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What Will Watson do as Followup to his Performance at Foxborough?

Nearly pulling off the impossible at Foxborough on Sunday, Deshaun Watson came within one successful Tom Brady two-minute drill of becoming the first rookie quarterback to win a game at Gillette Stadium – that has to count for something. He’ll carry the momentum of that performance into his first career home start when he and the Texans host the Titans on Sunday afternoon.

  • The Texans are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games against their division.
  • The Titans are 2-8 SU and ATS in their last 10 games against the Texans.
  • The Texans are 2-7 SU and ATS in their last 9 games as home underdogs.

All that said of Watson, he’s still a little raw and his propensity for making bad throws could haunt him for a while. He’s thrown three interceptions in 80 attempts so far and the two he coughed up against a bad Pats secondary probably cost his team the game. The Clemson product has, however, increased his completion percentage every week since being called upon against the Jaguars and he looks like he could be the first legitimate NFL quarterback the Texans have had since their move to Houston.

Speaking of legit signal-callers, the Titans have one of their own in Marcus Mariota. The third-year QB was terrific in a win over the Seahawks last Sunday and he’ll have to be again if the Titans are to win a game in Houston. In his only other start against in H-Town, Mariota completed just 13 of his 29 passes and was picked off once in a 27-20 loss.

That loss was one of many for the Titans against the Texans – who have been money against divisional opponents – and it’s a little funny to see Tennessee favored on the road.

A quick look at the trends, though, will show that the Titans are 5-1 SU and 3-2-1 ATS in their last six games as road faves. Yes, three of those wins came against the Jaguars but the trend shows that the Titans aren’t completely useless on the road and that they’ll most likely give the Texans a game.

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Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Tennessee Titans opened as 2.5-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including BetOnline), while the total was hovering around 44 at most shops.

NFL prediction models run by the computers at OddsShark picked a 24-21 result in favor of the Texans earlier in the week. Watch matchup reports and the picks page for any changes, due to injuries or suspensions this week. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Houston Texans currently sport a record of 1-2, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 2-1 ATS. The Tennessee Titans are 2-1 and 2-1 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Houston Texans post a 1-2 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the Tennessee Titans have gone 2-1 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Houston vs Tennessee injuries news.

The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 16-rated Tennessee Titans taking on the No. 25-rated Houston Texans in this contest.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Houston Texans' No. 21-ranked offense (17.67 PPG) against a Tennessee Titans defense that ranks No. 22 at 23 PPG. The Texans passing attack has averaged 166.67 yards per game, less than the Titans give up through the air (275 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Tennessee Titans feature the league's No. 15-rated road run defense, allowing 99 yards per game. The Houston Texans, meanwhile, rank No. 18 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

DeMarco Murray tore up the turf for 115 rushing yards in the latest Titans game, a 33-27 win over the Seahawks at Nissan Stadium.

In Houston's last outing, Deshaun Watson threw for 301 yards in a losing cause against the Patriots, 36-33 at Gillette Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Tennessee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tennessee's last 16 games
  • Tennessee is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
  • Houston is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Tennessee at Miami, Sunday, October 8
Houston home to Kansas City, Sunday, October 8