NFL

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Tennessee
Titans
10 - 7
New England
Patriots
13 - 3
January 13, 2018, 8:15 PM EST
 | Gillette Stadium

Game Preview

Tennessee
Titans
10 - 7
New England
Patriots
13 - 3
January 13, 2018, 8:15 PM EST
 | Gillette Stadium
  • Even during their off week, the New England Patriots were somehow the biggest story in football. They’ll be looking to put the off-field shenanigans behind them when they host the Titans, who are coming off a shocking win in Kansas City. The Patriots are, by far, the biggest favorite of the week and their recent history in home playoff games makes them a hard team to bet against.

    Shark Bites
    • The Patriots are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
    • The Titans are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games after a win.
    • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Patriots’ last 10 games at home.

    The Patriots are on a serious run in home playoff games. They’ve won six in a row where they’ve covered the spread five times, winning the games by an average of 17.8 points. Lopsided wins at home are nothing new for the Patriots. They won their three most recent home games by a combined 59 points, with each win coming by at least 18 points.

    While Tom Brady and the offense get most of the credit, the defense has quietly been one of the league’s best. In their last five home games, they’ve allowed just 11.8 points per game, which paved the way to covering the spread in each of those games. This all matches up with a Titans offense that’s averaging just 18 points per game on the road. Marcus Mariota did enough to win last week, but he’s been brutal on the road this season, throwing 12 picks and just seven touchdown passes.

    It shouldn’t come as much of a shock to hear this matchup has been incredibly one-sided with the Patriots winning the last six games between the teams with an average win margin of 20.8. Another trend for Patriots backers to sink their teeth into is that the Titans are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a double-digit dog.

    The game also features the largest total of the week, currently hovering in the 47-point range. If New England’s defense continues its stingy ways at home, the offense likely needs to do the majority of the work for the total to go OVER. The Patriots are averaging the second-most points per game at home this season (29.4), while they’ve averaged 36.6 points per game during their six-game home playoff win streak.

    You’re probably thinking this preview comes off as extremely one-sided, which is 100 percent accurate. The majority of the stats and trends I uncovered all point toward the Patriots, but to be fair, everything also pointed away from the Titans in the wild-card round, and we saw how that turned out.

    Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick

    Betting fans looking to side with the New England Patriots in this one found them as 13.5-point favorites earlier in the week at Sportsbook, while the total was sitting at 48.

    OddsShark computer NFL score prediction models picked a possible 33-10 win for the Patriots on Saturday. That score may change during the week if injury or weather factors alter the numbers, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

    Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots Matchup

    Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

    The New England Patriots sport a record of 13-3 and 11-5 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the Tennessee Titans sit at 10-7 and 9-7-1 ATS on the season. The OVER/UNDER totals records are 7-9 for the Patriots and 9-8 for the Titans. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New England vs Tennessee injuries news.

    The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Patriots rated this week at No. 1 and the Titans sitting at No. 17.

    Statistical Matchup

    The game also pits New England's No. 2-ranked offense, averaging 28.62 PPG, against a Titans defense that ranks No. 18 this week at 22.18 PPG. The Patriots aerial game is averaging 276.06 yards per game, more than the Titans secondary allows through the air, 240.24 YPG per game.

    Defensively, the Titans feature the league's No. 3-rated road run defense, allowing 94.22 yards per game. The Patriots, meanwhile, rank No. 9 in rushing offense at home.

    Recent Outings Betting Recap

    Kansas City was unable to contain Derrick Henry in its last action Saturday and the result was a 22-21 wild-card playoff loss against the Titans.

    New York didn't make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Patriots as New England blasted them 26-6 in Week 17 action.

