I finished 3-3 in my debut with The Pick Six and am ready to get back on the winning track for Week 2.
Each week during the NFL season, I’ll give you my six favorite plays on the moneyline, spread or total that is sure to get you some profit. So, without further ado, here we go with Week 2!
All lines courtesy of Sportsbook
The Pick: UNDER 45 Points – Patriots vs Jaguars
In a battle between two of the AFC’s best, I expect this game to be very close with not much scoring available. The Jags defense only allowed 16.8 points per game last season (17.6 at home) and the UNDER has hit in four of their last five games (including playoffs) with an average combined score of 40.8 points. The Pats also have a penchant for low-scoring road games as the UNDER has hit in six of their last seven away from Foxborough.
The Pick: Redskins -6 vs Colts
Andrew Luck may be back on the football field but if his offensive line can’t protect him, he could be back on the sideline sooner rather than later. In Week 1, the Bengals only got two sacks on Luck but there easily could’ve been more. This has the makings of a huge blowout for Washington as its defense held the Cardinals (at home) to only 213 yards of total offense and no touchdowns. The Colts have also been tough to trust as road dogs of 6 points or more as they’ve gone 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in that spot with Luck as the starter.
The Pick: OVER 43 - Dolphins vs Jets
I expect a ton of scoring in this game mainly because of the Dolphins’ poor defense. They allowed 24.6 points per game on the road last season with the OVER hitting in nine of their last 12 games overall (average combined score 48 points). The Jets offense looked really good in Week 1 and with the weather expected to be decent in the Big Apple on Sunday, I expect Sam Darnold and Ryan Tannehill to sling it.
The Pick: Patriots Moneyline over the Jaguars
I see a lot of bettors split on this game as they’re unsure if the Jaguars’ recent home success is for real or if the New England offense has enough weapons to overcome Sacksonville. Well, I’ll tell you what is real: the Patriots’ near impeccable record on the road recently. The Pats have been favored in their last 15 road games and have gone 14-1 SU and 12-3 ATS with an average win margin of 12.6 points. I get that everyone wants to hype up the Jags defense (17.6 points per game allowed at home last season) but RB Leonard Fournette is banged up, which means the pressure is on QB Blake Bortles to score points and we all know how that played out in the AFC championship game.
The Pick: UNDER 42.5 - Giants vs Cowboys
Divisional games are typically low-scoring but when these two teams clash, the defense becomes the offense. The UNDER has hit in four straight games in this matchup with an average combined score of 29.5 points per game. The Cowboys offense doesn’t look right and going back to last season, Dallas has scored fewer than 10 points in five of its last nine games. I think the UNDER is the best bet to make in this one as neither team has shown lately that it can run up the score.
The Pick: Seahawks +3.5 vs Bears
This one I like mainly because of the Seahawks’ record lately in prime time. They’re 11-1 SU in their last 12 Monday night games and Russell Wilson seems to save his best performances for the evenings. In 24 career night games, Wilson owns a 105.9 QB rating and a 45-12 TD-to-interception ratio. The Bears’ weakness is in the secondary and the way that Wilson extends plays, I expect him to catch the safeties off guard and rack up points.
