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Week 2 NFL Stats and Trends Betting Primer

Week 2 NFL Betting 2019

The thing you don’t want to do is overreact to Week 1’s results when handicapping games for Week 2. Yes, some of what we witnessed will carry over, but some of those results will turn out to be outliers when we’re looking back on the 2019 regular season.

Let’s use the Ravens as an example. In Week 1, they handed the Dolphins what will likely turn out to be the worst beatdown of the season. They had a similar Week 1 performance in 2018 when they humiliated the Bills 47-3. How did they follow that up in Week 2? They lost by 11 to the lowly Bengals.

The Dallas Cowboys are another one. In Week 1 last season, they had possibly their worst performance of the year, getting shut out through three quarters in Carolina and eventually losing 16-8. It was a disaster start and as a result, they were undervalued as a 3-point home favorite vs the Giants in Week 2. They bounced back and covered the spread.

The NFL is very much a week-to-week league and results from the previous week don’t often translate to the same performance in the next. We saw the Bears, Browns and Falcons all have major letdowns in Week 1. It’s possible that one of those teams will be a major bust this season but I think we’ll see at least two of them bounce back this week, while some of Week 1’s surprise teams will likely regress.

So, feel free to react, act, adapt, but NEVER overreact.

How to Drink Beer on Game Day

Now then, on to pressing matters. From time to time in this weekly article, I’ll be sharing things from my life that have served me well that don’t necessarily have anything to do with sports betting. As a fellow sports lover, I’m sure we have a lot in common, so perhaps my non-sports betting tips and anecdotes can be used to add value to your life as well.

If you follow me on Twitter, you know I have a passion for ice-cold beer. I like to combine my passion for ice-cold beer with my passion for sitting on the couch in comfortable clothes for seven straight hours each Sunday while watching football. I have a strict pattern that I follow on game day when combining the two.

It’s called the rotation.

It’s a fairly simple process that goes like this: Ideally you’ll have beer chilling in the fridge in preparation of the big day. Before consuming your first one, put it in the freezer for 10 minutes. When you retrieve it to drink, place one from the fridge into the freezer and continue this pattern following the consumption of each beer.

This will ensure your beer is at an optimal drinking temperature throughout the day, thus maximizing your game-watching and beer-drinking experience. 

Below you’ll find the best trends and some stats for every Week 2 game. Good luck this weekend, enjoy the rotation, and as always, keep chasing that paper!