    Betting Trends
    • Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    • Tennessee is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
    • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games
    • Tennessee is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
    • New England is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
    • New England is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
    • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
    • New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Odds

Saturday, January 13 Sat Jan 13


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+13.5
-110
+702
o48
-110
-13.5
-110
-948
u48
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+13.5
-102
+675
o48
-112
-13.5
-118
-900
u48
-108

Edge Finder

24.17
Total Score
26.61
201.72
Passing Yards
226.33
141.33
Rushing Yards
124.39
32:58
Time on Field
30:31
65.83
Number of Plays
61.83
5.21
Yards Per Play
5.67
24.17
Total Score
26.61
3.39
First Quarter
4.28
9.61
Second Quarter
8.11
4.17
Third Quarter
4.67
6.67
Fourth Quarter
9.56
201.72
Passing Yards
226.33
31.06
Pass Attempts
31.83
20.78
Pass Completions
21.56
2.67
Sacks
1.72
18.56
Sack Yards
14.28
9.71
Yards Per Pass
10.50
141.33
Rushing Yards
124.39
32.11
Rush Attempts
28.28
4.40
Yards Per Rush
4.40
0.94
Interceptions
0.83
1.39
Fumbles
1.11
0.61
Fumbles Lost
0.56
1.56
Total Turnovers
1.39
5.83
Penalties
5.56
54.89
Penalty Yards
49.33
32:58
Time on Field
30:31
65.83
Number of Plays
61.83
5.21
Yards Per Play
5.67
3.44
Punts
3.06
44.14
Punt Average
44.70
69.17
Return Yards
71.11

Head To Head

TEN
Stat Type NE
1-7
Record
7-1
2-6
ATS
6-2
5-3
O/U
5-3
17.00
Score
31.88
113.62
Rush Yds
128.25
32.50
Pass Attempts
34.00
57.31
Completion %
63.24
197.75
Passing Yds
236.50
311.38
Total Yds
364.75
2.25
Turnovers
0.50
TEN
Stat Type NE
0-3
Record
3-0
0-3
ATS
3-0
2-1
O/U
2-1
9.67
Score
42.00
90.67
Rush Yds
149.33
30.33
Pass Attempts
37.00
59.34
Completion %
75.68
160.00
Passing Yds
302.33
250.67
Total Yds
451.67
3.33
Turnovers
0.33
Dec 20/15 (1 of 10)
TEN
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
16
Score
33
+14
ATS
-14
47.5 o
O/U
47.5 u
59
Rush Yds
93
34
Pass Attempts
35
67.65
Completion %
65.71
223
Passing Yds
253
282
Total Yds
346
3
Turnovers
1
Sep 9/12 (2 of 10)
TEN
Stat Type NE
Home
Away
13
Score
34
+5
ATS
-5
48 o
O/U
48 u
20
Rush Yds
162
43
Pass Attempts
31
67.44
Completion %
74.19
264
Passing Yds
228
284
Total Yds
390
2
Turnovers
0
Oct 18/09 (3 of 10)
TEN
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
0
Score
59
+9
ATS
-9
38.5 o
O/U
38.5 u
193
Rush Yds
193
14
Pass Attempts
45
14.29
Completion %
84.44
-7
Passing Yds
426
186
Total Yds
619
5
Turnovers
0
Dec 31/06 (4 of 10)
TEN
Stat Type NE
Home
Away
23
Score
40
-3
ATS
+3
41.5 o
O/U
41.5 u
135
Rush Yds
171
36
Pass Attempts
28
41.67
Completion %
60.71
207
Passing Yds
243
342
Total Yds
414
3
Turnovers
0
Jan 10/04 (5 of 10)
TEN
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
14
Score
17
+6
ATS
-6
34.5 o
O/U
34.5 u
84
Rush Yds
96
26
Pass Attempts
41
69.23
Completion %
51.22
200
Passing Yds
201
284
Total Yds
297
1
Turnovers
1
Oct 5/03 (6 of 10)
TEN
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
30
Score
38
-0
ATS
0
40.5 o
O/U
40.5 u
70
Rush Yds
161
45
Pass Attempts
31
51.11
Completion %
54.84
372
Passing Yds
193
442
Total Yds
354
1
Turnovers
0
Dec 16/02 (7 of 10)
TEN
Stat Type NE
Home
Away
24
Score
7
-3
ATS
+3
44 o
O/U
44 u
238
Rush Yds
56
24
Pass Attempts
31
45.83
Completion %
48.39
127
Passing Yds
120
365
Total Yds
176
1
Turnovers
2
Sep 20/98 (8 of 10)
TEN
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
16
Score
27
+6.5
ATS
-6.5
38 o
O/U
38 u
110
Rush Yds
94
38
Pass Attempts
30
73.68
Completion %
60.00
196
Passing Yds
228
306
Total Yds
322
2
Turnovers
0
Oct 17/93 (9 of 10)
TEN
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
28
Score
14
-6.5
ATS
+6.5
36.5 o
O/U
36.5 u
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
73.68
Completion %
73.68
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0
Sep 22/91 (10 of 10)
TEN
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
20
Score
24
-12
ATS
+12
38 o
O/U
38 u
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
73.68
Completion %
73.68
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0

