You sat down to watch football but you didn't put a bet in before kick-off. Now what? We designed NFL live betting reports for exactly this situation.
The first table examines how NFL teams fare after scoring the first touchdown of the game — that’s what the first column represents — and then the rest of the chart explores how teams fare when leading after the first quarter, after halftime, etc. The number in parenthesis is the scoring differential after each phase.
Our second table further down the page analyzes the opposite — it explores how NFL teams fare after falling behind at the same checkpoints. The results on that end are quite surprising, so we’re excited to show you where to find all the juicy come-from-behind betting value.
NFL Teams When Leading
| team | After Scoring First | After 1st Quarter | After 2nd Quarter | After 3rd Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 0-1 (-3.0) | 0-1 (7.0) | 0-2 (10.0) | 0-1 (3.0) |
| Atlanta | 1-0 (14.0) | 1-0 (3.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Baltimore | 2-0 (9.5) | 2-0 (7.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-0 (15.0) |
| Buffalo | 0-1 (-6.0) | 0-1 (3.0) | 1-1 (9.0) | 1-0 (7.0) |
| Carolina | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Chicago | 0-1 (-10.0) | 0-1 (4.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Cincinnati | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (4.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Cleveland | 1-0 (21.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-1 (6.0) | 0-1 (5.0) |
| Dallas | 2-0 (30.0) | 2-0 (11.5) | 2-0 (5.5) | 2-0 (6.5) |
| Denver | 0-1 (-2.0) | 0-1 (11.0) | 0-1 (4.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Detroit | 1-0 (1.0) | 1-0 (7.0) | 0-1 (7.0) | 1-0 (4.0) |
| Green Bay | 1-1 (8.5) | 1-0 (4.0) | 0-1 (4.0) | 1-1 (8.5) |
| Houston | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (6.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Indianapolis | 1-0 (11.0) | 1-0 (7.0) | 1-0 (11.0) | 1-1 (7.0) |
| Jacksonville | 1-0 (10.0) | 1-0 (7.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Kansas City | 1-0 (8.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-1 (7.5) | 1-0 (7.0) |
| LA Chargers | 0-2 (-2.5) | 0-1 (3.0) | 0-1 (1.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| LA Rams | 1-0 (17.0) | 1-0 (4.0) | 0-1 (4.0) | 1-0 (10.0) |
| Las Vegas | 1-1 (-13.5) | 1-0 (1.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Miami | 1-0 (7.0) | 1-0 (3.0) | 2-0 (7.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Minnesota | 0-2 (-4.5) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (3.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| NY Giants | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-0 (6.0) |
| NY Jets | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-0 (3.0) |
| New England | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (14.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| New Orleans | 2-0 (2.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-0 (3.0) | 2-0 (7.0) |
| Philadelphia | 1-0 (5.0) | 2-0 (9.5) | 1-0 (3.0) | 2-0 (5.0) |
| Pittsburgh | 1-0 (4.0) | 1-0 (4.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| San Francisco | 2-0 (15.0) | 2-0 (7.0) | 1-0 (3.0) | 2-0 (5.0) |
| Seattle | 1-0 (6.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (10.0) | 1-0 (3.0) |
| Tampa Bay | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-0 (3.0) | 1-0 (7.0) | 2-0 (7.0) |
| Tennessee | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (3.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-0 (7.0) |
| Washington | 1-0 (4.0) | 1-0 (4.0) | 1-0 (4.0) | 1-0 (4.0) |
Dallas took that win against the Giants in Week 1 and piled it on with another win over the Jets in Week 2. They're now only one of a few sides with a 2-0 record when leading. The Boys are an incredible +30 when scoring first.
In Week 3, we've got a matchup between two strugglers with the Chargers welcoming Minnesota. Both are 0-2 when leading this season. So I guess for this game fade the side that gets on the board first because neither of them is good with a lead.
