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The Pick Six: Week 12 NFL Picks

The Pick Six: Week 12 NFL Betting

After enjoying Thanksgiving holiday football, I woke up from the euphoria to see that my NFL picks from Thursday night’s games went 3-3 with the Falcons-Saints OVER 60.5 falling short. Whomp Whomp!!

With the three Thanksgiving games all wrapped up, there is still some value left on the board in Week 12 and I think we can swoop in and get paid.

Each week during the NFL season, I give you my six favorite plays on the moneyline, spread or total. Here we go with Week 12!

The Pick: Bengals -3 vs Browns

Having lost seven straight times to their in-state rival, I’m still puzzled why the Browns are only +3 instead of +6 or +7. I know the Bengals have lost four of their last five games but they should easily handle a Browns team that has yet to win on the road. Cleveland’s defense isn’t as great as it was at the beginning of the season and over its last five games is allowing teams to score 30 points per game. Take the Bengals in this one.

The Pick: UNDER 46 Patriots vs Jets

Maybe because it’s a divisional game or the Jets just seeming to know how to keep things close but the UNDER has been profitable for bettors when the Pats face the J-E-T-S. The UNDER has hit the last four games in this matchup with an average combined score of 39 points per game. The Jets haven’t topped 20 points in their last four games and with QB Josh McCown expected under center now that Sam Darnold is unlikely to play, I think they’ll get down quick and continue to come up short on the offensive end vs a Patriots squad coming off an ugly loss to the Titans.

The Pick: UNDER 47 Giants vs Eagles

Lincoln Financial Field has been a haven for UNDER bettors lately and I think it will be more of the same in Wentzlyvania. The Eagles offense looks out of whack and the UNDER has hit in eight of their last 10 games at home with an average combined score of 33.4 points per game. Sticking with just this season, the UNDER has cashed in four of their five home games. I think there will be some scoring in this game but it will get tight late in the game with the total falling just short of 47.

The Pick: OVER 46.5 Steelers vs Broncos

I think this line is a little too low for a Steelers game considering they’ve averaged 32 points per game over their last four. While I think they’ll score points, this bet really banks on the Broncos scoring points and they can put points up on a team that still allows over 20 points per game this season. The Broncos have only been held below 20 points in one of their five home games this year and I think this one has a great chance to go over 50 points.

The Pick: Vikings -3 vs Packers

As someone who has attended many football games in Minnesota, I know how hard it has been for opposing teams to win in the Twin Cities. The Vikings are 9-2 SU in their last 11 home games and have covered the spread in five of their last seven games when hosting the Packers. Speaking of Green Bay, have you looked at its road record recently? The Pack are 0-5 SU and 1-3-1 ATS in five away games this season and look to be in complete disarray with their offense as drama keeps emerging between Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy. At this spread, the Vikings are ripe for the picking.

The Pick: OVER 41 Titans vs Texans

Again, another divisional game but I think this one goes OVER because of the Titans. Their team is so bipolar that one week, they’re dropping 34 points on the reigning AFC champions, the next week they allow 38 points to the Colts. As a result, the OVER has hit in their last three games with an average combined score of 44.6 points per contest. During their seven-game win streak, the Texans are averaging 25.7 points per game and put up a 50 burger on this team last season. Take the OVER and enjoy the end of your holiday.

Gilles’ record after 11 weeks: 34-38