The New York Islanders have been shut out four times in ten games and now they've lost their main offensive weapon in Mathew Barzal. They couldn't score with him they won't score without him.
Meanwhile, Buffalo has gone three of their last five and scored an average of 3.8 goals. They will win tonight.
Sean Monahan has been incredible so far this year. He has five goals and four assists for nine points in nine games.
Monahan is leading all Blue Jackets forwards in iXGF, iSCF, iHDCF and shots on goal by pretty large margins.
Monahan has also covered this line in 5 straight games this season, averaging 3.8 SOG and 5.8 shot attempts.
The Jets are 9-1 yes, but defensively they're not impressive as everyone thinks, it's largely due to Connor Helleybuck's play that's resulting in them only allowing 2.4 Goals against per game so far.
Despite that, WPG is still allowing 29.4 SOG per game while CBJ is taking 29 per game.
Winnipeg is also allowing the 10 SOG per game to Centers, so I'm just trusting the data and taking this play tonight.
Risk: 1U To Win 1.05U
Elvis Merzlikins is not the 0.925SV% goalie his stats say he is. In 191 games prior to this season, Merlikins averaged a 0.904SV%. Last year Merzlikins made OVER 27.5 19 times in 40 games (47.5%).
With Winnipeg holding the second-highest team-wide shooting percentage, the Jets will expose Merzlikins with the UNDER on his saves prop hitting.
New York is 32-13SU at home in their last 45 games and is 18-5SU when favored at -180 or more.
I don't trust Ottawa who are all over the place with going from a 6-4 and 6-5 loss to dominating St. Louis 8-1. There is nothing consistent about Ottawa while the Rangers have consistently shown their quality on home ice.
Lafreniere is in great form with seven points in his last nine games. Over his career, he's scored 92% of his goals and 96% of his points from 5on5 play, Ottawa is dreadful at 5on5 with the eighth-worst defensive record with 2.9 goals against per 60.
I'll take O0.5 points for Laf tonight at -130.
Last 100 | To Win | Moneyline | Total O/U |
---|---|---|---|
$ Units (Opening) | -$598 | -$24 | $19 |
$ Units (Closing) | -$610 | -$491 | $188 |
Record (Opening) | 53 - 47 | 55 - 43 - 2 | 52 - 44 - 4 |
Record (Closing) | 53 - 47 | 54 - 44 - 2 | 49 - 42 - 9 |
We've combined statistical analysis and machine learning to make these computer picks. The table above shows you how the computer has done in its last 100 picks against the moneyline, spread (puckline), and the total with $100 units.
Seeing where the computer has had success (or has failed) can give you some insight into where the betting value might lie going forward.
How to Use the NHL Computer Picks Table
Use our computer picks as the starting point in your handicapping journey. Our computer analyzes every stat in our database and chooses the bet that has the most likely outcome. Now use our other tools to do your own research and see if that research agrees or disagrees with the computer.
Odds Shark's Free Computer Picks
Moneyline
An NHL moneyline bet is simple – all you need to do is pick a winner. Whether that’s in regulation or overtime, they don't ask how but how many, right?
Team | Moneyline Odds |
---|---|
Edmonton Oilers | -130 |
Florida Panthers | +110 |
As with all moneyline odds, the team with the minus (-) is the favorite, while the side with the plus (+) is the underdog.
Betting $100 on Edmonton at -130 would net you $176 in winnings (if they win the game), $76 of profit plus your initial $100 wager. Conversely, if you bet on Florida and they win you get $210 -- $110 in profit plus your initial $100 bet.
Spread (Puckline)
The puckline is the NHL's version of the spread, where each team is given a certain amount of goals to either win/lose by. Unlike the NFL or the NBA, the NHL spread doesn't typically change from 1.5 for each side. The spread is designed to make betting on the favorite more enticing.
Team | Moneyline Odds | Puckline Odds |
---|---|---|
Edmonton Oilers | -130 | -1.5 (-110) |
Florida Panthers | +110 | +1.5 (-180) |
The favorite (Edmonton at -1.5) would need to win by at least two goals for the bet to cash. If Edmonton wins by two or more goals - in other words "covers the bet" - you'd get $191 in winnings instead of $176 by taking them on the moneyline.
There are two ways for the underdog (Florida at +1.5) to "cover" a +1.5 puckline bet. They can lose by a single goal or win outright to cash! The odds are shorter but you've got options on this bet.
Totals (OVER/UNDER)
With a total bet, you're wagering on the total number of goals scored by both teams. You aren't backing any single side to win.
Team | Total Odds |
---|---|
Edmonton Oilers | O5.5 (-115) |
Florida Panthers | U5.5 (-105) |
Sportsbooks will set a line for the game, in this case, it's 5.5 goals. Your job is to figure out if Edmonton and Florida will score more or less than 5.5 goals (not counting the shootout).
If you see a line that's an even number, like 6.0, those bets can end in a push where your wager is refunded if the game ends at exactly six goals.
More NHL Picks & Betting Tools
You know what the moneyline, spread (puckline) and total bets are, you're ready to start betting on NHL hockey. But before you just start placing bets with your gut, make sure to check out our betting tools and betting guides.
They can guide you with more than just moneyline, spread and total bets but they can help you find value in the futures and player props markets as well.