The Boston Bruins head to Tampa Bay down 3-1 in their series vs the Lightning in what is now an elimination game for B’s. The Bruins were stunned on their home-ice in consecutive games by their divisional rival and face the unenviable task of having to win three straight games against the best team in the Eastern Conference. Boston opened as a +160 underdog in Tampa, which would make it the biggest underdog its been all season.
SHARK BITES
Boston is 1-4 SU and ATS in its last five games vs Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 12-4 SU in 16 games at home vs divisional teams.
David Pastrnak leads the Bruins with 20 points in the playoffs.
The Lightning came out in full-force again in Game 4, scoring the Sportsbook two goals and putting the Bruins on their heels. Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov got on the board with a goal each but despite the offensive outburst, the Bolts defense was leaky, allowing Boston to answer back each time and giving up the lead when Patrice Bergeron scored short-handed. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy was steady but he has not been at an all-world level in the playoffs as he has a 2.75 goals-against-average in this series and a .894 save percentage. However, Tampa backers will be pleased to know that the Lightning are 4-1 SU and against the puckline in five home games in the postseason and have outscored their competition 19-12 in those games.
The Bruins can’t just lick away their problems. Jokes aside, the Bruins may be in trouble in this series as they’ve been outscored 12-6 in the last three games after exploding for six goals in Game 1. Brad Marchand has eight points in this series but only one goal and his antics have not translated to wins like it did vs the Maple Leafs. The other factor that may sink the Bruins has been the play of goaltender Tuukka Rask. The Finnish netminder has allowed four goals in three straight games as the Bruins stout defense has left him vulnerable to Tampa’s potent attack. When you take into account that the Bruins are 2-7 SU in their last nine games on the road, it would take a monumental effort for Boston to knock off the Lightning tonight.
The total opened at 6 and bettors may want to consider the OVER. The OVER has hit in four of Tampa’s last six games at home and they have average four goals per game in their barn. Boston will be in desperation mode so expect a shootout in the Sunshine State.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook had the Tampa Bay Lightning as -195 favorites earlier today. The over under opened at 6 at Sportsbook for betting fans hoping to turn a profit on totals.
Odds Shark prediction models pick the Lightning to win this game 3.9-1.7. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.
This season the Tampa Bay Lightning are 61-25-5 overall while the Boston Bruins are 55-25-13. As for the totals, Tampa Bay is 54-34-3 on the OU, and Boston is 42-45-6. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tampa Bay vs Boston injuries news.
This game puts the Tampa Bay Lightning, most recently No. 10 in the Odds Shark NHL Power Rankings, up against the Boston Bruins, who rate a No. 2 in the latest survey.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Tampa Bay Lightning No. 1-ranked offense (3.6 goals per game) against a Boston Bruins defense that ranks No. 3 at 2.67 goals per game allowed. The Lightning Sportsbook has clicked at a 24.19% rate while the Bruins have a 82.67% rate on the penalty kill.