We’re seven days removed from the Thursday night game that changed everything. Critics and haters were silenced after the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers provided the NFL audience with one of the most entertaining TNF contests ever. The two teams combined for 80 points when the O/U was set well below 40.
The Green Bay Packers (-7) and Chicago Bears (+305) have an uphill climb to match last Thursday’s action, but there are plenty of delicious prop bets to consider in the hours leading up to the game.
All prop odds courtesy of BetOnline.
Bears Sacks of GB-QB O/U 2 ½
The Bet: OVER (-150)
Offensive linemen Bryan Bulaga (ankle) and David Bakhtiari (hamstring) are both listed as doubtful. Aaron Rodgers has been sacked 13 times – six by the Bengals - and opposing defenses have hit him 27 more. The Bears are averaging more than two sacks per game. If Bulaga and Bakhtiari are out, this is a no-brainer.
Ty Montgomery Rush Yards O/U 57 ½
The Bet: UNDER (-120)
Aside from the hobbled offensive line and potential lack of holes to run through, whispers of reducing Montgomery’s touches per game has been echoed as rookie Jamaal Williams looks to eat. The converted wide receiver is just three games into his first full season as the lead back, which can take a toll on the body. Plus, Chicago’s rush defense ranks inside the top 10 allowing less than 85 yards per game, while their pass defense ranks outside the top 20.
Tarik Cohen Rush+Rec Yards O/U 67 ½
The Bet: keep reading
Oddsmakers set the O/U just below Cohen’s season low for total rush/rec yards: 68 against Tampa Bay.
So, using the 67 ½ number, the Bears rookie back has hit the OVER in all three games. Jordan Howard is coming off a game where he rushed 23 times for 140 yards and was/is reportedly dealing with a bad shoulder. Howard is not on the injury report this week. If you believe the Bears will have to play from behind – as was the case against the Buccaneers – that means more Cohen in the passing game. If you think they keep it closer than anticipated, that means more Howard and ground game to grind clock and set tone.
It’s a little risky, but Cohen has enough of a role in the passing game to feel confident betting the OVER (-120).
Player To Score Touchdown Anytime
The Bet: Jordy Nelson (+100)
Fact: the Chicago Bears kept Nelson out of the end zone in BOTH AFC North meetings last season. A season in which Nelson scored 14 touchdowns in 16 games. The Packers receiver has three touchdowns in two games. Chicago doesn’t keep Nelson out of the end zone in three straight games.
Doc's Picks Service
Need more winning picks? Get $60 worth of premium member picks from Doc’s Sports – a recognized leader and trusted name in sports handicapping since 1971.
Odds Shark Staff Mon, Sep 26, 4:51pm