Buccaneers-Panthers
  • The Panthers are 13-0 SU and 10-2-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7 or more points.
  • The Buccaneers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games at night.
  • The Panthers are 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games.
  • Jameis Winston has a career QB rating of 79.1 vs Carolina with seven TDs to nine INTs.
  • The Buccaneers are 0-7 SU in their last seven games on the road. (Avg losing margin: 11.14)
  • Tampa Bay allowed a league-high 35.8 points per game on the road last season.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Buccaneers' last six games vs the Panthers. (Avg combined score: 39.33)
  • The total has gone OVER in 13 of the Buccaneers' last 17 games on the road. (Avg combined score: 56.88)
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Buccaneers' last seven games vs divisional opponents.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Panthers' last eight games at home. (Avg combined score: 51.5)
  • The Panthers are 7-1 SU in their last eight games as home favorites.
Vikings-Packers
  • In two games vs the Packers last season, Kirk Cousins threw 7 TDs and just 1 INT with a 123.5 QB rating.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Vikings' last nine games vs the Packers. (Avg combined score: 40.33)
  • The Packers are 12-0-1 SU in their last 13 games at home in September.
  • The Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games at home in September.
  • The Vikings are 8-2-1 SU in their last 11 games vs divisional opponents.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Vikings' last seven games. (Avg combined score: 38.71)
  • The Vikings are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games as road underdogs.
  • The Packers are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games as home favorites.
  • The Packers are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games after an ATS win.
  • The visiting team is 1-5 ATS in the last six games in this matchup.
Jaguars-Texans 
  • The Jaguars are 2-14 SU in their last 16 games vs their division on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in three of the Jaguars' last four games vs the Texans. (Avg combined score: 34.5)
  • The total has gone UNDER in three of the Jaguars' last four games. (Avg combined score: 35.5)
  • The Jaguars are 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games vs divisional opponents.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Texans' last four games at home. (Avg combined score: 34.5)
  • The visiting team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 games in this matchup.
Colts-Titans
  • The Titans are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games vs their division at home.
  • The Titans are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games as favorite.
  • The favored team is 12-1 SU in the last 13 games in this matchup.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Colts' last 10 games. (Avg combined score: 40.4)
  • The Colts are 4-13 SU in their last 17 games as road underdogs.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Titans' last seven games. (Avg combined score: 43.14)
  • The Titans are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in the early afternoon.
  • The Colts are 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games vs the Titans.
Cardinals-Ravens
  • Since 2010, the Ravens are 3-11 ATS as a double-digit favorite. 
  • The Cardinals are 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games in the early afternoon.
  • The total has gone OVER in three of the Cardinals' last four games on the road. (Avg combined score: 49.25)
  • The Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as home favorites.
  • The Cardinals won outright as a 13.5-point underdog in Green Bay last season.
  • The Ravens are 9-0 SU in their last nine games as a double-digit favorite.
49ers-Bengals
  • The 49ers are 1-13 ATS in their last 14 games as favorite.
  • The 49ers are 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on the road in September.
  • The 49ers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games on the East Coast.
  • The Bengals are fourth in net yards per play so far this season.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the Bengals' last five games at home. (Avg combined score: 54.2)
  • The Bengals are 0-8 SU in their last eight games as underdog.
  • The Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games at home in September.
  • The favored team is 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 games in this matchup.
Chargers-Lions
  • The Chargers are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 regular-season road games.
  • The Chargers are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games as favorite.
  • The Lions are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games as an underdog.
  • The Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in the early afternoon.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Lions' last eight games. (Avg combined score: 36.5)
Patriots-Dolphins
  • The Patriots are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six games on the road vs the Dolphins.
  • The total has gone OVER in 15 of the Dolphins' last 21 games at home. (Avg combined score: 47.38)
  • As a double-digit favorite, the Patriots are 16-4 ATS since September 2015.
  • The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games when favored by more than 14 points.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Dolphins' last 10 games at home in September.
  • The Dolphins are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games at home in September.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Patriots' last 13 games. (Avg combined score: 42.85)
  • The Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games vs divisional opponents.
  • The Patriots are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games in the early afternoon.
Bills-Giants
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Bills' last eight games on the road. (Avg combined score: 36.0)
  • The Bills are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on the road after covering in their most recent road game.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Bills' last nine games on the road in September.
  • The Giants are 4-12 SU in their last 16 games at home.
  • The Giants are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Giants' last nine games. (Avg combined score: 53.11)
  • The Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last five games at home in September.
  • The Bills are 5-1 SU in their last six games as favorite.
Seahawks-Steelers
  • The Seahawks are 1-8 SU and 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine games on the road in September.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Seahawks' last 10 games. (Avg combined score: 51.8)
  • The Steelers are 9-2-1 SU in their last 12 games after a loss.
  • The Steelers are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games when hosting a West Coast team.
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of the Steelers' last 15 games at home. (Avg combined score: 56.4)
  • The Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after an ATS loss.
  • The Seahawks are 7-2 SU in their last nine games in the early afternoon.
  • The visiting team is 1-8 SU in the last nine games in this matchup.
Cowboys-Redskins
  • Dallas is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 divisional games.
  • The Cowboys have a road OVER/UNDER record of 8-24 (75% UNDER) since Sept. 20, 2015. During this span, their home games had an average combined score of 46.1, while road games were at 38.84.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Cowboys' last 13 games on the road. (Avg combined score: 37.23)
  • The Cowboys are 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as road favorites.
  • The Cowboys are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games vs divisional opponents.
  • The Redskins are 1-7 SU in their last eight games as an underdog.
  • The Redskins are 0-4 SU in their last four games at home. (Avg losing margin: 18.5)
  • The Redskins are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games at home in September.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Cowboys' last seven games vs the Redskins. (Avg combined score: 51.29)
  • The visiting team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games in this matchup.
Chiefs-Raiders 
  • The Chiefs are 14-3 ATS (82.3%) since December 2013 in divisional road games. Oddly enough, the three ATS losses all came in Oakland.
  • The Chiefs are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as road favorites.
  • The Chiefs are 7-3 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
  • The Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after an ATS win.
  • The Chiefs are 8-1 SU in their last nine games vs the Raiders.
  • The Chiefs are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games vs divisional opponents.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Chiefs' last nine games. (Avg combined score: 63.44)
  • The Chiefs are 7-3 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
  • The Chiefs are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games on the road in September.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Chiefs' last seven games vs the Raiders. (Avg combined score: 46.14)
Bears-Broncos
  • The Broncos are 13-0 SU in their last 13 games at home in September.
  • The Broncos are 75-20-2 SU at home in September since 1970.
  • The Bears allowed a league-low 17.9 points per game on the road last season.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Bears' last six games. (Avg combined score: 27.17)
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Broncos' last seven games at home. (Avg combined score: 39.14)
  • The Bears are 1-6 SU and ATS in their last seven games on the road in September.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Bears' last seven games vs the Broncos. (Avg combined score: 32.71)
Saints-Rams 
  • The Saints are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games played in Weeks 1 and 2.
  • At home in 2018, Jared Goff’s QB rating was 34 points higher than on the road.
  • The Saints are 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Saints' last 10 games. (Avg combined score: 43.6)
  • The Rams led the league in points per game at home last season (36.3).
  • The Rams are 8-1 SU in their last nine games at home.
  • The Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of the Saints' last 20 games in the late afternoon.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the Rams' last five games at home. (Avg combined score: 71.4)
  • The Rams are 8-1 SU in their last nine games at home.
  • The Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last five games on the road vs the Rams.
Eagles-Falcons
  • The Falcons are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games at home in September.
  • Last season, the Eagles defeated the Falcons 18-12 in Philadelphia in Week 1. Atlanta bounced back the next week, defeating the Panthers 31-24 at home.
  • The Eagles are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games in September.
  • The Falcons are 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 games in Week 2.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Falcons' last 11 games at home in September.
  • The Falcons are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games at night.
  • The visiting team is 2-10 SU in the last 12 games in this matchup.
Browns-Jets
  • The Jets are 0-6 SU and 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games at home. (Avg losing margin: 13.17)
  • The Browns are 2-27 SU in their last 29 games on the road.
  • The Browns are 1-10-1 SU in their last 12 games in September.
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of the Browns' last 17 games in September.
  • The Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after an ATS loss.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Browns' last 11 games at night.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Jets' last eight games at home. (Avg combined score: 54.63)
  • The Jets are 1-8 SU in their last nine games after a loss.
  • The Jets are 6-15 SU in their last 21 games at night.
  • The Browns are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six games vs the Jets.