Now's the time to bet on Connor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers

Now Is The Time To Bet On McDavid And The Oilers

McDavid is back baby. After a slow start to the year for the NHL's phenom, the McSavior put up an insane 12 points in his last four games. That's some super-human level of production.

You might want to get on the McDavid train and even the Edmonton Oilers' train now, while the odds are still favorable.

Connor McDavid Odds

Connor McDavid Odds
Rocket Richard+600
Hart Trophy+600

Odds as of Nov. 28

McDavid's Rocket Richard Chances

Davo won the NHL goal race last year with 64 goals. Beating out the Boston Bruins' David Pastrnak who had 61 on the year.

With seven goals on the year, McDavid is well off the pace to win the league's top scorer. But we've seen his underlying numbers - in terms of expected goals - trend upwards lately.

Over his last seven games, the Oilers captain has averaged 0.51 xG per game. That's way up from the average 0.30 xG per game in his opening 11 games of the year. 

I still think McDavid should be a long shot to win the league's top-scorer award, but if the xG numbers go up again it might be a good idea to spread a unit or two on McDee's Rocket odds.

Back-To-Back Hart Trophies Possible

McDavid, who has won the Hart Trophy three times already, is at +600 to win his fourth NHL MVP. The Oilers captain is currently 16th in league scoring and 11 points behind Nikita Kucherov who leads the league with 36 points. So not being at the top of the Hart odds board makes sense. 

With that being said, we just saw The Chosen One score 12 points in four games. That's three points per game. An insane accomplishment by NHL standards. Last year, we saw him score nearly two points per game with 153 in 82 games.

NHL Scoring Leaders Since 2018-19
2022-23Connor McDavid153Leon Draisaitl (128)
2021-22Connor McDavid123Jonathan Huberdeau (115)
2020-21Connor McDavid105Leon Draisaitl (84)
2019-20Leon Draisaitl110Connor McDavid (97)
2018-19Nikita Kucherov128Conor McDavid (116)

And don't forget, the Oilers captain has led the league in scoring the last three years in a row and was runner-up the next two years. You can't count him out to win the scoring race with 62 games to play. 

But we know that scoring a bucket load of points isn't going to be enough to win the Hart Trophy in the NHL. An MVP has to make the playoffs. So why do I think it's a good time to bet on him winning the Hart with Edmonton not currently in a playoff spot?

Edmonton Oilers Futures Odds

Edmonton Oilers Odds
To Make The Playoffs-160
To Win Pacific Division+2200
To Win Western Conference+1200
To Win Stanley Cup+2500

Odds as of Nov. 28

Look, I know that Edmonton has some work to do to get into a playoff picture, but don't write them off for dead now that Thanksgiving has passed. At -160 to make the playoffs, the books are with me. They've given Edmonton an implied 62% chance to make the postseason.

With 62 games left on the season, Edmonton is only six points out of a playoff spot. And they've also got two games in hand on the Flames who hold that final Wild Card spot. You can't tell me that with 76% of the season left, there's no way Edmonton can make the postseason.

Three of the teams Edmonton needs to leap-frog for a Wild Card spot hold a sub-0.500 points percentage. Oil Country isn't competing against the cream of the crop. 

With McDavid seemingly back to his best it's absolutely possible.

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