (-12.0) 2-0 (-8.0)

The “When Losing” table is all about live-betting teams that fall behind, and right now the New York Giants are the 2022 comeback kings. The G-Men are undefeated (3-0) when their opponent scores the first touchdown of the game. Keep that info in your back pocket, as the Giants are also 3-0 when trailing after the second quarter.

If the Giants are the comeback kings, then the Pittsburgh Steelers are the nega-comeback kings. The Steelers are 0-4 when their opponent scores the first touchdown of the game and 0-3 when trailing after the half. Fade, fade, fade.

Other interesting trend-breakers include the Vikings, who are 4-0 when trailing after three quarters. By contrast, the Arizona Cardinals are 0-3 when trailing after three quarters. The Cincinnati Bengals, Houston Texans, Atlanta Falcons, LA Rams and New England Patriots are all 0-3 this year when their opponent scores the first touchdown of the game. There could be big-time value in fading those teams, especially talented squads like the Rams and Bengals.

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