The Toronto Maple Leafs will try to hold serve on their home ice tonight when they host the Boston Bruins in Game 4 of their first-round series. The Leafs got back into the series with a 4-2 win in Game 3 and are 17-2 SU in their last 19 games at the Air Canada Centre. Despite Toronto’s winning ways, the Leafs opened as underdogs to get the victory.
SHARK BITES
The Maple Leafs are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games vs their division at home.
Boston is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Toronto’s last 23 games.
The Leafs should feel confident going into Game 4 given how they played in the last game. Toronto shut down Boston’s top line of Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak after the trio accounted for 20 points in the first two games of the series. Auston Matthews scored his first playoff goal and goaltender Frederik Andersen stopped 40 of 42 shots his way. If bettors are planning to back the Leafs tonight, they should know that Toronto has won eight of the last 11 games in this matchup along with five straight wins at home vs the B’s.
As for the Bruins, they have outshot the Leafs 110-90 through three games and goaltender Tuukka Rask has been solid in net, only allowing nine goals thus far in the series. Boston has made its hay this season as a great bounce-back team as the Bruins are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games after a loss. Where Boston will need to shift its efforts is to the power play as the team was 5-for-10 with the man advantage in the first two games but scoreless on its one opportunity in Game 3.
The total opened at 6 and bettors may want to consider the OVER when these two rivals clash. The OVER has hit in three of the last four games in this matchup with an average combined score of 7.25 goals per game.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
NHL hockey oddsmakers at Sportsbook had the Toronto Maple Leafs as -121 moneyline favorites in this betting matchup. Those OVER/UNDER betting saw the line open at 6 at Sportsbook.
OddsShark computer prediction formulas pick a 3.4-2.4 win for the Bruins on Thursday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.
The Toronto Maple Leafs bring a 50-28-7 record to the battle against the 52-21-12 Bruins. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Toronto go 43-35-7 so far and the Bruins go 38-42-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Boston injuries news.
This game matches up the No. 1 (Toronto) and No. 2 (Boston) teams according to our current NHL Power Rankings.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Toronto Maple Leafs' No. 3-ranked offense (3.35 goals per game) against a Boston Bruins defense that ranks No. 3 at 2.61 goals per game allowed. The Maple Leafs power play has clicked at a 24.89% rate while the Bruins have an 83.46% rate on the penalty kill.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Boston lost its last outing, a 4-2 result against the Maple Leafs on April 16. Bettors who backed the Maple Leafs at -113 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (6) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Betting Trends
Boston is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Toronto's last 23 games
Toronto is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 16 games at home
