There is no disputing Baker Mayfield’s accomplishments in the college football landscape. The Oklahoma quarterback is coming off the two most efficient seasons in the history of the sport and is the reigning Heisman Sportsbook.
However, there is plenty of debate about whether that success will translate to the NFL.
Mayfield supporters point to his efficiency, his ability to keep plays alive with his feet and his leadership. Detractors say that Mayfield is short, played in a very friendly system and has mechanical issues.
It does not take a deep dive into NFL draft history to see a similar comparison in those aspects. Last season, Patrick Mahomes of Texas Tech was a love-him-or-hate-him prospect for many teams and pundits. Mahomes played in a quarterback-friendly system and had second-round draft grades from many insiders heading into the NFL combine. However, teams fell in love with his passion, size and cannon arm.
Mayfield does not have the same raw tools as Mahomes does but there are plenty of skills that could make a team fall for the quarterback.
And let’s face it, quarterbacks are always going to be a high priority in the NFL. Teams will reach for QBs because it is the position you absolutely need to win football games. Look at two years ago: both the Los Angeles Rams and Philadelphia Eagles gave up a boatload of draft capital to move up and select Jared Goff and Carson Wentz respectively.
Mayfield will need to test and measure well at the combine in order to prove he belongs among the elite quarterback prospects. Assuming they all declare, Josh Rosen, Sam Darnold and Lamar Jackson will likely be more highly sought-after draft picks than Mayfield. However, all it takes is for one of those players to not declare and all of a sudden Mayfield is likely one of the top three QBs in the draft.
Taking all of that in, online sportsbook Sportsbook has listed Mayfield’s OVER/UNDER draft position at 10.5 (-120/-120).