Odds Shark Top Sportsbooks
*Terms and Conditions apply to all bonus offers on this website. Visit operator for details.

Betting Preview: Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Oddsmakers believe Thursday night’s AFC South clash between the Titans and Jaguars will be a defensive slog.

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars (Matchup Report)

Date/Time: September 19, 8:20 p.m. ET

TV Coverage: NFL Network

Opening Odds: Tennessee -2.5 | O/U 48.5 (Line History)

Opening Odds Analysis

The Titans opened as 2.5-point road favorites at 22bet, but the line pulled back slightly to Tennessee -2. Jacksonville’s moneyline opened at +113 and the point total at 48.5 before a monster pullback to O/U 40.0 by Monday of game week.

Tennessee is 6-13-1 as a road favorite over its past 20 games with five consecutive UNDERS hitting. Jacksonville is 6-2 ATS when a home dog of 1 or 2 points.

The Titans finished the 2018 regular season 9-7 SU and 8-8 against the spread. Tennessee is now 1-1 SU and ATS this season after a disappointing Week 2 home loss to the Colts. With Blake Bortles behind center, the Jaguars were 5-11 SU and 5-9-2 ATS last season, but Gardner Minshew’s Jags covered the +8.5 at Houston in Week 2 to start this season 1-1 ATS.

Tennessee News & Notes

After posting an 8-8 ATS record last season, the Titans’ home loss to Indianapolis should come as no surprise. Yet, it begs the question, what does Tennessee’s 19-17 loss say about the Browns after the Titans smoked Cleveland on their home turf? Something to consider if you’re looking to back the Browns in Week 3.

When you dig into the box score, this game was won and lost on third down. The Colts converted seven of 14, while the Titans were just one of 10.

Despite its struggles to get off the field – which can also be a byproduct of the offense failing to move the chains – the Titans defense remains one of the league’s best. Through two games, they’ve allowed the second-fewest passing yards and sixth-fewest points per game (16.0).

Marcus Mariota’s 402 passing yards through two weeks match Jameis Winston’s, which wouldn’t be so bad if Mariota was completing better than 63.5 percent of his passes. The offense continues to run through Derrick Henry, who is averaging nearly 5.0 yards per rush and 82.5 rush yards per game. Jacksonville has allowed nearly 120 rush yards per game through the first two weeks.

The NFL kicking epidemic infected Tennessee in Week 2 and while Cairo Santos’ missed field goal wouldn’t have mattered ATS, the Titans would be sitting at 2-0 atop the AFC South standings.

Jacksonville News & Notes

A controversial failed two-point conversion attempt was the difference between a Jaguars moneyline win and loss Sunday afternoon. Although Gardner Minshew’s impressive two-minute drill touchdown didn’t result in a straight-up win, the Jaguars (+8.5) picked up the road ATS win with ease.

Jacksonville’s defense held Deshaun Watson in check to the tune of 16-29 passing for 159 yards with no touchdowns. This effort comes a week after Watson finished 268-3-1 against the Saints. Like so many defensive front sevens, the Jaguars defense harassed Watson, hit him eight times and finished with four sacks.

Unlike his debut against the Chiefs, Minshew wasn’t as comfortable in the pocket against the Texans. He was hit seven times and sacked four times. On top of that, Houston’s defense held Leonard Fournette to 3.1 yards per rush on 15 carries. So, when you look at the Jaguars’ 3-for-13 on third downs and 12 total points, you get a better sense of how that happened.

Jacksonville, namely Fournette, must be able to attack Tennessee’s 26th-ranked rush defense, which has allowed 134.5 rush yards per game through the first two weeks.

Betting Pick: Jaguars +2

Who knows how good this Jaguars offense would be under Nick Foles, but you just get the sense that Gardner Minshew’s confidence is enough to compete on a weekly basis. You couldn’t say that about Blake Bortles. With Leonard Fournette healthy and with a solid matchup, I like the Jags getting points at home.

Shark Bites
  • The Titans are 4-17 SU in their last 21 games vs their division on the road.
  • The Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
  • The favored team is 9-2 SU in the last 11 games in this matchup.