Team Records

TEN
Record NE
10-7
All
13-3
6-2
Home
6-2
4-5
Away
7-1
9-7-1
ATS
11-5
5-2-1
ATS Home
5-3
4-5
ATS Away
6-2
9-8
O/U
7-9
5-3
O/U Home
5-3
4-5
O/U Away
2-6
TEN
Record NE
9-4
All
10-2
5-1
Home
5-1
4-3
Away
5-1
6-6-1
ATS
8-4
3-2-1
ATS Home
4-2
3-4
ATS Away
4-2
6-7
O/U
5-7
3-3
O/U Home
4-2
3-4
O/U Away
1-5
TEN
Record NE
5-1
All
5-1
3-0
Home
3-0
2-1
Away
2-1
5-1
ATS
4-2
3-0
ATS Home
3-0
2-1
ATS Away
1-2
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
TEN
Record NE
6-4
All
9-1
4-1
Home
5-0
2-3
Away
4-1
6-3-1
ATS
9-1
3-1-1
ATS Home
5-0
3-2
ATS Away
4-1
5-5
O/U
3-7
3-2
O/U Home
2-3
2-3
O/U Away
1-4

Gametime Weather

Weather
8:00pm Clear
-4ºC / 25ºF
54% Humidity
1% Precipitation
2% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 9
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries
NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Jan 6, 2018KC22-21W+8.5/44.5W/U202195397692563252
Dec 31, 2017JAC15-10W-2.5/40W/U11611623283146229-3
Dec 24, 2017LAR23-27L+5.5/46W/O972693661162864020
Dec 17, 2017SF23-25L+2.5/44W/O90238328513634141
Dec 10, 2017ARI7-12L-2.5/42L/U651392041361252612
Dec 3, 2017HOU24-13W-6.5/42W/U198146344533313840
Nov 26, 2017IND20-16W-3/46.5W/U92184276891652541
Nov 16, 2017PIT17-40L+7/44.5L/O52264316652843494
Nov 12, 2017CIN24-20W-4.5/40.5L/O180236416532553080
Nov 5, 2017BAL23-20W-3/41P/O7118625773268341-1
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Dec 31, 2017NYJ26-6W-16.5/42.5W/U147183330402072470
Dec 24, 2017BUF37-16W-10.5/47.5W/O193218411842423261
Dec 17, 2017PIT27-24W-2.5/52.5W/U772833601432704130
Dec 11, 2017MIA20-27L-10.5/48L/U252232481202423622
Dec 3, 2017BUF23-3W-7.5/49W/U191244435183852680
Nov 26, 2017MIA35-17W-17/49W/O19622141767154221-1
Nov 19, 2017OAK33-8W-7/55W/U89331420109235344-2
Nov 12, 2017DEN41-16W-7/45W/O99297396118221339-2
Oct 29, 2017LAC21-13W-6.5/48W/U97317414157192349-1
Oct 22, 2017ATL23-7W-2.5/55.5W/U1622414031202233430
View Game Logs