NFL Teams When Losing
| team | After Not Scoring First | After 1st Quarter | After 2nd Quarter | After 3rd Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 0-1 (-4.0) | 0-1 (-4.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (-6.0) |
| Atlanta | 1-0 (1.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-0 (-4.0) | 1-0 (-11.0) |
| Baltimore | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 2-0 (-5.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Buffalo | 1-0 (28.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (-3.0) |
| Carolina | 0-2 (-8.5) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (-3.0) | 0-1 (-4.0) |
| Chicago | 0-1 (-18.0) | 0-1 (-4.0) | 0-1 (-7.0) | 0-2 (-6.5) |
| Cincinnati | 0-2 (-12.0) | 0-1 (-7.0) | 0-1 (-10.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Cleveland | 0-1 (-4.0) | 0-1 (-4.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Dallas | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Denver | 0-1 (-1.0) | 0-1 (-1.0) | 0-1 (-4.0) | 0-1 (-4.0) |
| Detroit | 0-1 (-6.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-0 (-14.0) | 0-1 (-3.0) |
| Green Bay | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (-3.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Houston | 0-2 (-13.5) | 0-2 (-7.0) | 0-1 (-11.0) | 0-2 (-9.0) |
| Indianapolis | 0-1 (-10.0) | 0-1 (-7.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Jacksonville | 0-1 (-8.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (-1.0) | 1-1 (-9.0) |
| Kansas City | 0-1 (-1.0) | 0-1 (-7.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (-4.0) |
| LA Chargers | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-1 (-3.0) | 0-1 (-7.0) |
| LA Rams | 0-1 (-7.0) | 0-1 (-4.0) | 1-0 (-10.0) | 0-1 (-3.0) |
| Las Vegas | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-1 (-7.5) | 0-1 (-7.0) |
| Miami | 1-0 (2.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Minnesota | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-2 (-3.0) | 0-1 (-3.0) | 0-2 (-7.0) |
| NY Giants | 1-1 (-18.5) | 1-1 (-11.5) | 1-1 (-11.5) | 0-1 (-7.0) |
| NY Jets | 1-1 (-7.0) | 1-1 (-5.0) | 1-1 (-4.0) | 0-1 (-6.0) |
| New England | 0-2 (-6.0) | 0-2 (-9.5) | 0-1 (-11.0) | 0-1 (-3.0) |
| New Orleans | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-0 (-3.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Philadelphia | 1-0 (6.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-0 (-14.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Pittsburgh | 0-1 (-23.0) | 0-1 (-10.0) | 1-1 (-2.5) | 1-1 (-6.0) |
| San Francisco | 0-0 (0.0) | 0-0 (0.0) | 1-0 (-4.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Seattle | 0-1 (-17.0) | 0-1 (-4.0) | 1-0 (-7.0) | 0-1 (-10.0) |
| Tampa Bay | 2-0 (6.5) | 1-0 (-4.0) | 1-0 (-3.0) | 0-0 (0.0) |
| Tennessee | 1-1 (1.0) | 1-0 (-3.0) | 1-0 (-1.0) | 0-1 (-10.0) |
| Washington | 1-0 (2.0) | 1-0 (-11.0) | 1-0 (-7.0) | 1-0 (-3.0) |
Tampa is the only side to go 2-0 this season when trailing first. They've received some consistent offense so far this year, scoring in every quarter of the year. And don't look now, but QB Baker Mayfield is top 10 for QBR at 65.4. Something he hasn't done since 2020 when he led the Browns to the playoffs for the first time in 18 years. That would be huge for Tampa who are looking to keep that three-year playoff streak alive.
Maybe Belichick was looking at his team's 0-2 record when trailing when he tossed that red flag to the ground.
Bill Belichick was FED UP 😂 pic.twitter.com/dtMdrgfxDD
— Odds Shark (@OddsShark) September 18, 2023
The Pats just aren't able to dig themselves out of a hole right now. With a -6 scoring differential it's not all bad news. At least they're keeping it close. So maybe Bill can think of that next time?
